比特幣（BTC）能解決美國債務危機嗎？

美國債務危機的警鐘多年來一直敲響。然而，自拜登政府上台以來，這場危機已明顯惡化

The United States has been amassing debt for years, but the problem has gotten worse since the Biden administration took over, reaching $35 trillion this year. According to the US Treasury, the government is now accruing $1 trillion in debt every 100 days, a record for the world's largest economy. Last year, the cost of servicing this debt crossed the $1 trillion mark for the first time ever.

美國多年來一直在累積債務，但自拜登政府上台以來，問題變得更加嚴重，今年已達到35兆美元。據美國財政部稱，政府目前每 100 天就累積 1 兆美元的債務，這是世界最大經濟體的紀錄。去年，償債成本首次突破 1 兆美元大關。

There are two main ways to solve national debt: raising taxes or cutting spending. In the US, cutting spending is a contentious issue that divides Americans and their lawmakers along partisan lines. Conservatives have pushed for budget cuts since Biden took office, but Democrats have strongly opposed them. When it comes to taxes, the dynamic is reversed, with Republicans criticizing tax increases and liberals supporting them.

解決國債主要有兩種方法：增稅或削減支出。在美國，削減支出是一個有爭議的問題，美國人及其立法者之間存在黨派分歧。自拜登上任以來，保守派一直推動削減預算，但遭到民主黨的強烈反對。在稅收方面，情況正好相反，共和黨人批評增稅，而自由派則支持增稅。

This leaves Americans at an impasse, while the debt crisis continues to escalate. To put things in perspective, the country's debt-to-GDP ratio is approaching 100%. This ratio was last this high in the 1940s during World War II, despite a brief sharp increase during the 2020 COVID pandemic. At the current rate, debt will be 16% higher than America’s GDP by 2034, as shown below.

這讓美國人陷入了僵局，而債務危機不斷升級。客觀來看，該國的債務佔GDP的比例已接近100%。儘管在 2020 年新冠疫情期間出現了短暫的急劇上升，但這一比率在 20 世紀 40 年代二戰期間曾達到如此高的水平。按照目前的速度，到 2034 年，債務將比美國 GDP 高出 16%，如下所示。

Can Bitcoin Solve the US Debt Crisis?

比特幣能否解決美國債務危機？

Since US lawmakers are unable to agree on taxes or spending cuts, some have proposed Bitcoin as a solution, as we previously reported.

正如我們之前報導的，由於美國立法者無法就稅收或削減開支達成一致，一些人提出將比特幣作為解決方案。

Proponents highlight that Bitcoin is a deflationary asset that will hold (or increase) its value over time, unlike the US dollar, which has been losing value for years.

支持者強調，比特幣是一種通貨緊縮資產，隨著時間的推移，其價值將保持（或增加），這與多年來一直貶值的美元不同。

One of the commonly cited factors for BTC is its decoupling from traditional finance, which ideally makes it a hedge against inflation. However, even this is becoming less of a factor as TradFi giants like BlackRock have become the cornerstone of the sector.

比特幣最常被提及的因素之一是它與傳統金融的脫鉤，這使其成為對沖通膨的理想工具。然而，隨著 BlackRock 等 TradFi 巨頭已成為該行業的基石，這一因素也變得不那麼重要了。

One prominent supporter of BTC for solving national debt is Donald Trump, the Republican Party presidential frontrunner who has promised to make crypto central to his agenda if he wins back power from the Democrats in the November polls.

比特幣解決國家債務問題的一位重要支持者是共和黨總統候選人唐納德·川普(Donald Trump)，他承諾如果他在11 月的民意調查中從民主黨手中奪回權力，他將把加密貨幣作為其議程的核心。

However, Trump has been short on specifics despite making grand promises. In a recent interview with Fox, when asked about his crypto plans, he said:

然而，儘管川普做出了宏偉的承諾，但他卻缺乏具體細節。在最近接受福克斯採訪時，當被問及他的加密計劃時，他說：

Who knows? Maybe we’ll pay off our $35 trillion dollars, hand them a little crypto check, right? We’ll hand them a little bitcoin and wipe out our $35 trillion.

誰知道？也許我們會還清 35 兆美元，給他們一些加密貨幣支票，對吧？我們會給他們一點比特幣，然後就花掉我們的 35 兆美元。

Crypto has a market capitalization of $2.2 trillion as an industry. But more importantly, the US government should not count on its crypto appreciating enough to pay its debts.

加密貨幣作為一個行業的市值為 2.2 兆美元。但更重要的是，美國政府不應指望其加密貨幣會升值到足以償還債務。

A more practical proposal involves stablecoins. Paul Ryan, a former House speaker, outlined a plan to use stablecoins to attract foreign investment in American bonds and treasuries. Already, stablecoin issuers own more government securities than the entire country of Saudi Arabia and sit just outside the top ten largest investors.

一個更實際的建議涉及穩定幣。前眾議院議長保羅瑞安 (Paul Ryan) 概述了一項利用穩定幣吸引外國投資美國債券和國債的計劃。穩定幣發行人擁有的政府證券數量已經超過了沙烏地阿拉伯整個國家的數量，並且位居前十大投資者之外。

As Ryan points out, encouraging more USD-backed stablecoins would provide the government with cheap and reliable financing for fiscal spending and extend America’s grip and influence on the world economy.

正如瑞安所指出的那樣，鼓勵更多美元支持的穩定幣將為政府的財政支出提供廉價而可靠的融資，並擴大美國對世界經濟的控制和影響力。

Meanwhile, BTC is trading at $60,400, down 2.5% in the past day.

同時，BTC 交易價格為 60,400 美元，過去一天下跌 2.5%。

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