比特币（BTC）能解决美国债务危机吗？

美国债务危机的警钟多年来一直敲响。然而，自拜登政府上台以来，这场危机明显恶化

The United States has been amassing debt for years, but the problem has gotten worse since the Biden administration took over, reaching $35 trillion this year. According to the US Treasury, the government is now accruing $1 trillion in debt every 100 days, a record for the world's largest economy. Last year, the cost of servicing this debt crossed the $1 trillion mark for the first time ever.

美国多年来一直在积累债务，但自拜登政府上台以来，问题变得更加严重，今年已达到35万亿美元。据美国财政部称，政府目前每 100 天就累积 1 万亿美元的债务，这是世界最大经济体的纪录。去年，偿债成本首次突破 1 万亿美元大关。

There are two main ways to solve national debt: raising taxes or cutting spending. In the US, cutting spending is a contentious issue that divides Americans and their lawmakers along partisan lines. Conservatives have pushed for budget cuts since Biden took office, but Democrats have strongly opposed them. When it comes to taxes, the dynamic is reversed, with Republicans criticizing tax increases and liberals supporting them.

解决国债主要有两种方法：增税或削减支出。在美国，削减支出是一个有争议的问题，美国人及其立法者之间存在党派分歧。自拜登上任以来，保守派一直推动削减预算，但遭到民主党的强烈反对。在税收方面，情况正好相反，共和党人批评增税，而自由派则支持增税。

This leaves Americans at an impasse, while the debt crisis continues to escalate. To put things in perspective, the country's debt-to-GDP ratio is approaching 100%. This ratio was last this high in the 1940s during World War II, despite a brief sharp increase during the 2020 COVID pandemic. At the current rate, debt will be 16% higher than America’s GDP by 2034, as shown below.

这让美国人陷入了僵局，而债务危机却不断升级。客观来看，该国的债务占GDP的比例已接近100%。尽管在 2020 年新冠疫情期间出现了短暂的急剧上升，但这一比率在 20 世纪 40 年代第二次世界大战期间曾达到如此高的水平。按照目前的速度，到 2034 年，债务将比美国 GDP 高出 16%，如下所示。

Can Bitcoin Solve the US Debt Crisis?

比特币能否解决美国债务危机？

Since US lawmakers are unable to agree on taxes or spending cuts, some have proposed Bitcoin as a solution, as we previously reported.

正如我们之前报道的，由于美国立法者无法就税收或削减开支达成一致，一些人提出将比特币作为解决方案。

Proponents highlight that Bitcoin is a deflationary asset that will hold (or increase) its value over time, unlike the US dollar, which has been losing value for years.

支持者强调，比特币是一种通货紧缩资产，随着时间的推移，其价值将保持（或增加），这与多年来一直贬值的美元不同。

One of the commonly cited factors for BTC is its decoupling from traditional finance, which ideally makes it a hedge against inflation. However, even this is becoming less of a factor as TradFi giants like BlackRock have become the cornerstone of the sector.

比特币最常被提及的因素之一是它与传统金融的脱钩，这使其成为对冲通胀的理想工具。然而，随着 BlackRock 等 TradFi 巨头已成为该行业的基石，这一因素也变得不那么重要了。

One prominent supporter of BTC for solving national debt is Donald Trump, the Republican Party presidential frontrunner who has promised to make crypto central to his agenda if he wins back power from the Democrats in the November polls.

比特币解决国家债务问题的一位重要支持者是共和党总统候选人唐纳德·特朗普 (Donald Trump)，他承诺如果他在 11 月的民意调查中从民主党手中夺回权力，他将把加密货币作为其议程的核心。

However, Trump has been short on specifics despite making grand promises. In a recent interview with Fox, when asked about his crypto plans, he said:

然而，尽管特朗普做出了宏伟的承诺，但他却缺乏具体细节。在最近接受福克斯采访时，当被问及他的加密计划时，他说：

Who knows? Maybe we’ll pay off our $35 trillion dollars, hand them a little crypto check, right? We’ll hand them a little bitcoin and wipe out our $35 trillion.

谁知道？也许我们会还清 35 万亿美元，给他们一些加密货币支票，对吗？我们会给他们一点比特币，然后就花掉我们的 35 万亿美元。

Crypto has a market capitalization of $2.2 trillion as an industry. But more importantly, the US government should not count on its crypto appreciating enough to pay its debts.

加密货币作为一个行业的市值为 2.2 万亿美元。但更重要的是，美国政府不应指望其加密货币升值到足以偿还债务。

A more practical proposal involves stablecoins. Paul Ryan, a former House speaker, outlined a plan to use stablecoins to attract foreign investment in American bonds and treasuries. Already, stablecoin issuers own more government securities than the entire country of Saudi Arabia and sit just outside the top ten largest investors.

一个更实际的建议涉及稳定币。前众议院议长保罗·瑞安 (Paul Ryan) 概述了一项利用稳定币吸引外国投资美国债券和国债的计划。稳定币发行人拥有的政府证券数量已经超过了沙特阿拉伯整个国家的数量，并且位居前十大投资者之外。

As Ryan points out, encouraging more USD-backed stablecoins would provide the government with cheap and reliable financing for fiscal spending and extend America’s grip and influence on the world economy.

正如瑞安指出的那样，鼓励更多美元支持的稳定币将为政府的财政支出提供廉价而可靠的融资，并扩大美国对世界经济的控制和影响力。

Meanwhile, BTC is trading at $60,400, down 2.5% in the past day.

与此同时，BTC 交易价格为 60,400 美元，过去一天下跌 2.5%。

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