儘管不確定性

自最新的比特幣減半已經一年多了，本週早些時候達到112,000美元後，價格現在徘徊在歷史高點附近。

It’s been just over a year since the latest Bitcoin halving, and the price is now hovering near all-time highs after reaching $112,000 earlier this week. BTC is holding strong at current levels, consolidating just below peak resistance, and momentum is quietly building. Many traders and analysts believe a massive breakout could be on the horizon in the coming weeks.

自最新的比特幣減半已經一年多了，本週早些時候達到112,000美元後，價格現在徘徊在歷史高點附近。 BTC在當前水平上保持強大的穩定，鞏固了峰值電阻以下，動量正在悄悄地建造。許多交易者和分析師認為，未來幾周可能會出現大規模的突破。

According to insights from Sentora (formerly IntoTheBlock), this cycle is unfolding with some familiar patterns—and a few notable differences.

根據Sentora（以前是Intotheblock）的見解，這個週期正在以一些熟悉的模式以及一些顯著的區別展開。

Historically, Bitcoin tends to spend the first year after a halving in a prolonged consolidation phase before entering its strongest rally. However, this time around, BTC spiked earlier than expected but then paused for several months as high interest rates and tighter macro conditions weighed on risk appetite.

從歷史上看，比特幣在長時間的合併階段減半後，在進入最強的集會之前，比特幣傾向於花費第一年。但是，這次，BTC比預期的要早，但隨後暫停了幾個月，因為高利率和更嚴重的宏觀條件會承受風險的胃口。

Despite the delayed continuation, current price action suggests Bitcoin may be ready to break that consolidation range and enter the next leg of the cycle. With BTC firmly above $100K and institutional demand rising, the stage may be set. While macro risks remain, sentiment has shifted. Bitcoin isn't just surviving the post-halving year—it may be setting up for its most powerful breakout yet.

儘管延遲延遲，但當前的價格行動表明比特幣可能準備破壞該合併範圍並進入周期的下一個工作。隨著BTC穩步超過$ 10萬美元，機構需求上升，該階段可能會設定。儘管仍然存在宏觀風險，但情緒卻發生了變化。比特幣不僅可以在備用後的一年中倖存下來，而且還可能為其最有力的突破而設置。

Bitcoin Sets The Stage For Uptrend Continuation Despite Uncertainty

儘管不確定性

Bitcoin is holding steady at all-time highs, and the market is beginning to show signs of renewed bullish momentum as uncertainty grows in global markets.

比特幣在歷史最高時期保持穩定，隨著全球市場不確定性的增長，市場開始顯示出新的看漲勢頭的跡象。

Analysts with high conviction are now calling for major price surges, citing both technical strength and improving on-chain signals, setting the stage for Bitcoin to continue its march toward new highs in 2024.

信念高度的分析師現在呼籲大幅度飆升，理由是技術實力和改善鏈信號，這為比特幣在2024年繼續前進的新高點奠定了基礎。

According to Sentora, Bitcoin’s current behavior closely aligns with historic cycle patterns. In past cycles, BTC typically spends the first year post-halving consolidating before entering a decisive breakout phase.

根據Sentora的說法，比特幣的當前行為與歷史週期模式緊密相吻合。在過去的周期中，BTC通常在進入果斷的突破階段之前在井期後的第一年花費。

This time, BTC's early spike was quickly stalled by macro turbulence, delaying the continuation of the cycle's main trend. However, the broader pattern remains intact.

這次，BTC的早期尖峰迅速被宏觀湍流所阻止，從而延遲了周期的主要趨勢的延續。但是，更廣泛的模式保持完整。

In most cycles, Bitcoin's yearly peaks tend to emerge 1.5 to 2 years after the halving, shifting the spotlight to 2025. This suggests that current consolidation, while frustrating to some, could be part of a healthy and structured market setup before the next explosive move.

在大多數週期中，比特幣的年度峰值往往在減半後1.5至2年出現，將聚光燈轉移到2025年。這表明當前的合併對某些人感到沮喪，可能是在下一次爆炸性移動前健康且結構化的市場設置的一部分。

With Bitcoin stabilizing above $100K and key on-chain metrics remaining strong, the long-term outlook remains bullish. If BTC can maintain current support and break through resistance in the coming weeks, the groundwork could soon be in place for a much larger rally.

隨著比特幣穩定在$ 10萬美元以上，關鍵的鍊鍊指標保持強勁，長期前景仍然看漲。如果BTC可以在接下來的幾週內維持當前的支持並突破阻力，那麼很快就會進行基礎工作。

For now, the market is watching closely—but conviction among seasoned analysts is building. Bitcoin may be entering the quiet before the storm.

目前，市場正在密切關注，但是經驗豐富的分析師的信念正在建立。比特幣可能正在暴風雨前進入安靜。

BTC Flirts With Highest Weekly Close Ever

BTC調情有史以來每週最高的關閉

Bitcoin is closing the week at around $108,000 after hitting a new all-time high earlier this week, setting the stage for what could become the strongest weekly close in its history.

本週早些時候達到了新的歷史最高紀錄後，比特幣在本週結束時約為108,000美元，為可能成為其歷史上最強大的每週結束的舞台奠定了基礎。

The weekly chart shows clear breakout strength above the previous resistance zone around $103,600, now flipped into support. This level had capped price action for months, but the latest surge confirms that bulls are firmly in control.

每週圖表顯示，在103,600美元左右的前面阻力區域以上的明顯突破強度，現在被轉向支持。這個水平已經封鎖了幾個月的價格，但最新的激增證實，公牛牢固地控制了。

BTC has also posted four consecutive green weekly candles, with increasing body size and strong closes, further indicating a sustained trend. The 34-week EMA sits at $87,966, far below current levels, highlighting the strength of this move and how extended BTC is from mid-range averages.

BTC還發布了四個連續的綠色每週蠟燭，隨著身體大小的增加和強大的關閉，進一步表明了持續的趨勢。 34週的EMA售價為87,966美元，遠低於目前的水平，強調了這一舉動的強度以及BTC從中端平均延伸的方式。

Importantly, volume has remained relatively stable during the breakout, showing that the move is being supported, not exhausted.

重要的是，在突破期間，體積保持相對穩定，表明該動作是在支持而不是精疲力盡的。

As long as Bitcoin remains above the $103,600-$105,000 zone, the uptrend is intact. If the price consolidates around current levels without significant sell pressure, it could form the base for a push toward $120,000 and beyond. However, failure to hold $103K could invite deeper retracements.

只要比特幣保持高於$ 103,600- $ 105,000的區域，上升趨勢就完好無損。如果價格在目前的水平上鞏固而沒有巨大的賣出壓力，則可能構成邁向120,000美元及以後的基礎。但是，如果不持有$ 103K，可以邀請更深層的回溯。