尽管不确定性

自最新的比特币减半已经一年多了，本周早些时候达到112,000美元后，价格现在徘徊在历史高点附近。

It’s been just over a year since the latest Bitcoin halving, and the price is now hovering near all-time highs after reaching $112,000 earlier this week. BTC is holding strong at current levels, consolidating just below peak resistance, and momentum is quietly building. Many traders and analysts believe a massive breakout could be on the horizon in the coming weeks.

自最新的比特币减半已经一年多了，本周早些时候达到112,000美元后，价格现在徘徊在历史高点附近。 BTC在当前水平上保持强大的稳定，巩固了峰值电阻以下，动量正在悄悄地建造。许多交易者和分析师认为，未来几周可能会出现大规模的突破。

According to insights from Sentora (formerly IntoTheBlock), this cycle is unfolding with some familiar patterns—and a few notable differences.

根据Sentora（以前是Intotheblock）的见解，这个周期正在以一些熟悉的模式以及一些显着的区别展开。

Historically, Bitcoin tends to spend the first year after a halving in a prolonged consolidation phase before entering its strongest rally. However, this time around, BTC spiked earlier than expected but then paused for several months as high interest rates and tighter macro conditions weighed on risk appetite.

从历史上看，比特币在长时间的合并阶段减半后，在进入最强的集会之前，比特币倾向于花费第一年。但是，这次，BTC比预期的要早，但随后暂停了几个月，因为高利率和更严重的宏观条件会承受风险的胃口。

Despite the delayed continuation, current price action suggests Bitcoin may be ready to break that consolidation range and enter the next leg of the cycle. With BTC firmly above $100K and institutional demand rising, the stage may be set. While macro risks remain, sentiment has shifted. Bitcoin isn't just surviving the post-halving year—it may be setting up for its most powerful breakout yet.

尽管延迟延迟，但当前的价格行动表明比特币可能准备破坏该合并范围并进入周期的下一个工作。随着BTC稳步超过$ 10万美元，机构需求上升，该阶段可能会设定。尽管仍然存在宏观风险，但情绪却发生了变化。比特币不仅可以在备用后的一年中幸存下来，而且还可能为其最有力的突破而设置。

Bitcoin Sets The Stage For Uptrend Continuation Despite Uncertainty

尽管不确定性

Bitcoin is holding steady at all-time highs, and the market is beginning to show signs of renewed bullish momentum as uncertainty grows in global markets.

比特币在历史最高时期保持稳定，随着全球市场不确定性的增长，市场开始显示出新的看涨势头的迹象。

Analysts with high conviction are now calling for major price surges, citing both technical strength and improving on-chain signals, setting the stage for Bitcoin to continue its march toward new highs in 2024.

信念高度的分析师现在呼吁大幅度飙升，理由是技术实力和改善链信号，这为比特币在2024年继续前进的新高点奠定了基础。

According to Sentora, Bitcoin’s current behavior closely aligns with historic cycle patterns. In past cycles, BTC typically spends the first year post-halving consolidating before entering a decisive breakout phase.

根据Sentora的说法，比特币的当前行为与历史周期模式紧密相吻合。在过去的周期中，BTC通常在进入果断的突破阶段之前在井期后的第一年花费。

This time, BTC's early spike was quickly stalled by macro turbulence, delaying the continuation of the cycle's main trend. However, the broader pattern remains intact.

这次，BTC的早期尖峰迅速被宏观湍流所阻止，从而延迟了周期的主要趋势的延续。但是，更广泛的模式保持完整。

In most cycles, Bitcoin's yearly peaks tend to emerge 1.5 to 2 years after the halving, shifting the spotlight to 2025. This suggests that current consolidation, while frustrating to some, could be part of a healthy and structured market setup before the next explosive move.

在大多数周期中，比特币的年度峰值往往在减半后1.5至2年出现，将聚光灯转移到2025年。这表明当前的合并对某些人感到沮丧，可能是在下一次爆炸性移动前健康且结构化的市场设置的一部分。

With Bitcoin stabilizing above $100K and key on-chain metrics remaining strong, the long-term outlook remains bullish. If BTC can maintain current support and break through resistance in the coming weeks, the groundwork could soon be in place for a much larger rally.

随着比特币稳定在$ 10万美元以上，关键的链链指标保持强劲，长期前景仍然看涨。如果BTC可以在接下来的几周内维持当前的支持并突破阻力，那么很快就会进行基础工作。

For now, the market is watching closely—but conviction among seasoned analysts is building. Bitcoin may be entering the quiet before the storm.

目前，市场正在密切关注，但是经验丰富的分析师的信念正在建立。比特币可能正在暴风雨前进入安静。

BTC Flirts With Highest Weekly Close Ever

BTC调情有史以来每周最高的关闭

Bitcoin is closing the week at around $108,000 after hitting a new all-time high earlier this week, setting the stage for what could become the strongest weekly close in its history.

本周早些时候达到了新的历史最高纪录后，比特币在本周结束时约为108,000美元，为可能成为其历史上最强大的每周结束的舞台奠定了基础。

The weekly chart shows clear breakout strength above the previous resistance zone around $103,600, now flipped into support. This level had capped price action for months, but the latest surge confirms that bulls are firmly in control.

每周图表显示，在103,600美元左右的前面阻力区域以上的明显突破强度，现在被转向支持。这个水平已经封锁了几个月的价格，但最新的激增证实，公牛牢固地控制了。

BTC has also posted four consecutive green weekly candles, with increasing body size and strong closes, further indicating a sustained trend. The 34-week EMA sits at $87,966, far below current levels, highlighting the strength of this move and how extended BTC is from mid-range averages.

BTC还发布了四个连续的绿色每周蜡烛，随着身体大小的增加和强大的关闭，进一步表明了持续的趋势。 34周的EMA售价为87,966美元，远低于目前的水平，强调了这一举动的强度以及BTC从中端平均延伸的方式。

Importantly, volume has remained relatively stable during the breakout, showing that the move is being supported, not exhausted.

重要的是，在突破期间，体积保持相对稳定，表明该动作是在支持而不是精疲力尽的。

As long as Bitcoin remains above the $103,600-$105,000 zone, the uptrend is intact. If the price consolidates around current levels without significant sell pressure, it could form the base for a push toward $120,000 and beyond. However, failure to hold $103K could invite deeper retracements.

只要比特币保持高于$ 103,600- $ 105,000的区域，上升趋势就完好无损。如果价格在目前的水平上巩固而没有巨大的卖出压力，则可能构成迈向120,000美元及以后的基础。但是，如果不持有$ 103K，可以邀请更深层的回溯。