Glassnode 的鏈上數據表明，比特幣 (BTC) 的價格可能會大幅下跌

如果 AMBCrypto 從 Glassnode 的鏈上數據獲得的訊號是真實的，那麼比特幣 [BTC] 的價格可能會大幅下跌。

Bitcoin [BTC] might be gearing up for a significant price decrease if the signals picked up by AMBCrypto from Glassnode’s on-chain data are anything to go by.

如果 AMBCrypto 從 Glassnode 的鏈上數據中獲得的訊號是真實的，那麼比特幣 [BTC] 可能正在準備大幅價格下跌。

This prediction is being led by the LTH Market Inflation Rate. LTH stands for the Long Term Holders in the market.

這項預測是由 LTH 市場通膨率主導的。 LTH 代表市場上的長期持有者。

The LTH Market Inflation Rate uses the level of accumulation or distribution to determine Bitcoin’s next direction.

LTH市場通膨率利用累積或分配的水平來確定比特幣的下一步方向。

Now, if you look at the chart below, you will notice two lines on this chart. The green color represents the market inflation rate, while the manila color indicates the nominal inflation rate.

現在，如果您查看下面的圖表，您會注意到該圖表上有兩條線。綠色代表市場通膨率，馬尼拉色代表名目通膨率。

Investor belief does not equate their actions

投資人的信念並不等於他們的行動

During bull cycles, if the market inflation drops below the nominal inflation, it indicates that long-term holders are accumulating. As such, this could drive a price increase for Bitcoin.

在牛市週期中，如果市場通膨低於名目通膨，則表示長期持有者正在增持。因此，這可能會推動比特幣價格上漲。

On the other hand, the market inflation rate rising above the nominal rate suggests that holders are significantly adding to the sell pressure.

另一方面，市場通膨率升至名目利率以上表示持有者正在顯著增加拋售壓力。

Hence, BTC could be on the verge of a notable fall. At press time, the metric formed the latter pattern.

因此，比特幣可能正處於大幅下跌的邊緣。截至發稿時，該指標形成了後一種模式。

Bitcoin changed hands at $69,164 at press time, representing a 2.98% increase in the last seven days.

截至發稿時，比特幣價格為 69,164 美元，過去 7 天上漲 2.98%。

But before we conclude that holders might push BTC to the downside, let’s see what AMBCrypto has to say about the sentiment that holders have about the coin.

但在我們得出持有者可能會推動 BTC 下跌的結論之前，讓我們先看看 AMBCrypto 對持有者對該代幣的看法有何看法。

To do this, we analyzed the LTH-NUPL. This metric is an acronym for Long Term Holder – Net Unrealized Profit/Loss. With this, one can have an idea of the behavior of long-term holders.

為此，我們分析了 LTH-NUPL。此指標是長期持有者 – 未實現淨損益的縮寫。透過這一點，人們可以了解長期持有者的行為。

As of this writing, the LTH-NUPL was in the belief zone (green). This indicates that holders, who have held the coin for at least 155 days, are confident in Bitcoin’s potential.

截至撰寫本文時，LTH-NUPL 處於信念區（綠色）。這表明持有比特幣至少 155 天的持有者對比特幣的潛力充滿信心。

However, this might not be for the short term, as the same set of people might contribute to BTC’s distribution.

然而，這可能不會在短期內發生，因為同一群人可能會為 BTC 的分配做出貢獻。

In terms of price prediction, the liquidation heatmap provided some interesting insights into the coin’s movement.

在價格預測方面，清算熱圖為代幣的走勢提供了一些有趣的見解。

$72K, then $63K

7.2 萬美元，然後是 6.3 萬美元

The liquidation heatmap helps traders to find the best liquidity positions. If liquidity is concentrated in an area, prices can move in that direction. However, high liquidity zones can also be resistance or support zones.

清算熱圖幫助交易者找到最佳的流動性部位。如果流動性集中在一個區域，價格就會朝那個方向移動。然而，高流動性區域也可以是阻力或支撐區域。

Using data from Hyblock, AMBCrypto managed to identify a magnetic zone at $72,350, indicating that Bitcoin’s price could move toward that region.

AMBCrypto 利用 Hyblock 的數據成功確定了 72,350 美元的磁區，這表明比特幣的價格可能會向該區域移動。

However, the same zone could act as resistance for the coin. If BTC rises to the aforementioned price and gets rejected, it could spell doom for the cryptocurrency.

然而，同一區域可能會成為代幣的阻力位。如果比特幣上漲到上述價格並被拒絕，這可能會為加密貨幣帶來厄運。

This is because the other major high-liquidity area was at $63,050.

這是因為另一個主要的高流動性區域為 63,050 美元。

Is your portfolio green? Check out the BTC Profit Calculator

您的投資組合是綠色的嗎？查看 BTC 利潤計算器

Going by the indications above, Bitcoin’s price can increase. But when the correction appears, it could be difficult for the coin to rebound.

根據上述跡象，比特幣的價格可能會上漲。但當回調出現時，代幣可能很難反彈。

Should the coin lose hold of $63,050, the next decline could send BTC to $56,200. However, if this does not happen, Bitcoin might bounce toward $70,000 one more time.

如果比特幣失去 63,050 美元的支撐，下一次下跌可能會使 BTC 跌至 56,200 美元。然而，如果這種情況沒有發生，比特幣可能會再次反彈至 70,000 美元。