Glassnode 的链上数据表明，比特币 (BTC) 的价格可能会大幅下跌

如果 AMBCrypto 从 Glassnode 的链上数据获得的信号是真实的，那么比特币 [BTC] 的价格可能会大幅下跌。

Bitcoin [BTC] might be gearing up for a significant price decrease if the signals picked up by AMBCrypto from Glassnode’s on-chain data are anything to go by.

如果 AMBCrypto 从 Glassnode 的链上数据中获取的信号是真实的，那么比特币 [BTC] 可能正在准备大幅价格下跌。

This prediction is being led by the LTH Market Inflation Rate. LTH stands for the Long Term Holders in the market.

这一预测是由 LTH 市场通胀率主导的。 LTH 代表市场上的长期持有者。

The LTH Market Inflation Rate uses the level of accumulation or distribution to determine Bitcoin’s next direction.

LTH市场通胀率利用积累或分配的水平来确定比特币的下一步方向。

Now, if you look at the chart below, you will notice two lines on this chart. The green color represents the market inflation rate, while the manila color indicates the nominal inflation rate.

现在，如果您查看下面的图表，您会注意到该图表上有两条线。绿色代表市场通胀率，马尼拉色代表名义通胀率。

Investor belief does not equate their actions

投资者的信念并不等于他们的行动

During bull cycles, if the market inflation drops below the nominal inflation, it indicates that long-term holders are accumulating. As such, this could drive a price increase for Bitcoin.

在牛市周期中，如果市场通胀低于名义通胀，则表明长期持有者正在增持。因此，这可能会推动比特币价格上涨。

On the other hand, the market inflation rate rising above the nominal rate suggests that holders are significantly adding to the sell pressure.

另一方面，市场通胀率升至名义利率以上表明持有者正在显着增加抛售压力。

Hence, BTC could be on the verge of a notable fall. At press time, the metric formed the latter pattern.

因此，比特币可能正处于大幅下跌的边缘。截至发稿时，该指标形成了后一种模式。

Bitcoin changed hands at $69,164 at press time, representing a 2.98% increase in the last seven days.

截至发稿时，比特币价格为 69,164 美元，过去 7 天上涨 2.98%。

But before we conclude that holders might push BTC to the downside, let’s see what AMBCrypto has to say about the sentiment that holders have about the coin.

但在我们得出持有者可能会推动 BTC 下跌的结论之前，让我们看看 AMBCrypto 对持有者对该代币的看法有何看法。

To do this, we analyzed the LTH-NUPL. This metric is an acronym for Long Term Holder – Net Unrealized Profit/Loss. With this, one can have an idea of the behavior of long-term holders.

为此，我们分析了 LTH-NUPL。该指标是长期持有者 – 未实现净损益的缩写。通过这一点，人们可以了解长期持有者的行为。

As of this writing, the LTH-NUPL was in the belief zone (green). This indicates that holders, who have held the coin for at least 155 days, are confident in Bitcoin’s potential.

截至撰写本文时，LTH-NUPL 处于信念区（绿色）。这表明持有比特币至少 155 天的持有者对比特币的潜力充满信心。

However, this might not be for the short term, as the same set of people might contribute to BTC’s distribution.

然而，这可能不会在短期内发生，因为同一群人可能会为 BTC 的分配做出贡献。

In terms of price prediction, the liquidation heatmap provided some interesting insights into the coin’s movement.

在价格预测方面，清算热图为代币的走势提供了一些有趣的见解。

$72K, then $63K

7.2 万美元，然后是 6.3 万美元

The liquidation heatmap helps traders to find the best liquidity positions. If liquidity is concentrated in an area, prices can move in that direction. However, high liquidity zones can also be resistance or support zones.

清算热图帮助交易者找到最佳的流动性头寸。如果流动性集中在一个区域，价格就会朝那个方向移动。然而，高流动性区域也可以是阻力或支撑区域。

Using data from Hyblock, AMBCrypto managed to identify a magnetic zone at $72,350, indicating that Bitcoin’s price could move toward that region.

AMBCrypto 利用 Hyblock 的数据成功确定了 72,350 美元的磁区，这表明比特币的价格可能会向该区域移动。

However, the same zone could act as resistance for the coin. If BTC rises to the aforementioned price and gets rejected, it could spell doom for the cryptocurrency.

然而，同一区域可能会成为代币的阻力位。如果比特币上涨到上述价格并被拒绝，这可能会给加密货币带来厄运。

This is because the other major high-liquidity area was at $63,050.

这是因为另一个主要的高流动性区域为 63,050 美元。

Is your portfolio green? Check out the BTC Profit Calculator

您的投资组合是绿色的吗？查看 BTC 利润计算器

Going by the indications above, Bitcoin’s price can increase. But when the correction appears, it could be difficult for the coin to rebound.

根据上述迹象，比特币的价格可能会上涨。但当回调出现时，代币可能很难反弹。

Should the coin lose hold of $63,050, the next decline could send BTC to $56,200. However, if this does not happen, Bitcoin might bounce toward $70,000 one more time.

如果比特币失去 63,050 美元的支撑，下一次下跌可能会使 BTC 跌至 56,200 美元。然而，如果这种情况没有发生，比特币可能会再次反弹至 70,000 美元。