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本週晚些時候到期的關鍵宏觀經濟數據可以作為比特幣下一步行動的催化劑,傑出表現是星期五的非農場工資報告。
Bitcoin (BTC) price stalled ahead of a batch of U.S. macroeconomic data that could offer the next impetus for direction.
比特幣(BTC)的價格停滯在一批美國宏觀經濟數據之前,可以為下一個方向提供下一個動力。
The largest cryptocurrency was last trading around $95,200, having reached a series of higher lows and lower highs that formed a symmetrical triangle consolidation pattern following a strong uptrend. This setup usually implies a continuation, with a decisive breakout above $95,500 potentially sparking the next leg higher and a drop below support signaling a potential reversal.
最大的加密貨幣是最後一次交易約95,200美元,已經達到了一系列更高的低點和較低的高點,在強大的上升趨勢之後形成了對稱的三角合併模式。這種設置通常意味著延續,其決定性突破超過$ 95,500,潛在地引發下一個腿更高,並且低於支撐的下降信號表明潛在的逆轉。
The technical indicator hashrate, which measures the total computing power used to secure the bitcoin network, is showing signs of slowing down after a rapid increase in recent months. It is now about 10% away from its record high. A downward difficulty adjustment of more than 5% is anticipated in four days and will provide some relief to miners, who have been facing hashprice levels at multi-year lows.
衡量用於確保比特幣網絡的總計算能力的技術指標哈希酸鹽正在顯示近幾個月快速增加後放慢速度的跡象。現在,它距離其紀錄高約10%。預計將在四天內調整超過5%的下降困難,並為礦工提供一些緩解,這些礦工在多年低點面臨著山峰水平。
The week's macroeconomic data includes personal spending and GDP growth figures on Wednesday, though Friday's jobs report takes center stage. Economists forecast a drop in new jobs to 135,000 during April, down from March's 228,000 figure, which was the strongest in three months.
本週的宏觀經濟數據包括週三的個人支出和GDP增長數據,儘管週五的工作報告是中心舞台。經濟學家預測,在四月的228,000位數字中,新工作將下降到135,000,這是三個月來最強的數字。
The unemployment rate is projected to have held steady at 4.2%, underscoring a persistently tight labor market. The CME FedWatch Tool currently indicates a 91% probability of the Fed funds rate being held at at 4.25%–4.50% at the May 7 FOMC meeting.
失業率預計將保持穩定在4.2%,這突顯了一個持續緊張的勞動力市場。 CME FedWatch工具目前表明在5月7日FOMC會議上,美聯儲資金利率為4.25%–4.50%的概率為91%。
Also in the mix, earnings season is heating up, particularly among the “Magnificent Seven” tech stocks. Microsoft (MSFT) and Meta (META) report after the market close on Wednesday, followed by Apple (AAPL), Amazon (AMZN) and Strategy (MSTR) on Thursday. Stay alert!Key Levels and Technical Analysis
同樣在結構上,收益季節正在升溫,尤其是在“宏偉的七種”科技股中。在周三市場關閉後,微軟(MSFT)和Meta(Meta)報告,其次是Apple(AAPL),Amazon(AMZN)和策略(MSTR)週四。保持警覺!關鍵水平和技術分析
Relative Strength Index (RSI) on 4-hour chart: 48
4小時圖表上的相對強度指數(RSI):48
Support Levels: $94,000, followed by $93,000
支持水平:94,000美元,其次是$ 93,000
Resistance Levels: $95,500, then $96,000
電阻水平:$ 95,500,然後是$ 96,000
Hashrate: 344 exhash/s (slowing from recent highs)
哈希拉特:344 exhash/s(從最近的高點放慢)
Next Difficulty Adjustment: In 4 days (+5.28% expected)
下一個難度調整:4天內(預期+5.28%)
Average Hashprice: $0.08/hash/s (multi-year lows)
平均HashPrice:$ 0.08/hash/s(多年低點)
What to Watch
看什麼
* Friday's non-farm payrolls report for April is a key event, with economists expecting a decline in the new jobs figure to 135,000 and the unemployment rate to remain at 4.2%.
*週五的4月份的非農業工資報告是一個關鍵事件,經濟學家預計新就業數字將下降至135,000,失業率仍為4.2%。
* Personal spending and GDP growth data for the first quarter is due on Wednesday.
*第一季度的個人支出和GDP增長數據將於週三到期。
* Several Magnificent Seven tech companies are reporting earnings this week, starting with Microsoft and Meta on Wednesday. Apple, Amazon and Strategy will follow on Thursday.
*本周有幾家宏偉的七家科技公司將於週三從微軟和Meta開始報告。蘋果,亞馬遜和策略將於週四遵循。
* The CME FedWatch Tool predicts a 91% chance of the Fed funds rate being kept in the 4.25%–4.50% range at the May 7 FOMC meeting.
* CME FedWatch工具預測,在5月7日FOMC會議上,將有91%的美聯儲資金利率保持在4.25%–4.50%的範圍內。
Token Events
令牌事件
* No notable token events are scheduled for this week.
*本週未安排明顯的令牌事件。
Conferences
會議
* CoinDesk's Consensus is taking place in Toronto on May 14-16. Use code DAYBOOK and save 15% on passes.
* Coindesk的共識將於5月14日至16日在多倫多進行。使用代碼日書並節省15%的通行證。
Token Talk
代幣談話
By Shaurya Malwa
Shaurya Malwa
Derivatives Positioning
衍生物定位
Market Movements:
市場變動:
Bitcoin Stats:
比特幣統計:
Technical Analysis
技術分析
Crypto Equities
加密股票
ETF Flows
ETF流
Spot BTC ETFs:
SPOT BTC ETF:
Spot ETH ETFs
點ETH ETF
Source: Farside Investors
資料來源:Farside Investors
Overnight Flows
隔夜流動
Chart of the Day
日圖
While You Were Sleeping
當你睡覺的時候
In the Ether
在以太
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