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本周晚些时候到期的关键宏观经济数据可以作为比特币下一步行动的催化剂,杰出表现是星期五的非农场工资报告。
Bitcoin (BTC) price stalled ahead of a batch of U.S. macroeconomic data that could offer the next impetus for direction.
比特币(BTC)的价格停滞在一批美国宏观经济数据之前,可以为下一个方向提供下一个动力。
The largest cryptocurrency was last trading around $95,200, having reached a series of higher lows and lower highs that formed a symmetrical triangle consolidation pattern following a strong uptrend. This setup usually implies a continuation, with a decisive breakout above $95,500 potentially sparking the next leg higher and a drop below support signaling a potential reversal.
最大的加密货币是最后一次交易约95,200美元,已经达到了一系列更高的低点和较低的高点,在强大的上升趋势之后形成了对称的三角合并模式。这种设置通常意味着延续,其决定性突破超过$ 95,500,潜在地引发下一个腿更高,并且低于支撑的下降信号表明潜在的逆转。
The technical indicator hashrate, which measures the total computing power used to secure the bitcoin network, is showing signs of slowing down after a rapid increase in recent months. It is now about 10% away from its record high. A downward difficulty adjustment of more than 5% is anticipated in four days and will provide some relief to miners, who have been facing hashprice levels at multi-year lows.
衡量用于确保比特币网络的总计算能力的技术指标哈希酸盐正在显示近几个月快速增加后放慢速度的迹象。现在,它距离其纪录高约10%。预计将在四天内调整超过5%的下降困难,并为矿工提供一些缓解,这些矿工在多年低点面临着山峰水平。
The week's macroeconomic data includes personal spending and GDP growth figures on Wednesday, though Friday's jobs report takes center stage. Economists forecast a drop in new jobs to 135,000 during April, down from March's 228,000 figure, which was the strongest in three months.
本周的宏观经济数据包括周三的个人支出和GDP增长数据,尽管周五的工作报告是中心舞台。经济学家预测,在四月的228,000位数字中,新工作将下降到135,000,这是三个月来最强的数字。
The unemployment rate is projected to have held steady at 4.2%, underscoring a persistently tight labor market. The CME FedWatch Tool currently indicates a 91% probability of the Fed funds rate being held at at 4.25%–4.50% at the May 7 FOMC meeting.
失业率预计将保持稳定在4.2%,这突显了一个持续紧张的劳动力市场。 CME FedWatch工具目前表明在5月7日FOMC会议上,美联储资金利率为4.25%–4.50%的概率为91%。
Also in the mix, earnings season is heating up, particularly among the “Magnificent Seven” tech stocks. Microsoft (MSFT) and Meta (META) report after the market close on Wednesday, followed by Apple (AAPL), Amazon (AMZN) and Strategy (MSTR) on Thursday. Stay alert!Key Levels and Technical Analysis
同样在结构上,收益季节正在升温,尤其是在“宏伟的七种”科技股中。在周三市场关闭后,微软(MSFT)和Meta(Meta)报告,其次是Apple(AAPL),Amazon(AMZN)和策略(MSTR)周四。保持警觉!关键水平和技术分析
Relative Strength Index (RSI) on 4-hour chart: 48
4小时图表上的相对强度指数(RSI):48
Support Levels: $94,000, followed by $93,000
支持水平:94,000美元,其次是$ 93,000
Resistance Levels: $95,500, then $96,000
电阻水平:$ 95,500,然后是$ 96,000
Hashrate: 344 exhash/s (slowing from recent highs)
哈希拉特:344 exhash/s(从最近的高点放慢)
Next Difficulty Adjustment: In 4 days (+5.28% expected)
下一个难度调整:4天内(预期+5.28%)
Average Hashprice: $0.08/hash/s (multi-year lows)
平均HashPrice:$ 0.08/hash/s(多年低点)
What to Watch
看什么
* Friday's non-farm payrolls report for April is a key event, with economists expecting a decline in the new jobs figure to 135,000 and the unemployment rate to remain at 4.2%.
*周五的4月份的非农业工资报告是一个关键事件,经济学家预计新就业数字将下降至135,000,失业率仍为4.2%。
* Personal spending and GDP growth data for the first quarter is due on Wednesday.
*第一季度的个人支出和GDP增长数据将于周三到期。
* Several Magnificent Seven tech companies are reporting earnings this week, starting with Microsoft and Meta on Wednesday. Apple, Amazon and Strategy will follow on Thursday.
*本周有几家宏伟的七家科技公司将于周三从微软和Meta开始报告。苹果,亚马逊和策略将于周四遵循。
* The CME FedWatch Tool predicts a 91% chance of the Fed funds rate being kept in the 4.25%–4.50% range at the May 7 FOMC meeting.
* CME FedWatch工具预测,在5月7日FOMC会议上,将有91%的美联储资金利率保持在4.25%–4.50%的范围内。
Token Events
令牌事件
* No notable token events are scheduled for this week.
*本周未安排明显的令牌事件。
Conferences
会议
* CoinDesk's Consensus is taking place in Toronto on May 14-16. Use code DAYBOOK and save 15% on passes.
* Coindesk的共识将于5月14日至16日在多伦多进行。使用代码日书并节省15%的通行证。
Token Talk
代币谈话
By Shaurya Malwa
Shaurya Malwa
Derivatives Positioning
衍生物定位
Market Movements:
市场变动:
Bitcoin Stats:
比特币统计:
Technical Analysis
技术分析
Crypto Equities
加密股票
ETF Flows
ETF流
Spot BTC ETFs:
SPOT BTC ETF:
Spot ETH ETFs
点ETH ETF
Source: Farside Investors
资料来源:Farside Investors
Overnight Flows
隔夜流动
Chart of the Day
日图
While You Were Sleeping
当你睡觉的时候
In the Ether
在以太
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