到2030年，比特幣（BTC）可能達到每枚硬幣150萬美元，方舟投資項目

投資者兼首席執行官凱西·伍德（Cathie Wood）的方舟投資公司項目，比特幣到2030

Investor and CEO Cathie Wood's ARK Invest firm projects that Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) could reach $1.5 million per coin by 2030, according to its newly released Big Ideas 2025 report.

根據其最新發布的Big Ideas 2025報告，投資者兼首席執行官Cathie Wood的ARK Invest公司項目，比特幣（Crypto：BTC）到2030年的每枚硬幣可能達到150萬美元。

The forecast, detailed this week, highlights institutional adoption, Bitcoin's role as “digital gold,” and emerging market demand as the key drivers behind the potential surge.

本周詳細介紹的預測強調了機構採用，比特幣作為“數字黃金”的作用以及新興市場需求，這是潛在激增的關鍵動力。

Why It Matters: Bitcoin is currently trading near $95,000, having reached a record high of around $108,000 in December. If realized, ARK's prediction would represent a more than 1,400 percent increase from today's levels.

它為什麼重要：比特幣目前的交易價格接近95,000美元，在12月達到了108,000美元左右的創紀錄。如果意識到，方舟的預測將比當今的水平增加1,400％以上。

The release comes as President Donald Trump, newly returned to the White House, has pledged to boost cryptocurrency adoption and proposed creating a Strategic Bitcoin Reserve for the United States.

新聞發布會是隨著唐納德·特朗普總統（Donald Trump）的新返回白宮的保證，他承諾提高加密貨幣的採用，並提議為美國創建戰略性比特幣儲備。

What To Know: ARK Invest's primary bull case places Bitcoin at $1.5 million by the end of the decade. Wood's firm also laid out alternative scenarios: a base case of $710,000 and a bear case of $300,000, according to CCN.

要知道的是：前十年末，ARK Invest的主要公牛案將比特幣定為150萬美元。伍德公司還提出了其他方案：據CCN稱，基本案例為710,000美元，熊案為30萬美元。

These projections were modeled based on Bitcoin's penetration rates into various total addressable markets (TAMs), including institutional portfolios, digital gold markets and use as a safe haven asset in emerging economies.

這些預測是根據比特幣中的滲透率（TAM）的滲透率（包括機構投資組合，數字黃金市場）建模的，並用作新興經濟體的避風港資產。

In its most optimistic supplementary modeling, ARK suggested Bitcoin could rise even higher—up to $2.4 million—under more aggressive assumptions about adoption rates, according to Cointelegraph. However, this $2.4 million figure was not the central forecast presented in the Big Ideas 2025 report.

根據Cointelegraph的數據，方舟建議比特幣在其最樂觀的補充建模中可能會提高比比特幣的提高（至240萬美元）對採用率的更為積極的假設。但是，這個240萬美元的數字並不是《大想法2025年報告》中提出的中心預測。

"Institutional investment contributes the most to our bull case," said ARK research analyst David Puell, explaining that a 6.5 percent penetration rate into the $200 trillion global market for financial assets could propel Bitcoin's price dramatically.

方舟研究分析師戴維·普爾（David Puell）說：“機構投資對我們的公牛案做出了最大的貢獻。”他解釋說，在全球200萬億美元的金融資產市場上，滲透率為6.5％，可以極大地推動比特幣的價格。

Bitcoin's growing appeal as "digital gold" was also emphasized, with ARK estimating Bitcoin could capture up to 60 percent of gold's $18 trillion market cap under favorable conditions. Additionally, Bitcoin's role in protecting wealth in emerging markets suffering from inflation could be a major driver of demand, contributing substantially to future valuation growth.

由於“數字黃金”也被強調，比特幣的吸引力越來越大，方舟估計比特幣在有利條件下最多可以捕獲Gold 18萬億美元市值的60％。此外，比特幣在保護通貨膨脹的新興市場中的作用可能是需求的主要驅動力，這對未來的估值增長做出了重大貢獻。

Strike CEO Jack Mallers also weighed in on Bitcoin's prospects, suggesting that Bitcoin could climb to between $250,000 and $1 million by 2030, citing rising dysfunction in traditional financial systems as a tailwind, CCN reported.

CCN報導，Strike CEO Jack Mallers還對比特幣的前景進行了壓力，這表明到2030年，比特幣可能會攀升至25萬至100萬美元之間，原因是傳統金融系統的功能障礙升高。

Newsweek reached out to ARK for comment via email.

Newsweek通過電子郵件與ARK聯繫以進行評論。

What People Are Saying: Alex Beene, a financial literacy instructor for the University of Tennessee at Martin, told Newsweek, "With bitcoin, no matter what prediction you read, the answer for where the price is going should always be 'Nobody knows.' Bitcoin has had a mixed track record over the last five years. Sometimes it follows market trends, rising and falling as the S&P does. Other times, like recently, some investors look at it as a safe haven like gold from a chaotic currency situation."

人們在說什麼：田納西大學馬丁大學的金融掃盲教練亞歷克斯·貝德（Alex Beane）告訴《新聞周刊》：“無論您閱讀什麼預測，價格的答案都應該始終是“沒人知道”。在過去的五年中，比特幣的往績都混在一起。

Kevin Thompson, the CEO of 9i Capital Group and the host of the 9innings podcast, told Newsweek, "She has current investments within the crypto-currency space so it is very difficult to take these predictions seriously, especially when ARK Invest has exposure for on and off chain Bitcoin holdings.

9i Capital Group的首席執行官，9innings Podcast的主持人凱文·湯普森（Kevin Thompson）告訴《新聞周刊》：“她目前在加密貨幣領域的投資中進行了投資，因此很難認真對待這些預測，尤其是當ARK Invests可以接觸開關鏈幣比特幣持有量。

"Investors have soured on Cathie Woods ever since she has failed to replicate the magnificent returns she enjoyed during the pandemic rally. She has experienced significant outflows given her underperformance of the S&P 500 over recent years. To be honest, I often see many pundits bashing her as sort of envious of what she has become in a male dominated industry."

“自從凱西·伍茲（Cathie Woods）上沒有復制她在大流行集會期間享受的巨大回報以來，投資者就一直在造成巨大的回報。鑑於她近年來她的表現不佳，她經歷了大量的流出。老實說，老實說，老實說，我經常看到許多專家們震驚了她在男性主導的行業中卻令人羨慕。”

Michael Ryan, a finance expert and the founder of MichaelRyanMoney.com, told Newsweek, "You know what's fascinating about Bitcoin predictions? They're essentially financial astrology wrapped in technical jargon. Cathie Wood's $1.5 million forecast is fueled by institutional FOMO, not fundamentals. Why are smart investors still chasing these moonshot predictions? Because nobody gets famous for saying 'expect reasonable 7 to 9 percent returns.'"

財務專家，Michaelryanmoney.com的創始人邁克爾·瑞安（Michael Ryan）告訴《新聞周刊》：“您知道對比特幣預測的令人著迷的是什麼？它們本質上是用技術術語包裹的財務占星術。凱西·伍德（Cathie Wood）的150萬美元預測推動了製度性的福莫（Fomo），不是基本上的智能投資人，為什麼不符合這些著名的著名的人？

What's Next: Bitcoin's potential climb toward $1.5 million—or beyond—will depend on sustained institutional momentum, geopolitical and economic trends and regulatory developments both in the U.S. and globally.

接下來是：比特幣的潛在攀升至150萬美元（或超越）將取決於美國和全球範圍內的持續機構勢頭，地緣政治和經濟趨勢以及監管發展。

"For investors, this prediction isn't a roadmap but more like a Rorschach test. The true believers will see validation, the skeptics will see delusion, and the market will do whatever it wants regardless," Ryan said.

瑞安說：“對於投資者而言，這一預測不是路線圖，而是更像是Rorschach的測試。真正的信徒將看到驗證，懷疑論者會看到妄想，而市場將盡其所能。”

Trump's proposal for a Strategic Bitcoin Reserve, outlined after his return to the White House, has energized crypto advocates who see government support as a potential catalyst for faster mainstream adoption.

特朗普返回白宮後概述的戰略比特幣儲備的提議激發了加密宣言，他們將政府支持視為更快的主流採用的潛在催化劑。

While ARK's models provide a roadmap for Bitcoin's potential, the firm acknowledged that risks

儘管方舟的模型為比特幣的潛力提供了路線圖，但該公司承認風險有風險