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加密貨幣新聞文章

比特幣 (BTC) 彩虹圖預測 2025 年比特幣價格範圍

2024/08/19 16:50

比特幣彩虹圖是一種利用對數成長曲線並描述不同價格水平的投資者情緒的工具。

比特幣 (BTC) 彩虹圖預測 2025 年比特幣價格範圍

Bitcoin (BTC) price today is showing a trend for stabilization after a 30-day loss of 11.95%, with the coin being up 38.53% year-to-date (YTD) as of press time.

比特幣 (BTC) 價格在連續 30 天下跌 11.95% 後,今天呈現出穩定趨勢,截至發稿時,該幣種年初至今 (YTD) 已上漲 38.53%。

The recent downturn began after BTC failed to hold onto its multi-month stable levels near $67,000, ultimately dropping below $50,000 for brief periods of time and experiencing substantial volatility and selling pressure.

最近的低迷始於 BTC 未能保持在 67,000 美元附近的數月穩定水平,最終短暫跌破 50,000 美元,並經歷了大幅波動和拋售壓力。

However, the coin showed significant resilience in retaining the range between approximately $58,000 and about $60,000 throughout most of August.

然而,該代幣在 8 月的大部分時間裡表現出顯著的彈性,保持在約 58,000 美元至約 60,000 美元之間的區間。

With both the downward pressure of recent months – a downward pressure that has seen BTC experience major short-term drops during the summer of 2024 – and the room for further growth in the longer time frames, Finbold decided to examine the Bitcoin Rainbow Chart to help gauge where the cryptocurrency can stand at the onset of 2025.

考慮到近幾個月的下行壓力(比特幣在 2024 年夏季經歷了短期大幅下跌的下行壓力)以及較長時間範圍內進一步增長的空間,Finbold 決定檢查比特幣彩虹圖,以幫助衡量加密貨幣在2025 年初的狀況。

Bitcoin price bound by ‘still cheap’ to ‘FOMO intensifies’ zones in 2025

2025 年比特幣價格將「仍然便宜」至「FOMO 加劇」區域

The Bitcoin Rainbow Chart is a tool that utilizes a logarithmic growth curve and describes investor sentiment at various price levels. It is divided into nine color-coded zones, each representing a certain price range and the associated market sentiment. These range from ‘Bitcoin is dead’ – lows that indicate that severe bearish sentiment prevails – to ‘Maximum Bubble Territory’ – highs that are so high that the cryptocurrency’s price is likely to plummet.

比特幣彩虹圖是一種利用對數成長曲線並描述不同價格水平的投資者情緒的工具。它分為九個顏色編碼區域,每個區域代表一定的價格範圍和相關的市場情緒。這些範圍從「比特幣已死」(顯示嚴重看跌情緒盛行的低點)到「最大泡沫區域」(高點如此之高以至於加密貨幣的價格可能會暴跌)。

Bitcoin’s crypto market moves throughout August have placed the coin at the very border between the ‘still cheap’ and ‘accumulate’ zones, indicating that BTC is likely to stay at press time prices for some time but also that its next major move is most likely to be upward.

比特幣整個8 月的加密貨幣市場走勢將比特幣置於「仍然便宜」和「累積」區域之間的邊界,這表明BTC 可能會在一段時間內保持在發稿時的價格,但也很可能會出現下一個重大走勢向上。

Bitcoin price predictions for 2025 according to the Rainbow Chart

根據彩虹圖對 2025 年比特幣價格進行預測

Looking ahead, should Bitcoin be anywhere below $66,199.24 at the start of 2025 – the designated lower bound of the ‘still cheap’ zone on January 2 – it would be likely that the coin has either spent the rest of 2024 trading sideways or that its most recent move prior to the New Year has been a plunge.

展望未來,如果比特幣在 2025 年初低於 66,199.24 美元(即 1 月 2 日指定的「仍然便宜」區域的下限),那麼該代幣可能會在 2024 年剩餘時間裡橫盤交易,或者處於最新年之前的近期走勢是暴跌。

Under both circumstances, the bull case for BTC could be invalidated, given the expectations of a continued 2024 boom prevalent among many investors and experts as of August 19, 2024. Still, the actual interpretation of such a price level would depend on the state of the broader market

在這兩種情況下,考慮到截至2024 年8 月19 日許多投資者和專家普遍預期2024 年將持續繁榮,比特幣的牛市理由可能會失效。於更廣大的市場

On the other hand, if Bitcoin finds itself trading above $145,265.67 – the ‘FOMO intensifies’ zone – it is likely that the cryptocurrency will experience a frenzied yet deeply unstable rise in the initial weeks of 2025. Simultaneously, trading above $187,289.67 would most likely serve as a harbinger of an imminent collapse.

另一方面,如果比特幣發現自己的交易價格高於145,265.67 美元(即「FOMO 加劇」區域),則該加密貨幣很可能會在2025 年的最初幾週經歷瘋狂但極不穩定的上漲。交易價格高於187,289.67 美元很可能會有所幫助作為即將崩潰的預兆。

Finally, if Bitcoin is between $86,032.22 and $113,373.77 at the start of 2025, it would likely mean that the cryptocurrency has found a higher stable footing indicative of a new strong support zone and could constitute fertile ground for significant upsides later in the year.

最後,如果比特幣在2025 年初的價格在86,032.22 美元至113,373.77 美元之間,這可能意味著該加密貨幣已經找到了一個更高的穩定基礎,表明一個新的強有力的支撐區域,並可能為今年晚些時候的大幅上漲奠定了沃土。

原始來源:finbold

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