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比特币彩虹图是一种利用对数增长曲线并描述不同价格水平的投资者情绪的工具。

Bitcoin (BTC) price today is showing a trend for stabilization after a 30-day loss of 11.95%, with the coin being up 38.53% year-to-date (YTD) as of press time.
比特币 (BTC) 价格在连续 30 天下跌 11.95% 后,今天呈现出企稳趋势,截至发稿时,该币种年初至今 (YTD) 已上涨 38.53%。
The recent downturn began after BTC failed to hold onto its multi-month stable levels near $67,000, ultimately dropping below $50,000 for brief periods of time and experiencing substantial volatility and selling pressure.
最近的低迷始于 BTC 未能保持在 67,000 美元附近的数月稳定水平,最终短暂跌破 50,000 美元,并经历了大幅波动和抛售压力。
However, the coin showed significant resilience in retaining the range between approximately $58,000 and about $60,000 throughout most of August.
然而,该代币在 8 月份的大部分时间里表现出显着的弹性,保持在约 58,000 美元至约 60,000 美元之间的区间。
With both the downward pressure of recent months – a downward pressure that has seen BTC experience major short-term drops during the summer of 2024 – and the room for further growth in the longer time frames, Finbold decided to examine the Bitcoin Rainbow Chart to help gauge where the cryptocurrency can stand at the onset of 2025.
考虑到近几个月的下行压力(比特币在 2024 年夏季经历了短期大幅下跌的下行压力)以及较长时间范围内进一步增长的空间,Finbold 决定检查比特币彩虹图,以帮助衡量加密货币在 2025 年初的状况。
Bitcoin price bound by ‘still cheap’ to ‘FOMO intensifies’ zones in 2025
2025 年比特币价格将“仍然便宜”至“FOMO 加剧”区域
The Bitcoin Rainbow Chart is a tool that utilizes a logarithmic growth curve and describes investor sentiment at various price levels. It is divided into nine color-coded zones, each representing a certain price range and the associated market sentiment. These range from ‘Bitcoin is dead’ – lows that indicate that severe bearish sentiment prevails – to ‘Maximum Bubble Territory’ – highs that are so high that the cryptocurrency’s price is likely to plummet.
比特币彩虹图是一种利用对数增长曲线并描述不同价格水平的投资者情绪的工具。它分为九个颜色编码区域,每个区域代表一定的价格范围和相关的市场情绪。这些范围从“比特币已死”(表明严重看跌情绪盛行的低点)到“最大泡沫区域”(高点如此之高以至于加密货币的价格可能会暴跌)。
Bitcoin’s crypto market moves throughout August have placed the coin at the very border between the ‘still cheap’ and ‘accumulate’ zones, indicating that BTC is likely to stay at press time prices for some time but also that its next major move is most likely to be upward.
比特币整个 8 月份的加密货币市场走势将比特币置于“仍然便宜”和“积累”区域之间的边界,这表明 BTC 可能会在一段时间内保持在发稿时的价格,但也很可能会出现下一个重大走势向上。
Bitcoin price predictions for 2025 according to the Rainbow Chart
根据彩虹图对 2025 年比特币价格进行预测
Looking ahead, should Bitcoin be anywhere below $66,199.24 at the start of 2025 – the designated lower bound of the ‘still cheap’ zone on January 2 – it would be likely that the coin has either spent the rest of 2024 trading sideways or that its most recent move prior to the New Year has been a plunge.
展望未来,如果比特币在 2025 年初低于 66,199.24 美元(即 1 月 2 日指定的“仍然便宜”区域的下限),那么该代币可能会在 2024 年剩余时间里横盘交易,或者处于最新年之前的近期走势是暴跌。
Under both circumstances, the bull case for BTC could be invalidated, given the expectations of a continued 2024 boom prevalent among many investors and experts as of August 19, 2024. Still, the actual interpretation of such a price level would depend on the state of the broader market
在这两种情况下,考虑到截至 2024 年 8 月 19 日许多投资者和专家普遍预期 2024 年将持续繁荣,比特币的牛市理由可能会失效。不过,对这种价格水平的实际解释将取决于更广阔的市场
On the other hand, if Bitcoin finds itself trading above $145,265.67 – the ‘FOMO intensifies’ zone – it is likely that the cryptocurrency will experience a frenzied yet deeply unstable rise in the initial weeks of 2025. Simultaneously, trading above $187,289.67 would most likely serve as a harbinger of an imminent collapse.
另一方面,如果比特币发现自己的交易价格高于 145,265.67 美元(即“FOMO 加剧”区域),则该加密货币很可能会在 2025 年的最初几周经历疯狂但极不稳定的上涨。同时,交易价格高于 187,289.67 美元很可能会有所帮助作为即将崩溃的预兆。
Finally, if Bitcoin is between $86,032.22 and $113,373.77 at the start of 2025, it would likely mean that the cryptocurrency has found a higher stable footing indicative of a new strong support zone and could constitute fertile ground for significant upsides later in the year.
最后,如果比特币在 2025 年初的价格在 86,032.22 美元至 113,373.77 美元之间,则可能意味着该加密货币已经找到了一个更高的稳定基础,表明新的强劲支撑区域,并可能为今年晚些时候的大幅上涨奠定沃土。
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