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加密貨幣新聞文章

NFP 數據顯示聯準會鴿派立場,比特幣 (BTC) 從 7.25 萬美元回落,以太幣 (ETH) 下跌 3%

2024/11/01 21:30

在美國公佈疲軟的非農就業數據後,加密貨幣和股市仍處於緊張狀態,這表明聯準會可能會採取鴿派立場。

NFP 數據顯示聯準會鴿派立場,比特幣 (BTC) 從 7.25 萬美元回落,以太幣 (ETH) 下跌 3%

Cryptocurrencies and stocks reacted positively to the U.S. releasing weak nonfarm payroll data, which could indicate a potentially dovish Federal Reserve.

加密貨幣和股票對美國發布疲軟的非農就業數據做出積極反應,這可能表明聯準會可能會採取鴿派立場。

Bitcoin (BTC) price dropped to around $70,000, while Ethereum (ETH) fell below $2,500. The total crypto market cap fell to $2.45 trillion, and the crypto fear and greed index moved from 65 to 57, indicating fear.

比特幣(BTC)價格跌至 70,000 美元左右,而以太幣(ETH)則跌破 2,500 美元。加密貨幣總市值跌至 2.45 兆美元,加密貨幣恐懼和貪婪指數從 65 升至 57,顯示恐懼。

Meanwhile, American stock index futures rose, with the Dow Jones, S&P 500, and Nasdaq 100 futures up 230, 33, and 130 points, respectively.

同時,美國股指期貨上漲,道瓊指數、標準普爾500指數和納斯達克100指數期貨分別上漲230點、33點和130點。

The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported that the country's economy added only 12,000 jobs in October, far less than the 223,000 added in September. This figure was also significantly lower than the median estimate of 106,000 and the ADP private sector payrolls of 115,000.

美國勞工統計局報告稱,10月該國經濟僅新增12,000個就業崗位,遠低於9月新增的223,000個就業機會。這一數字也顯著低於 106,000 人的中位數估計以及 115,000 人的 ADP 私部門就業人數。

The bureau attributed the low job additions to recent hurricanes in the U.S. and strikes at major employers like Boeing. Manufacturing payrolls dropped by 46,000, while government payrolls rose by 40,000.

該局將就業成長低歸因於美國最近的颶風以及波音等主要雇主的罷工。製造業就業人數減少了 46,000 人,而政府就業人數增加了 40,000 人。

On a positive note, the unemployment rate remained unchanged at 4.1%, and wage growth stayed strong. Average hourly earnings rose by 0.4% month-over-month and 4.0% annually.

從積極的方面來看,失業率維持在 4.1% 不變,薪資成長保持強勁。平均時薪較上季成長 0.4%,年率成長 4.0%。

Breaking: The US economy added 12,000 jobs in October, below expectations of 106,000. The unemployment rate was 4.1%, in line with expectations of 4.1%. This marks the lowest number of US jobs added since July 2021. All signs continue to point toward a weaker labor market.

突發新聞:10 月美國經濟新增就業 12,000 個,低於預期的 106,000 個。失業率為4.1%,符合4.1%的預期。這標誌著美國新增就業人數為 2021 年 7 月以來的最低水準。

Why the NFP data matters to Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies

為什麼非農就業數據對比特幣和其他加密貨幣很重要

This data could be positive for Bitcoin, altcoins, and the stock market for two reasons.

該數據可能對比特幣、山寨幣和股市有利,原因有二。

Firstly, the release came shortly before the American election, potentially influencing voters in favor of Donald Trump.

首先,這一消息是在美國大選前不久發布的,這可能會影響選民支持唐納德·川普。

Trump has expressed support for the crypto industry and suggested appointing a sector-friendly figure to head the Securities and Exchange Commission. Under current chair Gary Gensler, the SEC has faced criticism for regulating through enforcement. Recently, the agency issued a Well's Notice to Immutable X (IMX), a gaming-focused layer-2 network.

川普表達了對加密貨幣行業的支持,並建議任命一位對該行業友好的人物來領導證券交易委員會。在現任主席加里·根斯勒 (Gary Gensler) 的領導下,美國證券交易委員會因透過執法進行監管而面臨批評。最近,該機構向 Immutable X (IMX) 發布了 Well 的通知,這是一個專注於遊戲的第 2 層網路。

The weak nonfarm payroll data may also encourage the Federal Reserve to continue cutting interest rates more aggressively as inflation trends toward 2%, reflected in the decline in U.S. bond yields following the report.

疲軟的非農就業數據也可能鼓勵聯準會繼續更積極地降息,因為通膨趨勢接近2%,報告發布後美國債券殖利率下降就反映了這一點。

The Fed has begun reducing rates, and analysts expect this trend to persist. The CME FedWatch tool indicates that the market anticipates rates will end 2025 at 3.50%, down from the current 5.0%.

聯準會已開始降息,分析師預計這一趨勢將持續下去。 CME FedWatch 工具顯示,市場預計 2025 年利率將從目前的 5.0% 降至 3.50%。

Risker assets like Bitcoin and stocks tend to perform well when the Fed lowers interest rates, as some capital shifts from money market funds to riskier assets, a trend reflected in recent Bitcoin ETF inflows.

當聯準會降低利率時,比特幣和股票等風險資產往往表現良好,因為一些資本從貨幣市場基金轉向風險資產,這一趨勢反映在最近的比特幣 ETF 流入中。

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