當今的比特幣（BTC）價格威脅要在波動48小時後跌至$ 10萬美元以下

當今的比特幣（BTC）價格在48小時的波動率下降了102,300美元左右，短暫拋售了101,000美元

Bitcoin price today is trading around $102,300 as the cryptocurrency faces heightened volatility following a brief selloff below $101,000 and a modest recovery. Despite the rebound, signs of slowing momentum are building as BTC struggles beneath its recent peak of $105,787.

當今的比特幣價格在102,300美元之間的交易額約為102,300美元，因為在短暫拋售以下$ 101,000並進行適度的回收率之後，加密貨幣面臨的波動率提高。儘管有反彈，但隨著BTC鬥爭的最新高峰為105,787美元，勢頭放緩的跡象仍在建立。

As the 4-hour chart rolls over, Bitcoin price action shows that BTC is still above its 20 and 50 EMA lines—currently at $102,822 and $100,890 respectively—suggesting that bulls still have near-term control. However, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) has slipped to 49, approaching neutral territory after forming a lower high. This indicates that buying pressure is cooling, even as price attempts to stabilize above key moving averages.

隨著4小時圖表的流逝，比特幣的價格動作表明，BTC仍高於其20和50 EMA線，目前分別為102,822美元和100,890美元，這表明公牛隊仍然具有近期的控制。但是，相對強度指數（RSI）已滑到49，在形成較低的高度後接近中性領土。這表明購買壓力正在冷卻，即使價格試圖穩定在關鍵的移動平均值上方。

On the 1-day chart, BTC has retested and rejected the critical $105,000 resistance zone twice. This area has historically served as a ceiling for bullish continuation, and without a strong catalyst, further upside may be limited. The price is also trading below the Fib 1.0 extension ($109,396), further capping gains.

在為期1天的圖表上，BTC兩次重新測試並拒絕了105,000美元的關鍵電阻區。該地區歷史上一直是看漲延續的上限，沒有強大的催化劑，進一步的上升空間可能會受到限制。價格還低於FIB 1.0擴展名（$ 109,396），進一步收穫。

Zooming into intraday sentiment, the 30-minute chart highlights increasing Bitcoin price volatility, with sharp swings between $101,000 and $103,000 forming a triangle structure. The RSI on this timeframe has dipped below 50, while MACD remains in bearish territory, with a weak crossover signal still struggling to confirm upward momentum.

30分鐘的圖表縮放成盤中情緒，突出了比特幣價格波動的提高，急劇波動在101,000美元至103,000美元之間，形成了三角形結構。這個時間範圍的RSI降至50台以下，而MACD仍位於看跌領域，跨界信號仍然在努力確認向上的勢頭。

This near-term indecision is consistent with broader signs of exhaustion. The 4-hour RSI peaked on May 10 and has since declined, indicating divergence even as prices rose to new local highs. Moreover, on the 30-minute trendline chart, BTC is forming a symmetrical triangle bounded by resistance at $104,548 and support around $101,035—setting the stage for a breakout or breakdown as early as May 14.

這種近期的猶豫不決與更廣泛的疲憊跡像一致。 4小時的RSI於5月10日達到頂峰，此後一直在下降，即使價格上漲到新的當地高點，也表明了分歧。此外，在30分鐘的趨勢圖表上，BTC形成了一個對稱的三角形，該三角形的阻力為104,548美元，支持約$ 101,035，最早於5月14日為突破或崩潰而付出了舞台。

Unless BTC decisively reclaims $104,000–$105,000 with strong volume, the risk of a drop to $101,000 or even the $98,000–$100,000 support band remains elevated.

除非BTC果斷地收回$ 104,000- $ 105,000，數量強，否則降低至101,000美元，甚至$ 98,000- $ 100,000的支持樂隊的風險仍在增加。

The most immediate support lies near $101,000, followed by a stronger base between $98,000 and $100,000 as indicated by EMA confluence and horizontal structure. On the flip side, a clean break above $104,500 would reopen the path to retest $105,700 and possibly $107,000.

最直接的支持在101,000美元接近$ 101,000，然後是EMA Confluence和水平結構所示的98,000至100,000美元之間的較強基數。另一方面，超過$ 104,500的干淨休息時間將重新打開重新測試$ 105,700和可能的107,000美元的道路。

From a broader trend perspective, the weekly Fibonacci chart shows BTC is still respecting the 0.618 retracement level near $96,727, suggesting macro bullish sentiment remains intact. But the resistance near $109,396 remains the long-term hurdle.

從更廣泛的趨勢角度來看，每週的斐波那契圖表明，BTC仍在尊重0.618回撤水平接近$ 96,727，這表明宏觀看漲情緒仍然完好無損。但是，抵制接近109,396美元仍然是長期障礙。

Given the combination of mixed RSI, bearish MACD signals, and rejection from key resistance, traders should remain cautious. Expect heightened Bitcoin price volatility heading into May 14, especially as BTC tests the triangle boundaries.

鑑於混合RSI，看跌MACD信號和關鍵抵抗的拒絕的結合，交易者應該保持謹慎。預計比特幣的價格波動提高到5月14日，尤其是在BTC測試三角界限時。