当今的比特币（BTC）价格威胁要在波动48小时后跌至$ 10万美元以下

当今的比特币（BTC）价格在48小时的波动率下降了102,300美元左右，短暂抛售了101,000美元

Bitcoin price today is trading around $102,300 as the cryptocurrency faces heightened volatility following a brief selloff below $101,000 and a modest recovery. Despite the rebound, signs of slowing momentum are building as BTC struggles beneath its recent peak of $105,787.

当今的比特币价格在102,300美元之间的交易额约为102,300美元，因为在短暂抛售以下$ 101,000并进行适度的回收率之后，加密货币面临的波动率提高。尽管有反弹，但随着BTC斗争的最新高峰为105,787美元，势头放缓的迹象仍在建立。

As the 4-hour chart rolls over, Bitcoin price action shows that BTC is still above its 20 and 50 EMA lines—currently at $102,822 and $100,890 respectively—suggesting that bulls still have near-term control. However, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) has slipped to 49, approaching neutral territory after forming a lower high. This indicates that buying pressure is cooling, even as price attempts to stabilize above key moving averages.

随着4小时图表的流逝，比特币的价格动作表明，BTC仍高于其20和50 EMA线，目前分别为102,822美元和100,890美元，这表明公牛队仍然具有近期的控制。但是，相对强度指数（RSI）已滑到49，在形成较低的高度后接近中性领土。这表明购买压力正在冷却，即使价格试图稳定在关键的移动平均值上方。

On the 1-day chart, BTC has retested and rejected the critical $105,000 resistance zone twice. This area has historically served as a ceiling for bullish continuation, and without a strong catalyst, further upside may be limited. The price is also trading below the Fib 1.0 extension ($109,396), further capping gains.

在为期1天的图表上，BTC两次重新测试并拒绝了105,000美元的关键电阻区。该地区历史上一直是看涨延续的上限，没有强大的催化剂，进一步的上升空间可能会受到限制。价格还低于FIB 1.0扩展名（$ 109,396），进一步收获。

Zooming into intraday sentiment, the 30-minute chart highlights increasing Bitcoin price volatility, with sharp swings between $101,000 and $103,000 forming a triangle structure. The RSI on this timeframe has dipped below 50, while MACD remains in bearish territory, with a weak crossover signal still struggling to confirm upward momentum.

30分钟的图表缩放成盘中情绪，突出了比特币价格波动的提高，急剧波动在101,000美元至103,000美元之间，形成了三角形结构。这个时间范围的RSI降至50台以下，而MACD仍位于看跌领域，跨界信号仍然在努力确认向上的势头。

This near-term indecision is consistent with broader signs of exhaustion. The 4-hour RSI peaked on May 10 and has since declined, indicating divergence even as prices rose to new local highs. Moreover, on the 30-minute trendline chart, BTC is forming a symmetrical triangle bounded by resistance at $104,548 and support around $101,035—setting the stage for a breakout or breakdown as early as May 14.

这种近期的犹豫不决与更广泛的疲惫迹象一致。 4小时的RSI于5月10日达到顶峰，此后一直在下降，即使价格上涨到新的当地高点，也表明了分歧。此外，在30分钟的趋势图表上，BTC形成了一个对称的三角形，该三角形的阻力为104,548美元，支持约$ 101,035，最早于5月14日为突破或崩溃而付出了舞台。

Unless BTC decisively reclaims $104,000–$105,000 with strong volume, the risk of a drop to $101,000 or even the $98,000–$100,000 support band remains elevated.

除非BTC果断地收回$ 104,000- $ 105,000，数量强，否则降低至101,000美元，甚至$ 98,000- $ 100,000的支持乐队的风险仍在增加。

The most immediate support lies near $101,000, followed by a stronger base between $98,000 and $100,000 as indicated by EMA confluence and horizontal structure. On the flip side, a clean break above $104,500 would reopen the path to retest $105,700 and possibly $107,000.

最直接的支持在101,000美元接近$ 101,000，然后是EMA Confluence和水平结构所示的98,000至100,000美元之间的较强基数。另一方面，超过$ 104,500的干净休息时间将重新打开重新测试$ 105,700和可能的107,000美元的道路。

From a broader trend perspective, the weekly Fibonacci chart shows BTC is still respecting the 0.618 retracement level near $96,727, suggesting macro bullish sentiment remains intact. But the resistance near $109,396 remains the long-term hurdle.

从更广泛的趋势角度来看，每周的斐波那契图表明，BTC仍在尊重0.618回撤水平接近$ 96,727，这表明宏观看涨情绪仍然完好无损。但是，抵制接近109,396美元仍然是长期障碍。

Given the combination of mixed RSI, bearish MACD signals, and rejection from key resistance, traders should remain cautious. Expect heightened Bitcoin price volatility heading into May 14, especially as BTC tests the triangle boundaries.

鉴于混合RSI，看跌MACD信号和关键抵抗的拒绝的结合，交易者应该保持谨慎。预计比特币的价格波动提高到5月14日，尤其是在BTC测试三角界限时。