今天的比特幣（BTC）價格上漲了3.7％

在本週早些時候最初跌至74,467美元之後，BTC的價格中度恢復到了82,700美元以上。本文探討了在中國對美國商品徵收報復性關稅之後，硬幣將如何交易。

Bitcoin price today rose by 3.7% even as the game of chicken between the United States and China on tariffs continued, raising the risk of a recession. After initially falling to $74,467 earlier this week, the BTC price has recovered moderately to above $82,700. This article explores how the coin will trade after China imposed its retaliatory tariff on US goods.

今天的比特幣價格上漲了3.7％，即使美國和中國之間的雞遊戲繼續關稅，這增加了經濟衰退的風險。在本週早些時候最初跌至74,467美元之後，BTC的價格中度恢復到了82,700美元以上。本文探討了在中國對美國商品徵收報復性關稅之後，硬幣將如何交易。

The BTC price pointed upwards on Friday, helping to boost the market cap of all coins to over $2.6 trillion. Other top cryptocurrencies like Ethereum, XRP, and Cardano also rose slightly. Altogether, Bitcoin has dropped by just 0.22% in the last seven days, as it continues to consolidate.

BTC價格在周五上漲，幫助所有硬幣的市值提高到2.6萬億美元。以太坊，XRP和Cardano等其他頂級加密貨幣也略有上升。在過去的七天中，比特幣在過去的七天中僅下降了0.22％，因為它繼續合併。

Bitcoin’s 3% jump mirrored the performance of the stock market where futures tied to the Dow Jones and Nasdaq 100 rose by over 200 points. That is a sign that investors are buying the dip hoping that the ongoing trade war between the US and China was unsustainable and would force the two sides to negotiate.

比特幣的3％跳高反映了股市的表現，股市的表現與道瓊斯瓊斯（Dow Jones）和納斯達克（Nasdaq）100相關的期貨上升了200分以上。這表明投資者正在購買傾銷，希望美國和中國之間的貿易戰是不可持續的，並迫使雙方進行談判。

Bitcoin’s resilience is also happening after Donald Trump paused his tariffs on most countries as the stock market crashed.

隨著股市崩潰，唐納德·特朗普（Donald Trump）在大多數國家停止了他的關稅之後，比特幣的韌性也發生了。

BTC Price Ignores Escalating China and US Tariffs

BTC價格忽略了中國和美國關稅的升級

The ongoing Bitcoin price rally happened even as China increased its tariffs on US goods to 125%. In a statement, the Ministry of Finance blamed the US for imposing high tariffs on Chinese goods. On Thursday, Trump boosted his tariffs on Chinese goods shipped to the US to 145%, and threatened to go higher if China failed to negotiate. Beijing said:

即使中國將其對美國商品的關稅提高到125％，也正在進行的比特幣價格集會也發生了。財政部在一份聲明中指責美國對中國商品徵收高關稅。週四，特朗普將他對中國商品的關稅提高到了美國的145％，並威脅說，如果中國未能進行談判，他的關稅會更高。北京說：

“The US’s imposition of abnormally high tariffs on China seriously violates international economic and trade rules, basic economic laws and common sense, and is completely a unilateral bullying and coercion.”

“美國對中國征收異常高的關稅嚴重違反了國際經濟和貿易規則，基本經濟法和常識，這完全是一種單方面的欺凌和脅迫。”

This trade war between the two biggest economies, together with the base 10% tariff on imports, risks pushing the US to a recession. Moody’s Chief Economist, Mark Zandi, maintained his 60% probability of a recession this year. These odds have also continued rising on Kalshi and Polymarket.

這兩個最大經濟體之間的貿易戰，以及對進口的基本關稅，有可能將美國陷入衰退。穆迪的首席經濟學家馬克·贊迪（Mark Zandi）今年保持了他60％的衰退可能性。這些賠率在卡爾西和多聚市場上也繼續增加。

A recession would be a good thing for Bitcoin price as it would push the Fed to start cutting interest rates, boosting risky assets.

對於比特幣價格來說，經濟衰退將是一件好事，因為這將促使美聯儲開始降低利率，從而提高風險資產。

Bitcoin Price Technical Analysis: a Rebound is Still Possible

比特幣價格技術分析：仍然有可能

Most analysts, including CryptoQuant’s CEO, have warned that the Bitcoin price rally is over. However, the weekly chart shows that the coin has formed two bullish patterns that may push its price higher in the longer term.

包括CryptoQuant首席執行官在內的大多數分析師都警告說，比特幣價格集會已經結束。但是，每週圖表表明，硬幣已經形成了兩種看漲模式，從長遠來看，其價格可能會提高其價格。

The first pattern, shown in yellow, is known as the cup and handle whose depth was about 80%. Measuring 80% from its upper side about $122,000. A surge to the target of the C&H pattern is never a linear process, which explains why the ongoing pullback is understandable.

以黃色顯示的第一個圖案被稱為杯子和手柄，其深度約為80％。從其上側估計80％約122,000美元。 C＆H模式目標的激增絕不是線性過程，這解釋了為什麼正在進行的回調是可以理解的。

It is also forming a megaphone or a broadening wedge pattern shown in green. This pattern is made up of two ascending and diverging trendlines and is a highly bullish sign.

它還形成了綠色顯示的擴音器或寬闊的楔形圖案。這種模式由兩個上升和分歧的趨勢線組成，是一個高度看漲的信號。

BTC Target Prices

BTC目標價格

Therefore, the most likely scenario is where Bitcoin price drops and retests the upper side of the cup. This price also coincides with the lower side of the megaphone and then resumes its bullish trend. The coin will likely cross the all-time high of $109,200 and move to the C&H target of $122,000.

因此，最有可能的情況是比特幣價格下跌並重新測試杯子的上側的地方。這個價格也與擴音器的下側相吻合，然後恢復其看漲趨勢。硬幣可能會超過109,200美元的歷史高處，並將其轉移到C＆H目標$ 122,000。

A drop below the lower side of the megaphone will invalidate the bullish BTC price forecast and point to more downside.

擴音器下部下方的下降將使看漲的BTC價格預測無效，並指出更多的偏低。

Frequently Asked Questions (FAQs)

常見問題（常見問題解答）

1. Why did Bitcoin price today rise after China’s 125% retaliation on tariffs?

1。為什麼比特幣的價格在中國對關稅的125％報復之後上漲？

2. What is the most likely BTC price prediction?

2。最可能的BTC價格預測是什麼？

3. Will the Fed intervention boost Bitcoin price targets?

3。美聯儲干預會提高比特幣價格目標嗎？