今天的比特币（BTC）价格上涨了3.7％

在本周早些时候最初跌至74,467美元之后，BTC的价格中度恢复到了82,700美元以上。本文探讨了在中国对美国商品征收报复性关税之后，硬币将如何交易。

Bitcoin price today rose by 3.7% even as the game of chicken between the United States and China on tariffs continued, raising the risk of a recession. After initially falling to $74,467 earlier this week, the BTC price has recovered moderately to above $82,700. This article explores how the coin will trade after China imposed its retaliatory tariff on US goods.

今天的比特币价格上涨了3.7％，即使美国和中国之间的鸡游戏继续关税，这增加了经济衰退的风险。在本周早些时候最初跌至74,467美元之后，BTC的价格中度恢复到了82,700美元以上。本文探讨了在中国对美国商品征收报复性关税之后，硬币将如何交易。

The BTC price pointed upwards on Friday, helping to boost the market cap of all coins to over $2.6 trillion. Other top cryptocurrencies like Ethereum, XRP, and Cardano also rose slightly. Altogether, Bitcoin has dropped by just 0.22% in the last seven days, as it continues to consolidate.

BTC价格在周五上涨，帮助所有硬币的市值提高到2.6万亿美元。以太坊，XRP和Cardano等其他顶级加密货币也略有上升。在过去的七天中，比特币在过去的七天中仅下降了0.22％，因为它继续合并。

Bitcoin’s 3% jump mirrored the performance of the stock market where futures tied to the Dow Jones and Nasdaq 100 rose by over 200 points. That is a sign that investors are buying the dip hoping that the ongoing trade war between the US and China was unsustainable and would force the two sides to negotiate.

比特币的3％跳高反映了股市的表现，股市的表现与道琼斯琼斯（Dow Jones）和纳斯达克（Nasdaq）100相关的期货上升了200分以上。这表明投资者正在购买倾销，希望美国和中国之间的贸易战是不可持续的，并迫使双方进行谈判。

Bitcoin’s resilience is also happening after Donald Trump paused his tariffs on most countries as the stock market crashed.

随着股市崩溃，唐纳德·特朗普（Donald Trump）在大多数国家停止了他的关税之后，比特币的韧性也发生了。

BTC Price Ignores Escalating China and US Tariffs

BTC价格忽略了中国和美国关税的升级

The ongoing Bitcoin price rally happened even as China increased its tariffs on US goods to 125%. In a statement, the Ministry of Finance blamed the US for imposing high tariffs on Chinese goods. On Thursday, Trump boosted his tariffs on Chinese goods shipped to the US to 145%, and threatened to go higher if China failed to negotiate. Beijing said:

即使中国将其对美国商品的关税提高到125％，也正在进行的比特币价格集会也发生了。财政部在一份声明中指责美国对中国商品征收高关税。周四，特朗普将他对中国商品的关税提高到了美国的145％，并威胁说，如果中国未能进行谈判，他的关税会更高。北京说：

“The US’s imposition of abnormally high tariffs on China seriously violates international economic and trade rules, basic economic laws and common sense, and is completely a unilateral bullying and coercion.”

“美国对中国征收异常高的关税严重违反了国际经济和贸易规则，基本经济法和常识，这完全是一种单方面的欺凌和胁迫。”

This trade war between the two biggest economies, together with the base 10% tariff on imports, risks pushing the US to a recession. Moody’s Chief Economist, Mark Zandi, maintained his 60% probability of a recession this year. These odds have also continued rising on Kalshi and Polymarket.

这两个最大经济体之间的贸易战，以及对进口的基本关税，有可能将美国陷入衰退。穆迪的首席经济学家马克·赞迪（Mark Zandi）今年保持了他60％的衰退可能性。这些赔率在卡尔西和多聚市场上也继续增加。

A recession would be a good thing for Bitcoin price as it would push the Fed to start cutting interest rates, boosting risky assets.

对于比特币价格来说，经济衰退将是一件好事，因为这将促使美联储开始降低利率，从而提高风险资产。

Bitcoin Price Technical Analysis: a Rebound is Still Possible

比特币价格技术分析：仍然有可能

Most analysts, including CryptoQuant’s CEO, have warned that the Bitcoin price rally is over. However, the weekly chart shows that the coin has formed two bullish patterns that may push its price higher in the longer term.

包括CryptoQuant首席执行官在内的大多数分析师都警告说，比特币价格集会已经结束。但是，每周图表表明，硬币已经形成了两种看涨模式，从长远来看，其价格可能会提高其价格。

The first pattern, shown in yellow, is known as the cup and handle whose depth was about 80%. Measuring 80% from its upper side about $122,000. A surge to the target of the C&H pattern is never a linear process, which explains why the ongoing pullback is understandable.

以黄色显示的第一个图案被称为杯子和手柄，其深度约为80％。从其上侧估计80％约122,000美元。 C＆H模式目标的激增绝不是线性过程，这解释了为什么正在进行的回调是可以理解的。

It is also forming a megaphone or a broadening wedge pattern shown in green. This pattern is made up of two ascending and diverging trendlines and is a highly bullish sign.

它还形成了绿色显示的扩音器或宽阔的楔形图案。这种模式由两个上升和分歧的趋势线组成，是一个高度看涨的信号。

BTC Target Prices

BTC目标价格

Therefore, the most likely scenario is where Bitcoin price drops and retests the upper side of the cup. This price also coincides with the lower side of the megaphone and then resumes its bullish trend. The coin will likely cross the all-time high of $109,200 and move to the C&H target of $122,000.

因此，最有可能的情况是比特币价格下跌并重新测试杯子的上侧的地方。这个价格也与扩音器的下侧相吻合，然后恢复其看涨趋势。硬币可能会超过109,200美元的历史高处，并将其转移到C＆H目标$ 122,000。

A drop below the lower side of the megaphone will invalidate the bullish BTC price forecast and point to more downside.

扩音器下部下方的下降将使看涨的BTC价格预测无效，并指出更多的偏低。

Frequently Asked Questions (FAQs)

常见问题（常见问题解答）

1. Why did Bitcoin price today rise after China’s 125% retaliation on tariffs?

1。为什么比特币的价格在中国对关税的125％报复之后上涨？

2. What is the most likely BTC price prediction?

2。最可能的BTC价格预测是什么？

3. Will the Fed intervention boost Bitcoin price targets?

3。美联储干预会提高比特币价格目标吗？