比特幣（BTC）價格預測：回檔不可避免嗎？

在 6 月 13 日觸及 6.8 萬美元後，比特幣 [BTC] 的價格轉為看跌，因為該代幣的周線圖和日線圖仍呈現紅色。

Bitcoin’s [BTC] price remained in the red on the 13th of June after touching $68k earlier in the month.

比特幣 [BTC] 價格在本月稍早觸及 6.8 萬美元後，在 6 月 13 日仍處於虧損狀態。

However, a key indicator showed that BTC’s price had touched and dropped from a critical level, which could trigger a further price correction in the coming days.

然而，一項關鍵指標顯示，比特幣的價格已觸及並從關鍵水平回落，這可能會在未來幾天引發進一步的價格調整。

Bitcoin’s dark future

比特幣的黑暗未來

According to CoinMarketCap, Bitcoin’s price dropped by nearly 4% in the last seven days. At the time of writing, BTC was trading at $65,243.97 with a market capitalization of over $1.28 trillion.

根據 CoinMarketCap 的數據，比特幣的價格在過去 7 天內下跌了近 4%。截至撰寫本文時，BTC 交易價格為 65,243.97 美元，市值超過 1.28 兆美元。

Despite the recent price drop, data from AMBCrypto showed that the majority of BTC’s supply was still in the green. To be precise, 87% of BTC’s total supply was in profit.

儘管近期價格下跌，但 AMBCrypto 的數據顯示，大部分 BTC 供應量仍處於綠色狀態。準確地說，BTC總供應量的87%都在獲利。

Ali, a popular crypto analyst, posted a tweet highlighting a possible price correction. As per the tweet, BTC’s price dropped below the +0.5σ MVRV pricing band.

受歡迎的加密貨幣分析師阿里發布了一條推文，強調了可能的價格調整。根據該推文，BTC 的價格跌破 +0.5σ MVRV 定價區間。

This suggests that it may trigger a correction toward the mean pricing band of $54,930. AMBCrypto planned to have a closer look at BTC’s current state to see how likely it is for BTC to drop to $54k.

這表明它可能會引發平均定價區間 54,930 美元的回檔。 AMBCrypto 計劃仔細研究 BTC 的當前狀態，看看 BTC 跌至 5.4 萬美元的可能性有多大。

Is a price correction inevitable?

價格調整是必然的嗎？

A look at CryptoQuant’s data showed that BTC’s exchange reserve was dropping, indicating that selling pressure on the coin was relatively weak.

CryptoQuant的數據顯示，BTC的外匯存底正在下降，這表明該幣的拋售壓力相對較弱。

Moreover, the Miners’ Position Index showed that miners were selling fewer holdings compared to its one-year average, suggesting that miners were willing to hold BTC as they expected the coin’s price to rise.

此外，礦工頭寸指數顯示，與一年平均值相比，礦工出售的資產較少，這表明礦工願意持有比特幣，因為他們預計比特幣的價格會上漲。

In the derivatives market, the taker buy/sell ratio was green, indicating that buying sentiment was dominant in the derivatives market.

衍生性商品市場中，吃單者買進/賣出比率為綠色，顯示衍生性商品市場買入情緒占主導地位。

Additionally, BTC’s funding rate was also rising, suggesting that long-position traders were paying short-position traders, which was usually a sign of optimism.

此外，比特幣的資金費率也在上升，這表明多頭交易者正在向空頭交易者支付費用，這通常是樂觀的跡象。

We then checked the king of cryptos’ daily chart to better understand what to expect from it in the near term.

然後，我們檢查了加密貨幣之王的日線圖，以便更好地了解其近期的預期。

As per our analysis of BTC’s daily chart, its Relative Strength Index (RSI) showed bullish momentum as it went up. A similar increasing trend was also noted on the coin’s Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) chart.

根據我們對 BTC 日線圖的分析，其相對強度指數（RSI）在上漲過程中顯示出看漲動能。該代幣的 Chaikin 資金流向 (CMF) 圖表上也出現了類似的成長趨勢。

These indicators suggested that investors might soon witness a price increase.

這些指標表明投資者可能很快就會看到價格上漲。

However, the Money Flow Index (MFI) looked bearish as it dropped. The indicator hinted at a continued price decline, which might result in BTC dropping to $54k.

然而，資金流量指數（MFI）下跌，看起來看跌。該指標暗示價格持續下跌，這可能導致 BTC 跌至 5.4 萬美元。