比特幣（BTC）價格預測：儘管面臨挑戰，但拉動勢不可擋

比特幣[BTC]在連續三週低於牛市支撐帶之後，現已收盤於牛市支撐帶上方，這是較高時間範圍內的關鍵水平。

Bitcoin [BTC] has closed above the Bull Market Support band, a critical level on the higher timeframe, after three consecutive weeks of staying below it.

比特幣[BTC]在連續三週低於牛市支撐帶之後，現已收盤於牛市支撐帶上方，這是較高時間範圍內的關鍵水平。

This recovery signals potential for BTC’s price to move higher. Despite brief deviations, the price action now suggests a bullish trend, with the current level around $67k acting as a key liquidity zone.

這種復甦預示著比特幣價格有可能走高。儘管存在短暫偏差，但目前的價格走勢表明看漲趨勢，目前約 6.7 萬美元的水平是關鍵的流動性區域。

Bitcoin breaking through the liquidity zone with strong volume and staying above it, makes traders and investors feel confident to go long, while others might add to their positions.

比特幣以強勁的成交量突破流動性區域並保持在其上方，使交易者和投資者有信心做多，而其他人可能會增加頭寸。

Source: TradingView

來源：TradingView

Bitcoin’s pull is unstoppable

比特幣的吸引力不可阻擋

The institutional interest in Bitcoin continues to grow, strengthening its upward momentum. Semler Scientific recently purchased 83 additional Bitcoin, worth $5 million, bringing their total holdings to 1,012 BTC.

機構對比特幣的興趣持續增長，增強了其上漲動力。 Semler Scientific 最近額外購買了 83 個比特幣，價值 500 萬美元，使其總持有量達到 1,012 個比特幣。

This acquisition positions them as the fourth-largest Bitcoin-holding company in the US, excluding miners.

此次收購使他們成為美國第四大比特幣持有公司（不包括礦工）。

Historically, BTC has shown resilience, with only three years of negative percentage change since its inception, while the other 12 years have been positive.

從歷史上看，BTC 表現出了韌性，自成立以來只有三年出現了負百分比變化，而其他 12 年一直是正百分比變化。

Source: CryptoQuant

來源：CryptoQuant

Semler’s commitment to buy more BTC, backed by a $150M fundraising effort, reflects the increasing institutional adoption of Bitcoin, which is driving the market higher.

Semler 承諾購買更多比特幣，並籌集 1.5 億美元資金，這反映出機構對比特幣的採用不斷增加，這推動了市場走高。

Despite challenges, Bitcoin consistently demonstrates its potential to reach new highs. With this year already showing positive growth, expectations are for a strong finish, reinforcing the bullish sentiment.

儘管面臨挑戰，比特幣始終展現出達到新高的潛力。由於今年已經呈現出正成長，預計將有強勁的收尾，從而增強了看漲情緒。

BTC and S&P 500 divergence

BTC 與標準普爾 500 指數的背離

Bitcoin price movements often mirror those of the U.S. stock market, particularly the S&P 500. When the S&P 500 rises, BTC tends to follow, and vice versa.

比特幣的價格走勢通常反映了美國股市的走勢，尤其是標準普爾 500 指數。

In August, when the market dropped by 6% due to recession fears, Bitcoin price also saw a sharp decline of 30%.

8月份，當市場因經濟衰退擔憂而下跌6%時，比特幣價格也大幅下跌30%。

However, as the market has since recovered, trading near all-time highs, BTC remains 20% below its July level and 30% below its March 2024 level.

然而，隨著市場此後復甦，交易價格接近歷史高點，BTC 仍比 7 月水準低 20%，比 2024 年 3 月水準低 30%。

Source: Bloomberg

資料來源：彭博社

This divergence presents a compelling opportunity to buy BTC, with the expectation that it will catch up to the stock market’s recovery.

這種差異提供了一個令人信服的購買比特幣的機會，人們期望比特幣能夠趕上股市的復甦。

Read: Bitcoin’s [BTC] Price Prediction 2024-25

閱讀：2024-25 年比特幣 [BTC] 價格預測

Stablecoin supply increases

穩定幣供應增加

Lastly, the increasing supply of stablecoins like USDT and USDC also supports a higher BTC price. Over the past three months, their market capitalization has grown by 3%, indicating rising demand.

最後，USDT和USDC等穩定幣供應量的增加也支撐了BTC價格的上漲。過去三個月，它們的市值增加了 3%，顯示需求不斷增長。

With BTC supply growth slowing after the halving, this increasing demand suggests that price is likely to continue climbing higher.

隨著減半後比特幣供應成長放緩，需求的增加表明價格可能會繼續走高。

Source: CryptoQuant

來源：CryptoQuant