比特币（BTC）价格预测：尽管面临挑战，但拉动势不可挡

比特币[BTC]在连续三周低于牛市支撑带之后，现已收盘于牛市支撑带上方，这是较高时间范围内的一个关键水平。

Bitcoin [BTC] has closed above the Bull Market Support band, a critical level on the higher timeframe, after three consecutive weeks of staying below it.

比特币[BTC]在连续三周低于牛市支撑带之后，现已收盘于牛市支撑带上方，这是较高时间范围内的一个关键水平。

This recovery signals potential for BTC’s price to move higher. Despite brief deviations, the price action now suggests a bullish trend, with the current level around $67k acting as a key liquidity zone.

这种复苏预示着比特币价格有可能走高。尽管存在短暂偏差，但目前的价格走势表明看涨趋势，当前 6.7 万美元左右的水平是关键的流动性区域。

Bitcoin breaking through the liquidity zone with strong volume and staying above it, makes traders and investors feel confident to go long, while others might add to their positions.

比特币以强劲的成交量突破流动性区域并保持在其上方，使交易者和投资者有信心做多，而其他人可能会增加头寸。

Source: TradingView

来源：TradingView

Bitcoin’s pull is unstoppable

比特币的吸引力不可阻挡

The institutional interest in Bitcoin continues to grow, strengthening its upward momentum. Semler Scientific recently purchased 83 additional Bitcoin, worth $5 million, bringing their total holdings to 1,012 BTC.

机构对比特币的兴趣持续增长，增强了其上涨动力。 Semler Scientific 最近额外购买了 83 个比特币，价值 500 万美元，使其总持有量达到 1,012 个比特币。

This acquisition positions them as the fourth-largest Bitcoin-holding company in the US, excluding miners.

此次收购使他们成为美国第四大比特币持有公司（不包括矿工）。

Historically, BTC has shown resilience, with only three years of negative percentage change since its inception, while the other 12 years have been positive.

从历史上看，BTC 表现出了韧性，自成立以来只有三年出现了负百分比变化，而其他 12 年一直是正百分比变化。

Source: CryptoQuant

来源：CryptoQuant

Semler’s commitment to buy more BTC, backed by a $150M fundraising effort, reflects the increasing institutional adoption of Bitcoin, which is driving the market higher.

Semler 承诺购买更多比特币，并筹集 1.5 亿美元资金，这反映出机构对比特币的采用不断增加，这推动了市场走高。

Despite challenges, Bitcoin consistently demonstrates its potential to reach new highs. With this year already showing positive growth, expectations are for a strong finish, reinforcing the bullish sentiment.

尽管面临挑战，比特币始终展现出其达到新高的潜力。由于今年已经呈现出正增长，预计将有强劲的收尾，从而增强了看涨情绪。

BTC and S&P 500 divergence

BTC 与标准普尔 500 指数的背离

Bitcoin price movements often mirror those of the U.S. stock market, particularly the S&P 500. When the S&P 500 rises, BTC tends to follow, and vice versa.

比特币的价格走势通常反映了美国股市的走势，尤其是标准普尔 500 指数。当标准普尔 500 指数上涨时，比特币往往会跟随上涨，反之亦然。

In August, when the market dropped by 6% due to recession fears, Bitcoin price also saw a sharp decline of 30%.

8月份，当市场因经济衰退担忧而下跌6%时，比特币价格也大幅下跌30%。

However, as the market has since recovered, trading near all-time highs, BTC remains 20% below its July level and 30% below its March 2024 level.

然而，随着市场此后复苏，交易价格接近历史高点，BTC 仍比 7 月水平低 20%，比 2024 年 3 月水平低 30%。

Source: Bloomberg

资料来源：彭博社

This divergence presents a compelling opportunity to buy BTC, with the expectation that it will catch up to the stock market’s recovery.

这种差异提供了一个令人信服的购买比特币的机会，人们期望比特币能够赶上股市的复苏。

Read: Bitcoin’s [BTC] Price Prediction 2024-25

阅读：2024-25 年比特币 [BTC] 价格预测

Stablecoin supply increases

稳定币供应增加

Lastly, the increasing supply of stablecoins like USDT and USDC also supports a higher BTC price. Over the past three months, their market capitalization has grown by 3%, indicating rising demand.

最后，USDT和USDC等稳定币供应量的增加也支撑了BTC价格的上涨。过去三个月，它们的市值增长了 3%，表明需求不断增长。

With BTC supply growth slowing after the halving, this increasing demand suggests that price is likely to continue climbing higher.

随着减半后比特币供应增长放缓，需求的增加表明价格可能会继续走高。

Source: CryptoQuant

来源：CryptoQuant