比特幣（BTC）價格預測：BTC/USD朝110,000美元的商標運行

比特幣顯示出更新的強度，因為它的移動高於關鍵阻力水平，並有可能朝著110,000美元的成績奔跑。

Bitcoin (BTC) price is showing renewed strength as it moves above key resistance levels, potentially setting up for a run toward the $110,000 mark.

比特幣（BTC）的價格顯示出更新的強度，因為它的移動高於關鍵阻力水平，可能會朝著110,000美元的成績跑步。

After finding support around $102,000, Bitcoin began a fresh climb that has seen it bounce off several technical indicators and move above the $105,500 level. The price is now trading comfortably above the 100-hour Simple Moving Average.

在找到了102,000美元左右的支持之後，比特幣開始了新的攀登，使其從幾個技術指標中反彈，並超過105,500美元的水平。現在，價格舒適地超過了100小時的簡單移動平均線。

This recovery has also allowed Bitcoin to break above the 50% Fibonacci retracement level of the previous downward move from $107,042 to $102,100. The upward momentum continued as BTC cleared the $104,200 resistance zone.

這種恢復還允許比特幣超過上前下降的50％斐波那契回回開水平，從$ 107,042移動到$ 102,100。隨著BTC清除了104,200美元的電阻區，向上的動力繼續了。

Market technicians note that the price has now settled above the 76.4% Fibonacci retracement level of the same downward move. This is typically viewed as a strong signal that the previous downtrend has been reversed.

市場技術人員指出，現在的價格已經超過了同一向下移動的76.4％斐波那契回波水平。通常將其視為強烈的信號，表明先前的下降趨勢已被逆轉。

The hourly chart reveals a short-term bullish trend line forming with support at $105,800. This pattern adds to the growing evidence of positive price action in the near term.

每小時圖表顯示，短期看漲趨勢線形成，支持為105,800美元。這種模式在短期內增加了越來越多的價格行動的證據。

Positive Technical Indicators

積極的技術指標

The technical picture for Bitcoin is improving across multiple indicators. The hourly MACD is now gaining pace in the bullish zone, suggesting strengthening momentum.

比特幣的技術圖片正在改善多個指標。每小時MACD現在在看漲地區的步伐，這表明增強了動力。

At the same time, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) for BTC/USD has climbed above the 50 level. This indicates that buying pressure is overtaking selling pressure in the short term.

同時，BTC/USD的相對強度指數（RSI）攀升到50級以上。這表明購買壓力在短期內超過了銷售壓力。

Looking ahead, Bitcoin faces immediate resistance near the $107,000 level. The first key resistance sits at around $107,200, followed by $107,500. Should Bitcoin close above $107,500, it could accelerate toward $108,800.

展望未來，比特幣將立即面對107,000美元的電阻。第一個鑰匙阻力為107,200美元左右，其次是107,500美元。比特幣應關閉$ 107,500，它可能會加速到$ 108,800。

Breaking these barriers might send the price toward the $110,000 level, potentially establishing a new all-time high for the cryptocurrency.

打破這些障礙可能會將價格發送到110,000美元的水平，並有可能為加密貨幣建立新的歷史最高水平。

On the downside, if the upward move stalls, Bitcoin has established support at several levels. Immediate support can be found near $105,800, with major support at $105,000 and $104,200.

不利的一面是，如果向上移動攤位，比特幣已經在多個級別建立了支持。可以立即獲得支撐，接近105,800美元，主要支持為105,000美元和104,200美元。

The main support level sits at $102,500. A break below this zone could expose Bitcoin to further downside risk, with the next support level at $103,500.

主要支持水平為102,500美元。低於該區域的休息可能會使比特幣暴露於進一步的下行風險，下一個支持水平為103,500美元。

Mayer Multiple Shows Room For Growth

Mayer多個展示生長的空間

An interesting perspective on Bitcoin’s current valuation comes from the Mayer Multiple, a metric that tracks how far Bitcoin’s price is from its 200-day moving average.

關於比特幣當前估值的一個有趣的觀點來自Mayer Moulty，該度量標準跟踪比特幣的價格與200天的移動平均線相距多遠。

The Mayer Multiple Z-Score, which measures the deviation of this ratio from its historical mean, is currently below zero. This indicates that Bitcoin’s price relative to its long-term average is actually lower than its usual range.

Mayer多個Z分數衡量該比率與其歷史平均值的偏差，目前低於零。這表明比特幣相對於其長期平均水平的價格實際上低於其通常的範圍。

According to data analysis, approximately 53% of all previous trading days have seen a higher Mayer Multiple than current levels. This suggests that despite trading above $100,000, Bitcoin is not in overheated territory by historical standards.

根據數據分析，大約53％的前交易日的Mayer倍數高於當前水平。這表明，儘管交易超過100,000美元，但按照歷史標準，比特幣並沒有過熱領土。

This relative coolness in valuation may be surprising to some, given the recent price action and volatility. However, the Z-Score provides insight into how this Multiple compares to its own historical trends.

考慮到最近的價格動作和波動性，估值的相對冷卻可能會令人驚訝。但是，Z分數提供了有關此次數如何與其自己的歷史趨勢進行比較的見解。

Bitcoin recently dipped below its 200-day moving average during market turbulence but has since recovered and broken back above this important technical level. The 200-day MA is widely considered a dividing line between long-term bullish and bearish market conditions.

比特幣最近在市場動盪期間降至其200天的移動平均水平，但此後恢復並恢復了這一重要技術水平。 200天的MA被廣泛認為是長期看漲和看跌市場狀況之間的分裂線。

While the Mayer Multiple has exceeded its mean several times during the current market cycle, it has not reached the extreme levels witnessed during the 2021 bull market. The largest deviation in the current cycle occurred during the rally in the first quarter of 2024.

儘管在當前市場週期中，Mayer倍數已經超過了其平均值幾次，但在2021年牛市期間，它尚未達到極端水平。當前週期中最大的偏差發生在2024年第一季度的集會期間。

This relatively restrained Z-Score reading suggests Bitcoin may have room for further upside before reaching the kind of extreme valuations that have historically preceded major corrections.

這種相對限制的Z分數閱讀表明，比特幣在達到歷史上進行了重大修正之前的極端估值之前，比特幣可能有進一步的上升空間。

At press time, Bitcoin is changing hands around $102,700, down about 1.5% over the past seven days. However, the technical structure remains constructive for further gains if key resistance levels are overcome.

發稿時，比特幣在102,700美元左右易手，在過去的七天中下降了約1.5％。但是，如果克服關鍵阻力水平，技術結構仍然具有建設性。