比特币（BTC）价格预测：BTC/USD朝110,000美元的商标运行

比特币显示出更新的强度，因为它的移动高于关键阻力水平，并有可能朝着110,000美元的成绩奔跑。

Bitcoin (BTC) price is showing renewed strength as it moves above key resistance levels, potentially setting up for a run toward the $110,000 mark.

比特币（BTC）的价格显示出更新的强度，因为它的移动高于关键阻力水平，可能会朝着110,000美元的成绩跑步。

After finding support around $102,000, Bitcoin began a fresh climb that has seen it bounce off several technical indicators and move above the $105,500 level. The price is now trading comfortably above the 100-hour Simple Moving Average.

在找到了102,000美元左右的支持之后，比特币开始了新的攀登，使其从几个技术指标中反弹，并超过105,500美元的水平。现在，价格舒适地超过了100小时的简单移动平均线。

This recovery has also allowed Bitcoin to break above the 50% Fibonacci retracement level of the previous downward move from $107,042 to $102,100. The upward momentum continued as BTC cleared the $104,200 resistance zone.

这种恢复还允许比特币超过上前下降的50％斐波那契回回开水平，从$ 107,042移动到$ 102,100。随着BTC清除了104,200美元的电阻区，向上的动力继续了。

Market technicians note that the price has now settled above the 76.4% Fibonacci retracement level of the same downward move. This is typically viewed as a strong signal that the previous downtrend has been reversed.

市场技术人员指出，现在的价格已经超过了同一向下移动的76.4％斐波那契回波水平。通常将其视为强烈的信号，表明先前的下降趋势已被逆转。

The hourly chart reveals a short-term bullish trend line forming with support at $105,800. This pattern adds to the growing evidence of positive price action in the near term.

每小时图表显示，短期看涨趋势线形成，支持为105,800美元。这种模式在短期内增加了越来越多的价格行动的证据。

Positive Technical Indicators

积极的技术指标

The technical picture for Bitcoin is improving across multiple indicators. The hourly MACD is now gaining pace in the bullish zone, suggesting strengthening momentum.

比特币的技术图片正在改善多个指标。每小时MACD现在在看涨地区的步伐，这表明增强了动力。

At the same time, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) for BTC/USD has climbed above the 50 level. This indicates that buying pressure is overtaking selling pressure in the short term.

同时，BTC/USD的相对强度指数（RSI）攀升到50级以上。这表明购买压力在短期内超过了销售压力。

Looking ahead, Bitcoin faces immediate resistance near the $107,000 level. The first key resistance sits at around $107,200, followed by $107,500. Should Bitcoin close above $107,500, it could accelerate toward $108,800.

展望未来，比特币将立即面对107,000美元的电阻。第一个钥匙阻力为107,200美元左右，其次是107,500美元。比特币应关闭$ 107,500，它可能会加速到$ 108,800。

Breaking these barriers might send the price toward the $110,000 level, potentially establishing a new all-time high for the cryptocurrency.

打破这些障碍可能会将价格发送到110,000美元的水平，并有可能为加密货币建立新的历史最高水平。

On the downside, if the upward move stalls, Bitcoin has established support at several levels. Immediate support can be found near $105,800, with major support at $105,000 and $104,200.

不利的一面是，如果向上移动摊位，比特币已经在多个级别建立了支持。可以立即获得支撑，接近105,800美元，主要支持为105,000美元和104,200美元。

The main support level sits at $102,500. A break below this zone could expose Bitcoin to further downside risk, with the next support level at $103,500.

主要支持水平为102,500美元。低于该区域的休息可能会使比特币暴露于进一步的下行风险，下一个支持水平为103,500美元。

Mayer Multiple Shows Room For Growth

Mayer多个展示生长的空间

An interesting perspective on Bitcoin’s current valuation comes from the Mayer Multiple, a metric that tracks how far Bitcoin’s price is from its 200-day moving average.

关于比特币当前估值的一个有趣的观点来自Mayer Moulty，该度量标准跟踪比特币的价格与200天的移动平均线相距多远。

The Mayer Multiple Z-Score, which measures the deviation of this ratio from its historical mean, is currently below zero. This indicates that Bitcoin’s price relative to its long-term average is actually lower than its usual range.

Mayer多个Z分数衡量该比率与其历史平均值的偏差，目前低于零。这表明比特币相对于其长期平均水平的价格实际上低于其通常的范围。

According to data analysis, approximately 53% of all previous trading days have seen a higher Mayer Multiple than current levels. This suggests that despite trading above $100,000, Bitcoin is not in overheated territory by historical standards.

根据数据分析，大约53％的前交易日的Mayer倍数高于当前水平。这表明，尽管交易超过100,000美元，但按照历史标准，比特币并没有过热领土。

This relative coolness in valuation may be surprising to some, given the recent price action and volatility. However, the Z-Score provides insight into how this Multiple compares to its own historical trends.

考虑到最近的价格动作和波动性，估值的相对冷却可能会令人惊讶。但是，Z分数提供了有关此次数如何与其自己的历史趋势进行比较的见解。

Bitcoin recently dipped below its 200-day moving average during market turbulence but has since recovered and broken back above this important technical level. The 200-day MA is widely considered a dividing line between long-term bullish and bearish market conditions.

比特币最近在市场动荡期间降至其200天的移动平均水平，但此后恢复并恢复了这一重要技术水平。 200天的MA被广泛认为是长期看涨和看跌市场状况之间的分裂线。

While the Mayer Multiple has exceeded its mean several times during the current market cycle, it has not reached the extreme levels witnessed during the 2021 bull market. The largest deviation in the current cycle occurred during the rally in the first quarter of 2024.

尽管在当前市场周期中，Mayer倍数已经超过了其平均值几次，但在2021年牛市期间，它尚未达到极端水平。当前周期中最大的偏差发生在2024年第一季度的集会期间。

This relatively restrained Z-Score reading suggests Bitcoin may have room for further upside before reaching the kind of extreme valuations that have historically preceded major corrections.

这种相对限制的Z分数阅读表明，比特币在达到历史上进行了重大修正之前的极端估值之前，比特币可能有进一步的上升空间。

At press time, Bitcoin is changing hands around $102,700, down about 1.5% over the past seven days. However, the technical structure remains constructive for further gains if key resistance levels are overcome.

发稿时，比特币在102,700美元左右易手，在过去的七天中下降了约1.5％。但是，如果克服关键阻力水平，技术结构仍然具有建设性。