比特幣（BTC）價格預測：BTC飆升至100,000美元

加密分析師預計比特幣將飆升至100,000美元，即使聯邦公開市場委員會（FOMC）使利率保持不變

Cryptocurrency analysts expect Bitcoin to soar to US$100,000, even if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) keeps interest rates unchanged at its meeting this week, based on strong institutional buying of spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs).

加密貨幣分析師預計，即使聯邦公開市場委員會（FOMC）在本週的會議上保持利率不變，因此比特幣將飆升至100,000美元。

The FOMC interest rate decision this week could define the outlook for risk-on assets, including cryptocurrencies. Bitcoin, the world's most traded cryptocurrency, rose 2.2% to $96,446 on Wednesday on higher risk appetite after the US and China said some trade dialogue is slated for later this week.

FOMC本週的利率決策可以定義風險資產的前景，包括加密貨幣。比特幣是全球交易最多的加密貨幣，在美國和中國表示，本週晚些時候進行了一些貿易對話後，週三的風險偏好增長了2.2％，至96,446美元。

"There are two key risk factors to watch, including a potential US recession, which can be tracked through employment data and GDP growth figures. Another factor is the outcome of Trump's tax policy after the 90-day grace period ends because these tariffs would disrupt global markets," said investment advisor at Merkle Capital Woramet Chansen said.

默克爾資本Woramet Chansen的投資顧問說：“有兩個關鍵的危險因素，包括潛在的美國衰退，可以通過就業數據和GDP增長數字來跟踪。另一個因素是在90天的寬限期結束後特朗普的稅收政策的結果，因為這些關稅會破壞全球市場。”

The Arizona legislature recently approved two Republican-led bills that would allow the state to invest up to 10% of its public funds, potentially more than $3 billion, into digital assets such as Bitcoin.

亞利桑那州立法機關最近批准了兩項由共和黨領導的法案，這些法案將使該州最多投資其公共資金的10％，可能超過30億美元，以將其投資於比特幣等數字資產上。

If the bills are signed into law, Arizona would become the first US state to establish a state-level Bitcoin reserve, aligning with US President Donald Trump's proposal for a national "strategic crypto reserve".

如果將賬單簽署為法律，亞利桑那州將成為美國第一個建立州級比特幣儲備金的州，與美國總統唐納德·特朗普（Donald Trump）對國家“戰略加密保護區”的提議保持一致。

This move to adopt Bitcoin as a reserve asset by Arizona has attracted more institutional investment into spot Bitcoin ETFs, driving prices higher.

採用比特幣作為亞利桑那州的儲備資產的舉動，吸引了對現貨比特幣ETF的更多機構投資，使價格更高。

"Even if the Fed does not cut interest rates this time, there is still a chance the price of Bitcoin will continue rising towards the $100,000 target in the third quarter. Economists still expect the Fed to cut interest rates 3-4 times this year," said Mr Woramet.

Woramet先生說：“即使美聯儲這次沒有降低利率，比特幣的價格仍然有可能在第三季度繼續朝著100,000美元的目標上漲。經濟學家仍期望美聯儲今年將利率降低3-4倍。”

Another critical issue is the upcoming large-scale rollover of US Treasury debts in June, said chief investment officer at Cryptomind Advisory Co Ltd Peerapat Hankongkaew.

Cryptomind Advisory Co Ltd Peerapat Hankongkaew的首席投資官說，另一個關鍵問題是6月即將發生的美國國債大規模債務。

"If the government can successfully rollover a large portion of the debt, it would help keep the economy moving. But if the rollover is limited or if we see more defaults, it would indicate a contraction in market liquidity.

“如果政府能夠成功地滾動大部分債務，那將有助於保持經濟的發展。但是，如果轉盤是有限的，或者如果我們看到更多違約，則表明市場流動性的收縮。

"At the same time, traders are becoming less confident that the Fed will ease monetary policy. While this might seem bearish for risk assets, it could prompt the US Treasury to inject liquidity into the markets to maintain fiscal support and government spending."

“與此同時，交易者對美聯儲將減輕貨幣政策的信心越來越不信心。儘管這似乎對風險資產看跌，但它可能會促使美國財政部向市場注入流動性，以維持財政支持和政府支出。”