比特幣（BTC）價格反映了2020年的分形，通常是牛市

比特幣價格現在再次表現出了看漲，擊敗了100,000美元的抵抗力並繼續上升。

The Bitcoin (BTC) price has now showed bullishness once again, beating the $100,000 resistance and continuing to rise. This seems to be par for the course for the leading cryptocurrency by market cap as sentiment has returned into the positive territory over the last few days.

比特幣（BTC）的價格現在再次表現出看漲，擊敗了100,000美元的抵抗力並繼續上升。這似乎是由市值領先的加密貨幣的課程，因為在過去的幾天中，情緒已經恢復了積極的領域。

With this trend playing out, a crypto analyst has explained that the Bitcoin price is actually mirroring an important fractal from four years ago that has usually led to bull markets.

隨著這一趨勢的發展，一位加密分析師解釋說，比特幣的價格實際上反映了四年前的重要分形，通常導致了牛市。

Crypto Analyst Explains Bitcoin Price Fractal From 2020 Returns

加密分析師解釋了比特幣價格從2020年開始的收益

In a TradingView post, crypto analyst TradingShot explained that the current Bitcoin trend is mirroring the one from 2020, and that both fractals are moving similarly to each other. The price action looks to be the same, especially with accumulation and distribution playing out in similar fashion.

在交易視圖帖子中，加密分析師Tradingshot解釋說，當前的比特幣趨勢正在反映2020年的趨勢，並且兩個分形的移動彼此相似。價格動作似乎是相同的，尤其是以類似方式累積和發行分銷。

For the accumulation phase, Bitcoin saw the initial 1st phase play out between May and August in 2020, and now a similar accumulation had played out between March and September in 2024. Just like in 2020, the accumulation in 2024 ended a bullish rally, which saw the Bitcoin price go from below $70,000 to above $100,000 in a matter of months. This is similar to the rally from below $9,000 to above $12,000 that happened back in 2020.

在累積階段，比特幣看到了2020年5月至8月之間最初的第一階段比賽，現在在2024年的3月至9月之間也出現了類似的積累。就像2020年一樣，在2024年的累積量結束了一場看漲的集會，這使得比特幣的價格從70,000美元以下到以上$ 100,000以上，在幾個月的時間內。這類似於從低於$ 9,000到2020年發生的12,000美元以上的集會。

What followed this both times is a period of distribution, where the Bitcoin price suffered downward and sideways movement for a number of months. This has played out into the start of 2025, in the same way that was seen between August and October 2020. Now the second accumulation trend has been completed, just like it was in 2020, and if this continues to play out, then it could end in a breakout for the digital asset.

緊隨其後的是一段分佈期，比特幣價格向下遭受下降和側向運動的幾個月。這已經在2025年初開始，就像在2020年8月至2020年10月之間相同的方式。現在，第二種積累趨勢已經完成，就像2020年一樣，如果繼續進行，那麼它可能會在數字資產的突破中結束。

As a result, the Bitcoin price has now broken the Pivot trend line separating the distribution from the second accumulation trend. At the time of the crypto analyst’s post, the Bitcoin price was in the retest phase, which it was testing at $97,000. Since then, the Bitcoin price has broken this retest zone and has marked an upward trend as a result.

結果，比特幣價格現在打破了樞軸趨勢線，將分佈與第二個累積趨勢區分開。在加密分析師發佈時，比特幣價格處於重新測試階段，其測試為97,000美元。從那時起，比特幣價格打破了這個重新測試區，因此標誌著向上的趨勢。

Currently, the 50-Day Moving Average, $97,100, continues to serve as support for the cryptocurrency and this is the level that bulls will have to hold to continue the price rally. The analyst explains that as long as this level is maintained, then the Bitcoin price could see a rally similar to what was seen between October 2020 and April 2021. TradingShot also pointed out that the RSI sequences are also identical, suggesting that the cryptocurrency could follow this trend fully.

目前，50天的移動平均水平為97,100美元，繼續為加密貨幣提供支持，這是公牛必須保持的水平以繼續價格集會。分析師解釋說，只要維持此水平，比特幣價格可能會看到與2020年10月至2021年4月之間看到的集會相似。 TradingShot還指出，RSI序列也相同，這表明加密貨幣可以完全遵循這一趨勢。

If this fractal plays out like it did before, then the target for the Bitcoin price is set at $150,000 for this cycle. Other macro developments such as the Fed choosing to keep interest rates the same and not raise them has also emboldened investors into risk assets such as Bitcoin.

如果這種分形像以前一樣發揮作用，那麼該週期的比特幣價格的目標定為150,000美元。美聯儲選擇將利率保持不變而不提高的宏觀開發也使投資者膽約使用比特幣等風險資產。