比特币（BTC）价格反映了2020年的分形，通常是牛市

比特币价格现在再次表现出了看涨，击败了100,000美元的抵抗力并继续上升。

The Bitcoin (BTC) price has now showed bullishness once again, beating the $100,000 resistance and continuing to rise. This seems to be par for the course for the leading cryptocurrency by market cap as sentiment has returned into the positive territory over the last few days.

比特币（BTC）的价格现在再次表现出看涨，击败了100,000美元的抵抗力并继续上升。这似乎是由市值领先的加密货币的课程，因为在过去的几天中，情绪已经恢复了积极的领域。

With this trend playing out, a crypto analyst has explained that the Bitcoin price is actually mirroring an important fractal from four years ago that has usually led to bull markets.

随着这一趋势的发展，一位加密分析师解释说，比特币的价格实际上反映了四年前的重要分形，通常导致了牛市。

Crypto Analyst Explains Bitcoin Price Fractal From 2020 Returns

加密分析师解释了比特币价格从2020年开始的收益

In a TradingView post, crypto analyst TradingShot explained that the current Bitcoin trend is mirroring the one from 2020, and that both fractals are moving similarly to each other. The price action looks to be the same, especially with accumulation and distribution playing out in similar fashion.

在交易视图帖子中，加密分析师Tradingshot解释说，当前的比特币趋势正在反映2020年的趋势，并且两个分形的移动彼此相似。价格动作似乎是相同的，尤其是以类似方式累积和发行分销。

For the accumulation phase, Bitcoin saw the initial 1st phase play out between May and August in 2020, and now a similar accumulation had played out between March and September in 2024. Just like in 2020, the accumulation in 2024 ended a bullish rally, which saw the Bitcoin price go from below $70,000 to above $100,000 in a matter of months. This is similar to the rally from below $9,000 to above $12,000 that happened back in 2020.

在累积阶段，比特币看到了2020年5月至8月之间最初的第一阶段比赛，现在在2024年的3月至9月之间也出现了类似的积累。就像2020年一样，在2024年的累积量结束了一场看涨的集会，这使得比特币的价格从70,000美元以下到以上$ 100,000以上，在几个月的时间内。这类似于从低于$ 9,000到2020年发生的12,000美元以上的集会。

What followed this both times is a period of distribution, where the Bitcoin price suffered downward and sideways movement for a number of months. This has played out into the start of 2025, in the same way that was seen between August and October 2020. Now the second accumulation trend has been completed, just like it was in 2020, and if this continues to play out, then it could end in a breakout for the digital asset.

紧随其后的是一段分布期，比特币价格向下遭受下降和侧向运动的几个月。这已经在2025年初开始，就像在2020年8月至2020年10月之间相同的方式。现在，第二种积累趋势已经完成，就像2020年一样，如果继续进行，那么它可能会在数字资产的突破中结束。

As a result, the Bitcoin price has now broken the Pivot trend line separating the distribution from the second accumulation trend. At the time of the crypto analyst’s post, the Bitcoin price was in the retest phase, which it was testing at $97,000. Since then, the Bitcoin price has broken this retest zone and has marked an upward trend as a result.

结果，比特币价格现在打破了枢轴趋势线，将分布与第二个累积趋势区分开。在加密分析师发布时，比特币价格处于重新测试阶段，其测试为97,000美元。从那时起，比特币价格打破了这个重新测试区，因此标志着向上的趋势。

Currently, the 50-Day Moving Average, $97,100, continues to serve as support for the cryptocurrency and this is the level that bulls will have to hold to continue the price rally. The analyst explains that as long as this level is maintained, then the Bitcoin price could see a rally similar to what was seen between October 2020 and April 2021. TradingShot also pointed out that the RSI sequences are also identical, suggesting that the cryptocurrency could follow this trend fully.

目前，50天的移动平均水平为97,100美元，继续为加密货币提供支持，这是公牛必须保持的水平以继续价格集会。分析师解释说，只要维持此水平，比特币价格可能会看到与2020年10月至2021年4月之间看到的集会相似。TradingShot还指出，RSI序列也相同，这表明加密货币可以完全遵循这一趋势。

If this fractal plays out like it did before, then the target for the Bitcoin price is set at $150,000 for this cycle. Other macro developments such as the Fed choosing to keep interest rates the same and not raise them has also emboldened investors into risk assets such as Bitcoin.

如果这种分形像以前一样发挥作用，那么该周期的比特币价格的目标定为150,000美元。美联储选择将利率保持不变而不提高的宏观开发也使投资者胆约使用比特币等风险资产。