比特幣 (BTC) 價格可能很快就會創下新高，但在飆升之前會先下跌嗎？專家分析

隨著加密貨幣交易高於先前的阻力位，比特幣 10 月的市場表現引起了人們的關注。分析師 Zen 分享了詳細的展望

Cryptocurrency prices have experienced significant volatility in recent times, with Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) displaying a strong rally throughout October. As the month nears its end, several analysts have been closely monitoring BTC’s price action to gauge its potential trajectory.

最近一段時間，加密貨幣價格經歷了大幅波動，其中比特幣（CRYPTO：BTC）在整個 10 月表現出強勁反彈。隨著月底臨近，幾位分析師一直在密切關注 BTC 的價格走勢，以評估其潛在軌跡。

One such analyst, known as Zen, recently shared their perspective on BTC’s price movements, highlighting the possibility of a new all-time high (ATH) on the horizon. However, the analyst also suggests that a price dip might precede this anticipated surge.

一位名叫 Zen 的分析師最近分享了他們對 BTC 價格走勢的看法，強調了即將創下歷史新高 (ATH) 的可能性。然而，分析師也表示，在預期的飆升之前，價格可能會下跌。

In their analysis, Zen points out specific price ranges and chart patterns that could indicate a potential dip before a breakout. They also utilize Fibonacci retracement levels to identify a possible support zone.

在他們的分析中，Zen 指出了可能預示突破前潛在下跌的具體價格範圍和圖表模式。他們也利用斐波那契回撤水準來確定可能的支撐區域。

Here's a summary of their analysis and observations:

以下是他們的分析和觀察的摘要：

- A Strong October Candle: On the monthly chart, BTC's October candle is notably positioned above March's closing level of $71,363. This breakout signal, if sustained by a close at current levels, could indicate a bullish trend.

- 強勁的 10 月蠟燭：在月度圖表上，BTC 的 10 月蠟燭明顯高於 3 月的收盤價 71,363 美元。如果收盤價維持在當前水平，此突破訊號可能表示看漲趨勢。

- Anticipating a November Breakout: A close examination of Bitcoin's price movements reveals a gradual yet persistent attempt to break through higher resistance levels. This observation aligns with previous bullish cycles, suggesting the potential for a continuation in this price behavior, leading to an anticipated breakout in November.

- 預計 11 月將突破：對比特幣價格走勢的仔細研究顯示，比特幣正在逐步但持續地嘗試突破更高的阻力位。這一觀察結果與先前的看漲週期一致，表明這種價格行為有可能持續下去，從而導致 11 月的預期突破。

- Fibonacci Analysis for Dip Zone: To identify a potential dip range, the analyst applied Fibonacci retracement, marking the 0.618 – 0.786 levels on a 1-hour chart. This translates to roughly $67,793 to $70,358. The analysis suggests that BTC could experience a brief pullback within this zone before resuming its climb.

- 下跌區域的斐波那契分析：為了確定潛在的下跌範圍，分析師應用了斐波那契回撤，在 1 小時圖表上標記了 0.618 – 0.786 水平。這大約相當於 67,793 美元至 70,358 美元。分析表明，比特幣可能會在該區域內經歷短暫回調，然後再恢復攀升。

- Key Support and Resistance Levels: Throughout the analysis, several key support and resistance levels were highlighted. These include March's close at $71,363, serving as a critical level for maintaining a bullish outlook.

- 關鍵支撐位和阻力位：在整個分析過程中，強調了幾個關鍵支撐位和阻力位。其中包括 3 月收盤價 71,363 美元，這是維持看漲前景的關鍵水準。

- On the lower end of the support spectrum, liquidity pools are concentrated around $71,150, $70,444, and $69,300, offering potential buffers against deeper dips.

- 在支撐範圍的下端，流動性池集中在 71,150 美元、70,444 美元和 69,300 美元附近，為進一步下跌提供了潛在的緩衝。

- On the resistance side, Bitcoin's ATH near $73,881 presents a psychological hurdle, with intermediate liquidity clusters at $73,108 and $73,597. These levels are crucial in determining BTC's continued rally.

- 在阻力方面，比特幣的 ATH 接近 73,881 美元構成了心理障礙，中間流動性集中在 73,108 美元和 73,597 美元。這些水準對於決定比特幣的持續上漲至關重要。

- CME Gap and Historical Patterns: Adding depth to their analysis, the analyst mentions a CME gap on the 1-hour chart, ranging from $67,435 to $68,185. This gap aligns with the 0.5 – 0.618 Fibonacci range.

- CME 缺口和歷史模式：分析師在 1 小時圖表上提到了 CME 缺口，範圍從 67,435 美元到 68,185 美元，這為他們的分析增添了深度。此缺口與 0.5 – 0.618 斐波那契範圍一致。

- Although the analyst typically disregards lower timeframe gaps, they note that the correlation with the Fibonacci retracement here increases the probability of a pullback to these levels.

- 儘管分析師通常會忽略較低的時間框架差距，但他們指出，此處與斐波那契回撤的相關性增加了回調至這些水平的可能性。

- Historical performance also lends context; the analyst references Bitcoin's 2019 spring movement when it advanced without a retracement, leaving open the possibility for a similar pattern here.

- 歷史表現也提供了背景；這位分析師參考了比特幣 2019 年春季的走勢，當時比特幣在沒有回檔的情況下上漲，因此這裡有可能出現類似的模式。

- However, the suggestion of a potential buy tail indicates the likelihood of a controlled dip before the anticipated breakout.

- 然而，潛在買入尾部的暗示表明在預期突破之前可能會出現受控下跌。

If Bitcoin sustains its current trend and closes October in this range, the analyst suggests that a November breakout could be on the cards. However, traders should be prepared for a potential dip within the $67,800 to $70,400 range, which could present buying opportunities.

如果比特幣維持當前趨勢並在 10 月收於該區間，分析師表示 11 月可能會出現突破。然而，交易者應該為 67,800 美元至 70,400 美元範圍內的潛在下跌做好準備，這可能會帶來買入機會。