比特币 (BTC) 价格可能很快就会创下新高，但在飙升之前会先下跌吗？专家分析

随着加密货币交易高于之前的阻力位，比特币 10 月份的市场表现引起了人们的关注。分析师 Zen 分享了详细的展望

Cryptocurrency prices have experienced significant volatility in recent times, with Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) displaying a strong rally throughout October. As the month nears its end, several analysts have been closely monitoring BTC’s price action to gauge its potential trajectory.

最近一段时间，加密货币价格经历了大幅波动，其中比特币（CRYPTO：BTC）在整个 10 月份表现出强劲反弹。随着月底临近，几位分析师一直在密切关注 BTC 的价格走势，以评估其潜在轨迹。

One such analyst, known as Zen, recently shared their perspective on BTC’s price movements, highlighting the possibility of a new all-time high (ATH) on the horizon. However, the analyst also suggests that a price dip might precede this anticipated surge.

一位名叫 Zen 的分析师最近分享了他们对 BTC 价格走势的看法，强调了即将创下历史新高 (ATH) 的可能性。然而，分析师还表示，在预期的飙升之前，价格可能会下跌。

In their analysis, Zen points out specific price ranges and chart patterns that could indicate a potential dip before a breakout. They also utilize Fibonacci retracement levels to identify a possible support zone.

在他们的分析中，Zen 指出了可能表明突破前潜在下跌的具体价格范围和图表模式。他们还利用斐波那契回撤水平来确定可能的支撑区域。

Here's a summary of their analysis and observations:

以下是他们的分析和观察的摘要：

- A Strong October Candle: On the monthly chart, BTC's October candle is notably positioned above March's closing level of $71,363. This breakout signal, if sustained by a close at current levels, could indicate a bullish trend.

- 强劲的 10 月蜡烛：在月度图表上，BTC 的 10 月蜡烛明显高于 3 月的收盘价 71,363 美元。如果收盘价维持在当前水平，这一突破信号可能表明看涨趋势。

- Anticipating a November Breakout: A close examination of Bitcoin's price movements reveals a gradual yet persistent attempt to break through higher resistance levels. This observation aligns with previous bullish cycles, suggesting the potential for a continuation in this price behavior, leading to an anticipated breakout in November.

- 预计 11 月突破：对比特币价格走势的仔细研究显示，比特币正在逐步但持续地尝试突破更高的阻力位。这一观察结果与之前的看涨周期一致，表明这种价格行为有可能持续下去，从而导致 11 月的预期突破。

- Fibonacci Analysis for Dip Zone: To identify a potential dip range, the analyst applied Fibonacci retracement, marking the 0.618 – 0.786 levels on a 1-hour chart. This translates to roughly $67,793 to $70,358. The analysis suggests that BTC could experience a brief pullback within this zone before resuming its climb.

- 下跌区域的斐波那契分析：为了确定潜在的下跌范围，分析师应用了斐波那契回撤，在 1 小时图表上标记了 0.618 – 0.786 水平。这大约相当于 67,793 美元至 70,358 美元。分析表明，比特币可能会在该区域内经历短暂回调，然后再恢复攀升。

- Key Support and Resistance Levels: Throughout the analysis, several key support and resistance levels were highlighted. These include March's close at $71,363, serving as a critical level for maintaining a bullish outlook.

- 关键支撑位和阻力位：在整个分析过程中，强调了几个关键支撑位和阻力位。其中包括 3 月份收盘价 71,363 美元，这是维持看涨前景的关键水平。

- On the lower end of the support spectrum, liquidity pools are concentrated around $71,150, $70,444, and $69,300, offering potential buffers against deeper dips.

- 在支撑范围的下端，流动性池集中在 71,150 美元、70,444 美元和 69,300 美元附近，为进一步下跌提供了潜在的缓冲。

- On the resistance side, Bitcoin's ATH near $73,881 presents a psychological hurdle, with intermediate liquidity clusters at $73,108 and $73,597. These levels are crucial in determining BTC's continued rally.

- 在阻力方面，比特币的 ATH 接近 73,881 美元构成了心理障碍，中间流动性集中在 73,108 美元和 73,597 美元。这些水平对于决定比特币的持续上涨至关重要。

- CME Gap and Historical Patterns: Adding depth to their analysis, the analyst mentions a CME gap on the 1-hour chart, ranging from $67,435 to $68,185. This gap aligns with the 0.5 – 0.618 Fibonacci range.

- CME 缺口和历史模式：分析师在 1 小时图表上提到了 CME 缺口，范围从 67,435 美元到 68,185 美元，这为他们的分析增添了深度。该缺口与 0.5 – 0.618 斐波那契范围一致。

- Although the analyst typically disregards lower timeframe gaps, they note that the correlation with the Fibonacci retracement here increases the probability of a pullback to these levels.

- 尽管分析师通常会忽略较低的时间框架差距，但他们指出，此处与斐波那契回撤的相关性增加了回调至这些水平的可能性。

- Historical performance also lends context; the analyst references Bitcoin's 2019 spring movement when it advanced without a retracement, leaving open the possibility for a similar pattern here.

- 历史表现也提供了背景；这位分析师参考了比特币 2019 年春季的走势，当时比特币在没有回调的情况下上涨，因此这里有可能出现类似的模式。

- However, the suggestion of a potential buy tail indicates the likelihood of a controlled dip before the anticipated breakout.

- 然而，潜在买入尾部的暗示表明在预期突破之前可能会出现受控下跌。

If Bitcoin sustains its current trend and closes October in this range, the analyst suggests that a November breakout could be on the cards. However, traders should be prepared for a potential dip within the $67,800 to $70,400 range, which could present buying opportunities.

如果比特币维持目前的趋势并在 10 月份收于该区间，分析师表示 11 月份可能会出现突破。然而，交易者应该为 67,800 美元至 70,400 美元范围内的潜在下跌做好准备，这可能会带来买入机会。