分析師稱，比特幣 (BTC) 價格在 71,000 美元停滯後可能會下跌

比特幣價格在觸及 71,000 美元水平後陷入停滯，基本上處於猶豫不決的狀態。自然地，像這樣的時期可以作為

Bitcoin price has shown little movement after hitting the $71,000 level, leaving traders guessing on what might be next for the apex crypto. While periods of indecisiveness usually precede a strong move, the direction that the price might be headed in remains a mystery.

比特幣價格在觸及 71,000 美元水平後幾乎沒有變動，這讓交易者猜測頂級加密貨幣的下一步可能是什麼。雖然在強勁走勢之前通常會出現猶豫不決的時期，但價格可能走向的方向仍然是個謎。

In an attempt to pinpoint where Bitcoin might be going next, crypto analyst Alan Santana has taken a look at the Bitcoin chart and come up with a possible direction.

為了確定比特幣下一步的方向，加密貨幣分析師艾倫·桑塔納（Alan Santana）查看了比特幣圖表並提出了一個可能的方向。

Bitcoin Could Be Headed Downward

比特幣可能會下跌

Santana’s analysis looks at the Bitcoin performance over the past year in a bid to tell where the price might be headed. As the analyst points out, the Bitcoin price has been in a bullish wave for over one year, 479 days to be exact, since November 2022 through to March 2024.

桑塔納的分析著眼於過去一年的比特幣表現，以判斷價格的走向。正如分析師指出的那樣，從 2022 年 11 月到 2024 年 3 月，比特幣價格已經處於看漲浪潮中超過一年，確切地說是 479 天。

Naturally, when bullish waves like these last for so long, it is expected that there will be a crash downward as investors begin to sell off their holdings. The problem is that bearish waves after a bullish wave move faster, and with the bullish wave lasting for 16 months, the bearish wave is expected to unravel quickly. As the crypto analyst points out, it is often 2x or 2.5x faster than the bullish wave.

當然，當這樣的看漲浪潮持續很長時間時，隨著投資者開始拋售所持股份，預計會崩盤。問題在於，看漲波浪之後的看跌波浪移動速度更快，而看漲波浪持續了16個月，看跌波浪預計很快就會瓦解。正如加密貨幣分析師指出的那樣，它通常比看漲浪潮快 2 倍或 2.5 倍。

Explaining the reason behind this, Santana said that, “When the market is rising, people are buying, slowly but surely, building up a position and enjoying the market and profits as everything grows. This is not the case when the market turns.”

桑塔納在解釋背後的原因時表示，「當市場上漲時，人們會緩慢而堅定地買入，建立頭寸，並隨著一切的增長而享受市場和利潤。當市場轉向時，情況就不是這樣了。

He further explains that “When a correction happens, people either prepare in advance or sell when they realize that the upward potential has been exhausted. So instead of ‘building a position,’ when the majority of players realize that the wave is over they tend to close the entire position, and thus, the down move can really speed up, and that’s why the down move is faster than when prices grow.”

他進一步解釋說，「當回調發生時，人們要么提前做好準備，要么在意識到上漲潛力已經耗盡時賣出。因此，當大多數玩家意識到波浪已經結束時，他們傾向於關閉整個頭寸，而不是“建倉”，因此，下跌趨勢確實會加速，這就是為什麼下跌趨勢比價格上漲時更快的原因生長。

Given this, the crypto analyst expects the bearish wave to come with a sharp crash for Bitcoin. This, by extension, would affect the rest of the market, which is known to suffer more than Bitcoin.

有鑑於此，這位加密貨幣分析師預計，看跌浪潮將伴隨比特幣的大幅崩盤。推而廣之，這將影響市場的其他部分，眾所周知，市場的其他部分比比特幣遭受的損失更大。

Where Is The BTC Price Headed From Here?

比特幣價格將走向何方？

In the bearish wave expected by the crypto analyst, he believes that the Bitcoin price could crash more than 30% from its current price of $71,000. The chart shows a possible initial crash down to the $60,000 levels, and then he expects it to continue further.

在這位加密貨幣分析師預期的看跌浪潮中，他認為比特幣價格可能會比目前 71,000 美元的價格暴跌 30% 以上。該圖表顯示，最初可能會跌至 60,000 美元的水平，然後他預計跌勢將進一步持續。

At the bottom of this crash is the $47,943 level, presumably where the analyst expects the crash to end. If this does happen, then the BTC price could be looking at an approximately 33% crash, something that could be incredibly bearish for the market.

這次崩盤的底部是 47,943 美元，大概是分析師預計崩盤結束的水平。如果這種情況確實發生，那麼 BTC 價格可能會暴跌約 33%，這對市場來說可能是非常利空的。