分析师称，比特币 (BTC) 价格在 71,000 美元停滞后可能会下跌

比特币价格在触及 71,000 美元水平后陷入停滞，基本上处于犹豫不决的状态。自然地，像这样的时期可以作为

Bitcoin price has shown little movement after hitting the $71,000 level, leaving traders guessing on what might be next for the apex crypto. While periods of indecisiveness usually precede a strong move, the direction that the price might be headed in remains a mystery.

比特币价格在触及 71,000 美元水平后几乎没有变动，这让交易者猜测顶级加密货币的下一步可能是什么。虽然在强劲走势之前通常会出现犹豫不决的时期，但价格可能走向的方向仍然是个谜。

In an attempt to pinpoint where Bitcoin might be going next, crypto analyst Alan Santana has taken a look at the Bitcoin chart and come up with a possible direction.

为了确定比特币下一步的走向，加密货币分析师艾伦·桑塔纳（Alan Santana）查看了比特币图表并提出了一个可能的方向。

Bitcoin Could Be Headed Downward

比特币可能会下跌

Santana’s analysis looks at the Bitcoin performance over the past year in a bid to tell where the price might be headed. As the analyst points out, the Bitcoin price has been in a bullish wave for over one year, 479 days to be exact, since November 2022 through to March 2024.

桑塔纳的分析着眼于过去一年的比特币表现，以判断价格的走向。正如分析师指出的那样，从 2022 年 11 月到 2024 年 3 月，比特币价格已经处于看涨浪潮中超过一年，确切地说是 479 天。

Naturally, when bullish waves like these last for so long, it is expected that there will be a crash downward as investors begin to sell off their holdings. The problem is that bearish waves after a bullish wave move faster, and with the bullish wave lasting for 16 months, the bearish wave is expected to unravel quickly. As the crypto analyst points out, it is often 2x or 2.5x faster than the bullish wave.

当然，当这样的看涨浪潮持续很长时间时，随着投资者开始抛售所持股份，预计会出现崩盘。问题在于，看涨波浪之后的看跌波浪移动速度更快，而看涨波浪持续了16个月，看跌波浪预计很快就会瓦解。正如加密货币分析师指出的那样，它通常比看涨浪潮快 2 倍或 2.5 倍。

Explaining the reason behind this, Santana said that, “When the market is rising, people are buying, slowly but surely, building up a position and enjoying the market and profits as everything grows. This is not the case when the market turns.”

桑塔纳在解释其背后的原因时表示，“当市场上涨时，人们会缓慢而坚定地买入，建立头寸，并随着一切的增长而享受市场和利润。当市场转向时，情况就不是这样了。”

He further explains that “When a correction happens, people either prepare in advance or sell when they realize that the upward potential has been exhausted. So instead of ‘building a position,’ when the majority of players realize that the wave is over they tend to close the entire position, and thus, the down move can really speed up, and that’s why the down move is faster than when prices grow.”

他进一步解释说，“当回调发生时，人们要么提前做好准备，要么在意识到上涨潜力已经耗尽时卖出。因此，当大多数玩家意识到波浪已经结束时，他们倾向于关闭整个头寸，而不是“建仓”，因此，下跌趋势确实会加速，这就是为什么下跌趋势比价格上涨时更快的原因生长。”

Given this, the crypto analyst expects the bearish wave to come with a sharp crash for Bitcoin. This, by extension, would affect the rest of the market, which is known to suffer more than Bitcoin.

鉴于此，这位加密货币分析师预计，看跌浪潮将伴随比特币的大幅崩盘。推而广之，这将影响市场的其他部分，众所周知，市场的其他部分比比特币遭受的损失更大。

Where Is The BTC Price Headed From Here?

比特币价格将走向何方？

In the bearish wave expected by the crypto analyst, he believes that the Bitcoin price could crash more than 30% from its current price of $71,000. The chart shows a possible initial crash down to the $60,000 levels, and then he expects it to continue further.

在这位加密货币分析师预期的看跌浪潮中，他认为比特币价格可能会比当前 71,000 美元的价格暴跌 30% 以上。该图表显示，最初可能会跌至 60,000 美元的水平，然后他预计跌势将进一步持续。

At the bottom of this crash is the $47,943 level, presumably where the analyst expects the crash to end. If this does happen, then the BTC price could be looking at an approximately 33% crash, something that could be incredibly bearish for the market.

这次崩盘的底部是 47,943 美元，大概是分析师预计崩盘结束的水平。如果这种情况确实发生，那么 BTC 价格可能会暴跌约 33%，这对市场来说可能是非常利空的。