比特幣（BTC）價格眼睛崩潰至$ 99K或更低

在過去的10天中，比特幣（BTC）一直在側向移動，鞏固了105,000美元至10.1萬美元。但是，最近的三項發展暗示，BTC的價格可能會跌至9.9萬美元或更低。

Bitcoin (BTC) has been consolidating in a narrow range over the past 10 days, with the apex cryptocurrency trading between $105k to $101k. However, three recent developments suggest that BTC’s price may soon crash to $99k or lower.

在過去的10天中，比特幣（BTC）一直在狹窄範圍內鞏固，Apex加密貨幣交易在105,000美元至101k之間。但是，最近的三項發展表明，BTC的價格可能很快跌至9.9萬美元或更低。

On May 17, the weekend, BTC trades at $103.3k after dropping 2.52% in the past 24 hours. Ethereum (ETH) and other top cryptocurrencies have also followed Bitcoin’s footsteps and registered a loss.

5月17日，週末，BTC在過去24小時內下跌2.52％後，以103.3萬美元的價格交易。以太坊（ETH）和其他頂級加密貨幣也遵循了比特幣的腳步，並記錄了損失。

Here’s Why BTC Price Eyes Crash to $99K or Lower

這就是為什麼BTC Price Eyes崩潰至$ 99K或更低的原因

In short, the reason for a bearish outlook on BTC price is due to Bitcoin’s technicals, macroeconomic uncertainty, and historical returns.

簡而言之，對BTC價格產生看跌前景的原因是由於比特幣的技術，宏觀經濟不確定性和歷史回報。

Reason 1: Technicals Hint Weakening Momentum

原因1：技術暗示弱勢勢頭

The ongoing BTC price consolidation is losing steam, leading to a production of lower highs. The Relative Strength Index (RSI), hovering above the overbought zone of 70, is also sliding lower, adding credence to the drop in bullish momentum. Hence, a further consolidation followed by a correction is something that investors can expect.

持續的BTC價格合併正在失去蒸汽，導致較低的高點產生。相對強度指數（RSI）徘徊在70的超購買區以上，也較低，為看漲勢頭的下降增添了信譽。因此，投資者可以期望進一步合併，然後進行更正。

Key Levels to Watch:

要觀看的關鍵級別：

Bitcoin is hovering above the $102k support level, which is the upper limit of the value area formed between December 2024 and February 2025. Auction Market Theory states that an acceptance inside the prior value often leads to a rotation toward the lower limit. Hence the short-term Bitcoin price prediction is bearish with a target of $93k, which is the value area low.

比特幣徘徊在2024年12月至2025年2月之間形成的價值面積的上限以上。拍賣市場理論指出，先前價值內部的接受通常會導致向下限旋轉。因此，短期比特幣的價格預測是看跌，目標是$ 93K，這是價值低點。

So, from a higher timeframe outlook, a steep crash to $93.1k is likely if BTC price flips $102k. However, as noted in previous articles, Bitcoin’s single print around $99k could see huge demand from dip buyers, enough to potentially halt the correction.

因此，從較高的時間範圍前景來看，如果BTC價格跌至102K美元，可能會急劇跌至93.1k美元。但是，正如先前文章中所述，比特幣的單打印量約為9.9萬美元，可能會看到Dip買家的巨大需求，足以阻止更正。

Reason 2: Drop in Addresses & New Investors on Bitcoin Blockchain

原因2：地址下降和比特幣區塊鏈的新投資者

Data from Santiment shows declining Daily Active Addresses, hinting that investors are leaving the Bitcoin blockchain. Moreover, the Network Growth (NG) metric that tracks new addresses joining the network has also declined.

Santiment的數據顯示，每日活動地址的下降，暗示投資者正在離開比特幣區塊鏈。此外，跟踪加入網絡的新地址的網絡增長（NG）也有所下降。

Both these indicators’ behavior suggests that investors are fleeing the network and are not interested in the current price levels.

這兩種指標的行為都表明投資者正在逃離網絡，並且對當前價格水平不感興趣。

Reason 3: Uncertain Macroeconomic Conditions

原因3：不確定的宏觀經濟條件

Despite a soft April CPI print, the US stock market and cryptocurrencies have failed to reflect the bullish sentiment. On the contrary, investors are uncertain about a Fed rate cut announcement. The CME Fed Watch Tool shows odds of a rate cut at 8.3% and 34.2% in June and July, respectively. Jim Bianco’s research shows that this probability declines as the Fed’s meeting date approaches. This means that the September rate cut odds of 51.5% are likely to decline in the future.

儘管四月的CPI印刷品柔和，但美國股票市場和加密貨幣仍未反映看漲的情緒。相反，投資者不確定美聯儲削減宣布。 CME FED手錶工具在6月和7月分別降低了8.3％和34.2％的稅率。吉姆·比安科（Jim Bianco）的研究表明，隨著美聯儲的會議日期臨近，這種概率下降了。這意味著9月的利率將未來的賠率降低了51.5％。

In conclusion, the outlook for Bitcoin appears bearish in the short term, especially with the continued decline in BTC’s 30-day volatility. Investors should be prepared for periods of low volatility to be followed by high volatile phases.

總之，比特幣的前景在短期內出現看跌，尤其是隨著BTC 30天波動率的持續下降。投資者應為低波動性時期做好準備，之後是高揮發性階段。

Frequently Asked Questions (FAQs)

常見問題（常見問題解答）

1. Why is Bitcoin's price potentially heading towards a crash?

1。為什麼比特幣的價格可能會朝著撞車事故前進？

Bitcoin's price may be headed towards a crash due to several factors, including:

由於多個因素，比特幣的價格可能會墜毀，其中包括：

* Technical analysis suggests a loss of momentum in the current consolidation phase, with lower highs being formed.

*技術分析表明，在當前合併階段的動量喪失，形成較低的高點。

* The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is sliding from the overbought zone, indicating a decline in bullish strength.

*相對強度指數（RSI）從過度購買的區域滑落，表明看漲強度的下降。

* A deeper analysis using Auction Market Theory suggests that an acceptance in the prior value area could lead to a steeper move to the lower limit of the value area.

*使用拍賣市場理論進行更深入的分析表明，對先前價值區域的接受可能會導致更陡峭的移動到該價值區域的下限。

2. What are the key levels to watch for Bitcoin's price?

2。要注意比特幣價格的關鍵水平是多少？

Key levels to watch for Bitcoin's price include:

關注比特幣價格的關鍵水平包括：

* $102k: This is the upper limit of the value area formed between December 2024 and February 2025.

* $ 102K：這是2024年12月至2025年2月之間形成的價值面積的上限。

* $93k: This is the lower limit of the value area and the potential target for a short-term price prediction.

* $ 93K：這是價值面積的下限，也是短期價格預測的潛在目標。

* $99k: This level could see significant demand from dip buyers, which could help to mitigate the correction.

* $ 99K：這個水平可能會看到傾銷買家的巨大需求，這可能有助於減輕更正。

3. How do macroeconomic conditions impact Bitcoin's price?

3。宏觀經濟條件如何影響比特幣的價格？

Macroeconomic conditions can significantly influence Bitcoin's price. Investors are currently uncertain about a Fed rate cut announcement, which could have implications for both the stock market and cryptocurrencies. The CME Fed Watch Tool shows the probabilities of a rate cut at 8.3% and 34.2% in June and July, respectively, while Jim Bianco's research indicates that this probability decreases as the meeting date approaches. Additionally, the September rate cut odds of 51.5% are likely to decline further in the future.

宏觀經濟狀況可以顯著影響比特幣的價格。投資者目前對美聯儲削減宣布的公告不確定，這可能會對股市和加密貨幣產生影響。 CME FED手錶工具顯示了6月和7月的率分別為8.3％和34.2％的概率，而吉姆·比安科（Jim Bianco）的研究表明，隨著會議日期的臨近，這種概率降低。此外，9月的利率將未來的賠率降低了51.5％。