比特币（BTC）价格眼睛崩溃至$ 99K或更低

在过去的10天中，比特币（BTC）一直在侧向移动，巩固了105,000美元至10.1万美元。但是，最近的三项发展暗示，BTC的价格可能会跌至9.9万美元或更低。

Bitcoin (BTC) has been consolidating in a narrow range over the past 10 days, with the apex cryptocurrency trading between $105k to $101k. However, three recent developments suggest that BTC’s price may soon crash to $99k or lower.

在过去的10天中，比特币（BTC）一直在狭窄范围内巩固，Apex加密货币交易在105,000美元至101k之间。但是，最近的三项发展表明，BTC的价格可能很快跌至9.9万美元或更低。

On May 17, the weekend, BTC trades at $103.3k after dropping 2.52% in the past 24 hours. Ethereum (ETH) and other top cryptocurrencies have also followed Bitcoin’s footsteps and registered a loss.

5月17日，周末，BTC在过去24小时内下跌2.52％后，以103.3万美元的价格交易。以太坊（ETH）和其他顶级加密货币也遵循了比特币的脚步，并记录了损失。

Here’s Why BTC Price Eyes Crash to $99K or Lower

这就是为什么BTC Price Eyes崩溃至$ 99K或更低的原因

In short, the reason for a bearish outlook on BTC price is due to Bitcoin’s technicals, macroeconomic uncertainty, and historical returns.

简而言之，对BTC价格产生看跌前景的原因是由于比特币的技术，宏观经济不确定性和历史回报。

Reason 1: Technicals Hint Weakening Momentum

原因1：技术暗示弱势势头

The ongoing BTC price consolidation is losing steam, leading to a production of lower highs. The Relative Strength Index (RSI), hovering above the overbought zone of 70, is also sliding lower, adding credence to the drop in bullish momentum. Hence, a further consolidation followed by a correction is something that investors can expect.

持续的BTC价格合并正在失去蒸汽，导致较低的高点产生。相对强度指数（RSI）徘徊在70的超购买区以上，也较低，为看涨势头的下降增添了信誉。因此，投资者可以期望进一步合并，然后进行更正。

Key Levels to Watch:

要观看的关键级别：

Bitcoin is hovering above the $102k support level, which is the upper limit of the value area formed between December 2024 and February 2025. Auction Market Theory states that an acceptance inside the prior value often leads to a rotation toward the lower limit. Hence the short-term Bitcoin price prediction is bearish with a target of $93k, which is the value area low.

比特币徘徊在2024年12月至2025年2月之间形成的价值面积的上限以上。拍卖市场理论指出，先前价值内部的接受通常会导致向下限旋转。因此，短期比特币的价格预测是看跌，目标是$ 93K，这是价值低点。

So, from a higher timeframe outlook, a steep crash to $93.1k is likely if BTC price flips $102k. However, as noted in previous articles, Bitcoin’s single print around $99k could see huge demand from dip buyers, enough to potentially halt the correction.

因此，从较高的时间范围前景来看，如果BTC价格跌至102K美元，可能会急剧跌至93.1k美元。但是，正如先前文章中所述，比特币的单打印量约为9.9万美元，可能会看到Dip买家的巨大需求，足以阻止更正。

Reason 2: Drop in Addresses & New Investors on Bitcoin Blockchain

原因2：地址下降和比特币区块链的新投资者

Data from Santiment shows declining Daily Active Addresses, hinting that investors are leaving the Bitcoin blockchain. Moreover, the Network Growth (NG) metric that tracks new addresses joining the network has also declined.

Santiment的数据显示，每日活动地址的下降，暗示投资者正在离开比特币区块链。此外，跟踪加入网络的新地址的网络增长（NG）也有所下降。

Both these indicators’ behavior suggests that investors are fleeing the network and are not interested in the current price levels.

这两种指标的行为都表明投资者正在逃离网络，并且对当前价格水平不感兴趣。

Reason 3: Uncertain Macroeconomic Conditions

原因3：不确定的宏观经济条件

Despite a soft April CPI print, the US stock market and cryptocurrencies have failed to reflect the bullish sentiment. On the contrary, investors are uncertain about a Fed rate cut announcement. The CME Fed Watch Tool shows odds of a rate cut at 8.3% and 34.2% in June and July, respectively. Jim Bianco’s research shows that this probability declines as the Fed’s meeting date approaches. This means that the September rate cut odds of 51.5% are likely to decline in the future.

尽管四月的CPI印刷品柔和，但美国股票市场和加密货币仍未反映看涨的情绪。相反，投资者不确定美联储削减宣布。 CME FED手表工具在6月和7月分别降低了8.3％和34.2％的税率。吉姆·比安科（Jim Bianco）的研究表明，随着美联储的会议日期临近，这种概率下降了。这意味着9月的利率将未来的赔率降低了51.5％。

In conclusion, the outlook for Bitcoin appears bearish in the short term, especially with the continued decline in BTC’s 30-day volatility. Investors should be prepared for periods of low volatility to be followed by high volatile phases.

总之，比特币的前景在短期内出现看跌，尤其是随着BTC 30天波动率的持续下降。投资者应为低波动性时期做好准备，之后是高挥发性阶段。

Frequently Asked Questions (FAQs)

常见问题（常见问题解答）

1. Why is Bitcoin's price potentially heading towards a crash?

1。为什么比特币的价格可能会朝着撞车事故前进？

Bitcoin's price may be headed towards a crash due to several factors, including:

由于多个因素，比特币的价格可能会坠毁，其中包括：

* Technical analysis suggests a loss of momentum in the current consolidation phase, with lower highs being formed.

*技术分析表明，在当前合并阶段的动量丧失，形成较低的高点。

* The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is sliding from the overbought zone, indicating a decline in bullish strength.

*相对强度指数（RSI）从过度购买的区域滑落，表明看涨强度的下降。

* A deeper analysis using Auction Market Theory suggests that an acceptance in the prior value area could lead to a steeper move to the lower limit of the value area.

*使用拍卖市场理论进行更深入的分析表明，对先前价值区域的接受可能会导致更陡峭的移动到该价值区域的下限。

2. What are the key levels to watch for Bitcoin's price?

2。要注意比特币价格的关键水平是多少？

Key levels to watch for Bitcoin's price include:

关注比特币价格的关键水平包括：

* $102k: This is the upper limit of the value area formed between December 2024 and February 2025.

* $ 102K：这是2024年12月至2025年2月之间形成的价值面积的上限。

* $93k: This is the lower limit of the value area and the potential target for a short-term price prediction.

* $ 93K：这是价值面积的下限，也是短期价格预测的潜在目标。

* $99k: This level could see significant demand from dip buyers, which could help to mitigate the correction.

* $ 99K：这个水平可能会看到倾销买家的巨大需求，这可能有助于减轻更正。

3. How do macroeconomic conditions impact Bitcoin's price?

3。宏观经济条件如何影响比特币的价格？

Macroeconomic conditions can significantly influence Bitcoin's price. Investors are currently uncertain about a Fed rate cut announcement, which could have implications for both the stock market and cryptocurrencies. The CME Fed Watch Tool shows the probabilities of a rate cut at 8.3% and 34.2% in June and July, respectively, while Jim Bianco's research indicates that this probability decreases as the meeting date approaches. Additionally, the September rate cut odds of 51.5% are likely to decline further in the future.

宏观经济状况可以显着影响比特币的价格。投资者目前对美联储削减宣布的公告不确定，这可能会对股市和加密货币产生影响。 CME FED手表工具显示了6月和7月的率分别为8.3％和34.2％的概率，而吉姆·比安科（Jim Bianco）的研究表明，随着会议日期的临近，这种概率降低。此外，9月的利率将未来的赔率降低了51.5％。