比特幣 (BTC) 價格需要突破 70,000 美元才能繼續上漲趨勢

比特幣交易員持樂觀態度，預計價格將擺脫近期疲軟並飆升至當地阻力位至 73,800 美元以上

Bitcoin traders are optimistic that prices will recover from recent weakness and rally past local resistances to reach highs of $73,800. However, buyers will need conviction to push the coin above these liquidation zones.

比特幣交易員樂觀地認為，價格將從近期的疲軟中恢復，並突破當地阻力位，達到 73,800 美元的高點。然而，買家需要有信心將代幣推至這些清算區域之上。

The leg up must also be sustained by a fresh influx of new capital, particularly from investors who fear missing out on the rally.

上漲也必須靠新資本的湧入來維持，尤其是來自擔心錯過漲勢的投資者。

Presently, Bitcoin is stable, trading within last week’s bear range. At the same time, the coin is also trading within the September 1 bear candlestick, which is notably wide-ranging. Despite prices finding support from the $56,500 and $57,000 support zone, some traders are not convinced, especially at spot rates.

目前，比特幣穩定，交易在上週的熊市區間。同時，該代幣也在 9 月 1 日的熊燭台內交易，該燭台的波動範圍尤其廣泛。儘管價格在 56,500 美元和 57,000 美元的支撐區域找到支撐，但一些交易員並不相信，特別是在即期匯率下。

Bitcoin Needs To Clear $70,000 For Uptrend To Continue Q1 2024

比特幣需要突破 7 萬美元才能在 2024 年第一季繼續上漲

There are several reasons to be cautious, and according to IntoTheBlock data, bulls will need support to continue the uptrend into Q1 2024.

有幾個理由需要保持謹慎，根據 IntoTheBlock 數據，多頭將需要支撐才能將上升趨勢延續到 2024 年第一季。

Their data shows that around seven million addresses purchased BTC at prices ranging from $61,700 to $70,500.

他們的數據顯示，大約有 700 萬個地址以 61,700 美元至 70,500 美元的價格購買了 BTC。

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According to the analytics platform, these addresses are underwater at spot rates. Hence, the closer prices get to their breakeven price, the higher the chance of them selling.

根據分析平台的數據，這些地址按即期匯率處於水下狀態。因此，價格越接近損益平衡價格，出售的機會就越大。

Their sustained selling pressure and motivation to get into the green, IntoTheBlock data analysts say, will prevent BTC from ripping higher to reach new all-time highs. In light of this, and for Bitcoin to soar, bulls will need to sustain the rally past $60,000

IntoTheBlock 數據分析師表示，他們持續的拋售壓力和進入綠色市場的動力將阻止 BTC 飆升至新的歷史高點。有鑑於此，為了讓比特幣飆升，多頭需要將漲勢維持在 6 萬美元以上

Furthermore, they will need to decisively clear $70,000, preferably with expanding volume. If anything, the level of engagement should surpass the trading volume recorded on August 5. Back then, prices went on to crash to lows of $49,000 in early August.

此外，他們需要果斷地清算 7 萬美元，最好是擴大交易量。如果有什麼不同的話，那就是參與度應該超過 8 月 5 日記錄的交易量。

Over 30% Of All Supply In HODLer Hands, Paper BTC Declining

超過 30% 的供應量在 HODLer 手中，紙幣 BTC 正在下降

While there is a possibility that the nearly seven million addresses will dump BTC, a large portion of the BTC supply is in the hands of long-term holders (LTHs). LTHs are addresses that have held BTC for at least 155 days. According to IntoTheBlock data, over 30% of the total supply has not been moved in over five years.

雖然近 700 萬個地址有可能拋售 BTC，但 BTC 供應的很大一部分掌握在長期持有者 (LTH) 手中。 LTH 是持有 BTC 至少 155 天的地址。根據 IntoTheBlock 數據，超過 30% 的供應量在五年內沒有轉移。

Related Reading: Why Is Bitcoin Price Down Today? Key Reasons Explained

相關閱讀：為什麼今天比特幣價格下跌？關鍵原因解釋

Meanwhile, another bullish factor that could support prices in the coming days is how the market has absorbed supply from German authorities, the United States Department of Justice (DoJ), and Mt. Gox.

同時，未來幾天可能支撐價格的另一個看漲因素是市場如何吸收德國當局、美國司法部 (DoJ) 和 Mt. Gox 的供應。

According to one on-chain analyst, the absorption has been impressive. This development, coupled with declining “paper” BTC from derivative platforms like Binance, could support prices.

一位鏈上分析師表示，吸收量令人印象深刻。這一發展，加上幣安等衍生性商品平台的「紙質」比特幣不斷減少，可能會支撐價格。