比特币 (BTC) 价格需要突破 70,000 美元才能继续上涨趋势

比特币交易员持乐观态度，预计价格将摆脱近期疲软并飙升至当地阻力位至 73,800 美元以上

Bitcoin traders are optimistic that prices will recover from recent weakness and rally past local resistances to reach highs of $73,800. However, buyers will need conviction to push the coin above these liquidation zones.

比特币交易员乐观地认为，价格将从近期的疲软中恢复，并突破当地阻力位，达到 73,800 美元的高位。然而，买家需要有信心将代币推至这些清算区域之上。

The leg up must also be sustained by a fresh influx of new capital, particularly from investors who fear missing out on the rally.

上涨还必须靠新资本的涌入来维持，尤其是来自担心错过涨势的投资者。

Presently, Bitcoin is stable, trading within last week’s bear range. At the same time, the coin is also trading within the September 1 bear candlestick, which is notably wide-ranging. Despite prices finding support from the $56,500 and $57,000 support zone, some traders are not convinced, especially at spot rates.

目前，比特币稳定，交易在上周的熊市区间内。与此同时，该代币也在 9 月 1 日的熊烛台内交易，该烛台的波动范围尤其广泛。尽管价格在 56,500 美元和 57,000 美元的支撑区域找到支撑，但一些交易员并不相信，特别是在即期汇率下。

Bitcoin Needs To Clear $70,000 For Uptrend To Continue Q1 2024

比特币需要突破 70,000 美元才能在 2024 年第一季度继续上涨

There are several reasons to be cautious, and according to IntoTheBlock data, bulls will need support to continue the uptrend into Q1 2024.

有几个理由需要保持谨慎，根据 IntoTheBlock 数据，多头将需要支撑才能将上升趋势延续到 2024 年第一季度。

Their data shows that around seven million addresses purchased BTC at prices ranging from $61,700 to $70,500.

他们的数据显示，大约有 700 万个地址以 61,700 美元至 70,500 美元的价格购买了 BTC。

Related Reading: Ripple Unleashes 1 Billion XRP: Could This Trigger A Price Tsunami?

相关阅读：Ripple释放10亿XRP：这会引发价格海啸吗？

According to the analytics platform, these addresses are underwater at spot rates. Hence, the closer prices get to their breakeven price, the higher the chance of them selling.

根据分析平台的数据，这些地址按即期汇率处于水下状态。因此，价格越接近盈亏平衡价格，出售的机会就越高。

Their sustained selling pressure and motivation to get into the green, IntoTheBlock data analysts say, will prevent BTC from ripping higher to reach new all-time highs. In light of this, and for Bitcoin to soar, bulls will need to sustain the rally past $60,000

IntoTheBlock 数据分析师表示，他们持续的抛售压力和进入绿色市场的动力将阻止 BTC 飙升至新的历史高点。有鉴于此，为了让比特币飙升，多头需要将涨势维持在 60,000 美元以上

Furthermore, they will need to decisively clear $70,000, preferably with expanding volume. If anything, the level of engagement should surpass the trading volume recorded on August 5. Back then, prices went on to crash to lows of $49,000 in early August.

此外，他们需要果断地清算 70,000 美元，最好是扩大交易量。如果说有什么不同的话，那就是参与度应该超过 8 月 5 日记录的交易量。当时，价格在 8 月初跌至 49,000 美元的低点。

Over 30% Of All Supply In HODLer Hands, Paper BTC Declining

超过 30% 的供应量在 HODLer 手中，纸币 BTC 正在下降

While there is a possibility that the nearly seven million addresses will dump BTC, a large portion of the BTC supply is in the hands of long-term holders (LTHs). LTHs are addresses that have held BTC for at least 155 days. According to IntoTheBlock data, over 30% of the total supply has not been moved in over five years.

虽然近 700 万个地址有可能抛售 BTC，但 BTC 供应的很大一部分掌握在长期持有者 (LTH) 手中。 LTH 是持有 BTC 至少 155 天的地址。根据 IntoTheBlock 数据，超过 30% 的供应量在五年内没有转移。

Related Reading: Why Is Bitcoin Price Down Today? Key Reasons Explained

相关阅读：为什么今天比特币价格下跌？关键原因解释

Meanwhile, another bullish factor that could support prices in the coming days is how the market has absorbed supply from German authorities, the United States Department of Justice (DoJ), and Mt. Gox.

与此同时，未来几天可能支撑价格的另一个看涨因素是市场如何吸收德国当局、美国司法部 (DoJ) 和 Mt. Gox 的供应。

According to one on-chain analyst, the absorption has been impressive. This development, coupled with declining “paper” BTC from derivative platforms like Binance, could support prices.

一位链上分析师表示，吸收量令人印象深刻。这一发展，加上币安等衍生品平台的“纸质”比特币不断减少，可能会支撑价格。