7 月 26 日比特幣 (BTC) 價格分析

在交易員對美國政府進行投機後，比特幣價格在周二早盤從近 7 萬美元大幅回調

Bitcoin price encountered a setback on Tuesday as traders speculated on the possibility of the US government selling its seized crypto assets. This news drove BTC price down from the crucial level of nearly $70,000.

由於交易員猜測美國政府可能出售其扣押的加密資產，比特幣價格週二遭遇挫折。這一消息導致 BTC 價格從近 70,000 美元的關鍵水平下跌。

The speculations began when Arkham Analytics reported the US government's transfer of $2 billion in Bitcoin to two new wallet addresses. This news led to a negative reaction in the BTC price, causing it to lose the $69K territory. At the time of writing, BTC trades at $66,443 with a 24-hour growth of -3.84%.

當 Arkham Analytics 報導美國政府將 20 億美元的比特幣轉移到兩個新的錢包地址時，人們的猜測就開始了。這一消息導致 BTC 價格出現負面反應，導致其失去 6.9 萬美元的關卡。截至撰寫本文時，BTC 交易價格為 66,443 美元，24 小時漲幅為-3.84%。

This price action is part of a larger pattern that has been unfolding in Bitcoin's price throughout 2024. The asset has been rising to key levels of strong physiological resistance and then rejecting down to major support zones.

這種價格走勢是整個 2024 年比特幣價格不斷展開的更大模式的一部分。

For instance, in mid-January, BTC reached a multi-year high of $47000 following the launch of the Bitcoin Spot ETF. However, this surge was quickly reversed, with Bitcoin dumping below $40,000 in the next few days to begin another rally.

例如，1 月中旬，比特幣現貨 ETF 推出後，BTC 觸及 47,000 美元的多年高點。然而，這種飆升很快就被逆轉，比特幣在接下來的幾天內跌破 40,000 美元，開始另一輪反彈。

A similar move occurred in early March when the price hit a new all-time high at $69,000 and fell below $60,000 within hours.

3 月初也出現類似的走勢，當時價格創下 69,000 美元的歷史新高，並在數小時內跌破 6 萬美元。

Later in the same month, Bitcoin pulled back again from its all-time high of $73,500. Months later, this level was challenged once more.

同月晚些時候，比特幣再次從 73,500 美元的歷史高點回落。幾個月後，這個水準再次受到挑戰。

This price action may be concerning for leveraged traders, but spot and futures traders view it as a strong technical indicator.

這種價格走勢可能會讓槓桿交易者感到擔憂，但現貨和期貨交易者將其視為強大的技術指標。

Moreover, Bitcoin has been making higher highs and lower lows, indicating a bullish trend in the short, mid, and long term.

此外，比特幣一直在創造更高的高點和更低的低點，顯示短期、中期和長期的看漲趨勢。

It is also noteworthy that in early July, Bitcoin dipped below $54000 after the German government began selling its Bitcoins. However, by the close of the month, BTC had reached $66K, showing a good gain margin from its opening price of $63000 in the same month.

另外值得注意的是，7月初，德國政府開始出售比特幣後，比特幣跌破了54,000美元。然而，到月底，BTC 已達到 6.6 萬美元，較當月開盤價 6.3 萬美元顯示出良好的漲幅。

Bitcoin Analysis

比特幣分析

On the BTC/USDT 4hr chart, we can observe Bitcoin price actions continuing within the Widening wedge pattern, while an ascending trend line is also being formed.

在 BTC/USDT 4 小時圖表上，我們可以觀察到比特幣價格走勢在擴大的楔形模式中持續，同時上升趨勢線也正在形成。

Today, the price faced rejection at the weekly resistance of $69,648 and currently trades at $66,600.

今天，價格在每週阻力位 69,648 美元處遭到拒絕，目前交易價格為 66,600 美元。

Interestingly, the RSI at 42 and Awesome above the neutral level of 50 indicate a reversal in bullish momentum.

有趣的是，RSI 為 42，Awesome 高於中性水平 50，顯示看漲勢頭發生逆轉。

A breakout above $69000 could lead to support at $70K and further push toward an all-time high if the US political news and ETF outflow are neutralized.

如果美國政治消息和 ETF 流出被抵消，突破 69,000 美元可能會帶來 7 萬美元的支撐，並進一步推向歷史高點。

On the other hand, if Bitcoin falls below $65000, it could reach the 50-day EMA price, bringing $64,000 into view as a key support.

另一方面，如果比特幣跌破 65,000 美元，它可能會觸及 50 日均線價格，從而將 64,000 美元視為關鍵支撐。