7 月 26 日比特币 (BTC) 价格分析

在交易员对美国政府进行投机后，比特币价格在周二早盘从近 70,000 美元大幅回调

Bitcoin price encountered a setback on Tuesday as traders speculated on the possibility of the US government selling its seized crypto assets. This news drove BTC price down from the crucial level of nearly $70,000.

由于交易员猜测美国政府可能出售其扣押的加密资产，比特币价格周二遭遇挫折。这一消息导致 BTC 价格从近 70,000 美元的关键水平下跌。

The speculations began when Arkham Analytics reported the US government's transfer of $2 billion in Bitcoin to two new wallet addresses. This news led to a negative reaction in the BTC price, causing it to lose the $69K territory. At the time of writing, BTC trades at $66,443 with a 24-hour growth of -3.84%.

当 Arkham Analytics 报道美国政府将 20 亿美元的比特币转移到两个新的钱包地址时，人们的猜测就开始了。这一消息导致 BTC 价格出现负面反应，导致其失去 6.9 万美元的关口。截至撰写本文时，BTC 交易价格为 66,443 美元，24 小时涨幅为-3.84%。

This price action is part of a larger pattern that has been unfolding in Bitcoin's price throughout 2024. The asset has been rising to key levels of strong physiological resistance and then rejecting down to major support zones.

这种价格走势是整个 2024 年比特币价格不断展开的更大模式的一部分。该资产一直上涨至强劲生理阻力的关键水平，然后回落至主要支撑区域。

For instance, in mid-January, BTC reached a multi-year high of $47000 following the launch of the Bitcoin Spot ETF. However, this surge was quickly reversed, with Bitcoin dumping below $40,000 in the next few days to begin another rally.

例如，1 月中旬，比特币现货 ETF 推出后，BTC 触及 47000 美元的多年高点。然而，这种飙升很快就被逆转，比特币在接下来的几天内跌破 40,000 美元，开始另一轮反弹。

A similar move occurred in early March when the price hit a new all-time high at $69,000 and fell below $60,000 within hours.

3 月初也出现过类似的走势，当时价格创下 69,000 美元的历史新高，并在数小时内跌破 60,000 美元。

Later in the same month, Bitcoin pulled back again from its all-time high of $73,500. Months later, this level was challenged once more.

同月晚些时候，比特币再次从 73,500 美元的历史高点回落。几个月后，这个水平再次受到挑战。

This price action may be concerning for leveraged traders, but spot and futures traders view it as a strong technical indicator.

这种价格走势可能会让杠杆交易者感到担忧，但现货和期货交易者将其视为强大的技术指标。

Moreover, Bitcoin has been making higher highs and lower lows, indicating a bullish trend in the short, mid, and long term.

此外，比特币一直在创造更高的高点和更低的低点，表明短期、中期和长期的看涨趋势。

It is also noteworthy that in early July, Bitcoin dipped below $54000 after the German government began selling its Bitcoins. However, by the close of the month, BTC had reached $66K, showing a good gain margin from its opening price of $63000 in the same month.

还值得注意的是，7月初，德国政府开始出售比特币后，比特币跌破了54000美元。然而，到月底，BTC 已达到 6.6 万美元，较当月开盘价 6.3 万美元显示出良好的涨幅。

Bitcoin Analysis

比特币分析

On the BTC/USDT 4hr chart, we can observe Bitcoin price actions continuing within the Widening wedge pattern, while an ascending trend line is also being formed.

在 BTC/USDT 4 小时图表上，我们可以观察到比特币价格走势在扩大的楔形模式中持续，同时上升趋势线也正在形成。

Today, the price faced rejection at the weekly resistance of $69,648 and currently trades at $66,600.

今天，价格在每周阻力位 69,648 美元处遭到拒绝，目前交易价格为 66,600 美元。

Interestingly, the RSI at 42 and Awesome above the neutral level of 50 indicate a reversal in bullish momentum.

有趣的是，RSI 为 42，Awesome 高于中性水平 50，表明看涨势头发生逆转。

A breakout above $69000 could lead to support at $70K and further push toward an all-time high if the US political news and ETF outflow are neutralized.

如果美国政治消息和 ETF 流出被抵消，突破 69000 美元可能会带来 7 万美元的支撑，并进一步推向历史高点。

On the other hand, if Bitcoin falls below $65000, it could reach the 50-day EMA price, bringing $64,000 into view as a key support.

另一方面，如果比特币跌破 65000 美元，它可能会触及 50 日均线价格，从而将 64000 美元视为关键支撑。