比特幣 (BTC) 價值預測：分析師預測從 120 美元到 2400 萬美元

在最近的 X 交易所中，比特幣懷疑論者 Peter Schiff 提出了一個挑釁性的問題。他向那些聲稱不會這樣做的人提出了挑戰

Bitcoin skeptic Peter Schiff recently sparked a heated discussion on Twitter after posing a thought-provoking question. He addressed those who have repeatedly stated that they would not sell their Bitcoin even if its value plummeted by 99% to just $120. Schiff went on to question the logic behind holding an asset that could potentially become the worst-performing investment, especially considering that Bitcoin’s appeal is largely attributed to its track record of exceptional performance.

比特幣懷疑論者彼得·希夫最近提出了一個發人深省的問題，在推特上引發了熱烈討論。他向那些一再表示即使比特幣價格暴跌 99% 至 120 美元，他們也不會出售的人發表演說。希夫接著質疑持有可能成為表現最差投資的資產背後的邏輯，特別是考慮到比特幣的吸引力很大程度上歸因於其卓越表現的記錄。

The conversation took an interesting turn when analyst Willy Woo joined the discussion. Woo drew a comparison between BTC’s volatile journey and gold, which has lost 99% of its value relative to BTC but continues to captivate many investors. He highlighted that Bitcoin enthusiasts, who are far more numerous and better-informed than gold investors, are similarly convinced that Bitcoin will ultimately triumph.

當分析師 Willy Woo 加入討論時，談話發生了有趣的轉變。 Woo 將 BTC 的波動歷程與黃金進行了比較，黃金相對於 BTC 損失了 99% 的價值，但仍吸引許多投資者。他強調，比特幣愛好者比黃金投資者數量更多、消息靈通得多，他們同樣相信比特幣最終會取得勝利。

Halvings.org then raised a valid point, questioning the rationale for holding gold if it were to experience a 99% drop, given that it is widely touted as a stable store of wealth. Schiff quickly countered this argument, asserting that gold has never experienced a 99% decline and is unlikely to do so in the future. He maintained that BTC, lacking intrinsic value and being driven solely by price, could theoretically sink to any price level.

Halvings.org 隨後提出了一個有效的觀點，質疑如果黃金下跌 99%，那麼持有黃金的理由是否合理，因為黃金被廣泛吹捧為穩定的財富儲備。希夫很快就反駁了這個論點，聲稱黃金從未經歷過99%的下跌，未來也不太可能出現這種情況。他認為，比特幣缺乏內在價值並且僅受價格驅動，理論上可能會跌至任何價格水平。

Analyst Woo’s Value Predictions For Bitcoin

分析師吳對比特幣的價值預測

In a broader analysis, Woo delved into examining Bitcoin’s potential value. He acknowledged that while no one can definitively predict BTC’s ultimate price, simple calculations can provide a speculative upper bound. Woo outlined that if BTC were to capture the total wealth currently held in assets, which is estimated at $500 trillion, each BTC could be valued at $24 million before adjusting for future inflation.

在更廣泛的分析中，吳深入研究了比特幣的潛在價值。他承認，雖然沒有人能夠明確預測 BTC 的最終價格，但簡單的計算可以提供投機上限。 Woo 概述說，如果 BTC 要捕獲目前資產中持有的總財富（估計為 500 兆美元），那麼在根據未來通貨膨脹進行調整之前，每個 BTC 的價值可能為 2,400 萬美元。

In a diversified portfolio, he said that an ideal percentage of BTC could be between 1 and 3% although some organizations such as BlackRock suggest up to 85%. Woo approximated $700,000 per Bitcoin using this allocation.

他表示，在多元化投資組合中，比特幣的理想比例可能在 1% 到 3% 之間，儘管貝萊德等一些組織建議高達 85%。使用此分配，Woo 的每個比特幣約為 700,000 美元。

Moreover, Woo also talks about the adoption. Additionally, he suggested that once BTC’s market cap exceeds all other fiat currencies, the price trajectory would become less relevant. Instead, investors would be shifting their attention to investments that are outperforming BTC. He highlighted that economic incentives protect BTC rather than geopolitical conflicts and argued that BTC’s value proposition extends beyond traditional fiat measurements.

此外，吳還談到了收養的事情。此外，他表示，一旦 BTC 的市值超過所有其他法定貨幣，價格軌跡將變得不那麼重要。相反，投資者將把注意力轉向表現優於比特幣的投資。他強調，保護比特幣的是經濟誘因，而不是地緣政治衝突，認為比特幣的價值主張超越了傳統的法定衡量標準。