比特币 (BTC) 价值预测：分析师预测从 120 美元到 2400 万美元

在最近的一次 X 交易所中，比特币怀疑论者 Peter Schiff 提出了一个挑衅性的问题。他向那些声称不会这样做的人提出了挑战

Bitcoin skeptic Peter Schiff recently sparked a heated discussion on Twitter after posing a thought-provoking question. He addressed those who have repeatedly stated that they would not sell their Bitcoin even if its value plummeted by 99% to just $120. Schiff went on to question the logic behind holding an asset that could potentially become the worst-performing investment, especially considering that Bitcoin’s appeal is largely attributed to its track record of exceptional performance.

比特币怀疑论者彼得·希夫最近提出了一个发人深省的问题，在推特上引发了热烈讨论。他向那些一再表示即使比特币价格暴跌 99% 至 120 美元，他们也不会出售的人发表讲话。希夫接着质疑持有可能成为表现最差投资的资产背后的逻辑，特别是考虑到比特币的吸引力很大程度上归因于其卓越表现的记录。

The conversation took an interesting turn when analyst Willy Woo joined the discussion. Woo drew a comparison between BTC’s volatile journey and gold, which has lost 99% of its value relative to BTC but continues to captivate many investors. He highlighted that Bitcoin enthusiasts, who are far more numerous and better-informed than gold investors, are similarly convinced that Bitcoin will ultimately triumph.

当分析师 Willy Woo 加入讨论时，谈话发生了有趣的转变。 Woo 将 BTC 的波动历程与黄金进行了比较，黄金相对于 BTC 损失了 99% 的价值，但仍然吸引着许多投资者。他强调，比特币爱好者比黄金投资者数量更多、消息灵通得多，他们同样相信比特币最终会取得胜利。

Halvings.org then raised a valid point, questioning the rationale for holding gold if it were to experience a 99% drop, given that it is widely touted as a stable store of wealth. Schiff quickly countered this argument, asserting that gold has never experienced a 99% decline and is unlikely to do so in the future. He maintained that BTC, lacking intrinsic value and being driven solely by price, could theoretically sink to any price level.

Halvings.org 随后提出了一个有效的观点，质疑如果黄金下跌 99%，那么持有黄金的理由是否合理，因为黄金被广泛吹捧为稳定的财富储备。希夫很快反驳了这一论点，声称黄金从未经历过99%的下跌，未来也不太可能出现这种情况。他认为，比特币缺乏内在价值并且仅受价格驱动，理论上可能会跌至任何价格水平。

Analyst Woo’s Value Predictions For Bitcoin

分析师吴对比特币的价值预测

In a broader analysis, Woo delved into examining Bitcoin’s potential value. He acknowledged that while no one can definitively predict BTC’s ultimate price, simple calculations can provide a speculative upper bound. Woo outlined that if BTC were to capture the total wealth currently held in assets, which is estimated at $500 trillion, each BTC could be valued at $24 million before adjusting for future inflation.

在更广泛的分析中，吴深入研究了比特币的潜在价值。他承认，虽然没有人能够明确预测比特币的最终价格，但简单的计算可​​以提供一个投机上限。 Woo 概述说，如果 BTC 能够捕获目前资产中持有的总财富（估计为 500 万亿美元），那么在根据未来通货膨胀进行调整之前，每个 BTC 的价值可能为 2400 万美元。

In a diversified portfolio, he said that an ideal percentage of BTC could be between 1 and 3% although some organizations such as BlackRock suggest up to 85%. Woo approximated $700,000 per Bitcoin using this allocation.

他表示，在多元化投资组合中，比特币的理想比例可能在 1% 到 3% 之间，尽管贝莱德等一些组织建议​​高达 85%。使用此分配，Woo 的每个比特币大约为 700,000 美元。

Moreover, Woo also talks about the adoption. Additionally, he suggested that once BTC’s market cap exceeds all other fiat currencies, the price trajectory would become less relevant. Instead, investors would be shifting their attention to investments that are outperforming BTC. He highlighted that economic incentives protect BTC rather than geopolitical conflicts and argued that BTC’s value proposition extends beyond traditional fiat measurements.

此外，吴还谈到了收养的事情。此外，他表示，一旦 BTC 的市值超过所有其他法定货币，价格轨迹将变得不那么重要。相反，投资者将把注意力转向表现优于比特币的投资。他强调，保护比特币的是经济激励措施，而不是地缘政治冲突，并认为比特币的价值主张超出了传统的法定衡量标准。