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加密貨幣新聞文章

比特幣(BTC)NVT Golden Cross現在在超賣領土

2025/03/01 10:30

在過去的24小時內,比特幣表現出了持續崩潰的延續。這是關於底部是否接近的鍊鍊數據所說的。

比特幣(BTC)NVT Golden Cross現在在超賣領土

Bitcoin (BTC) has continued to show a bottom in sight according to the latest analysis of on-chain data.

根據對鏈上數據的最新分析,比特幣(BTC)繼續顯示出底部的視線。

Bitcoin NVT Golden Cross Is Now In Oversold Territory

比特幣NVT Golden Cross現在在超售領土

比特幣NVT Golden Cross現在在超售領土

As pointed out by an analyst in a CryptoQuant Quicktake post, the Bitcoin NVT Golden Cross has seen a sharp decline recently. The “Network Value to Transactions (NVT) Ratio” is an on-chain indicator that measures the ratio between the market cap of Bitcoin and its transaction volume.

正如分析師在一個加密快速帖子中指出的那樣,比特幣NVT Golden Cross最近急劇下降。 “與交易(NVT)比率的網絡價值”是一個鍊鍊指標,可衡量比特幣市值與交易量之間的比率。

When the value of this metric is greater than 1, it means the asset’s value (that is, the market cap) is high compared to its ability to transact coins (the transaction volume). Such a trend can suggest BTC is overvalued.

當該指標的價值大於1時,這意味著與交易硬幣的能力(交易量)相比,資產的價值(即市場上限)很高。這樣的趨勢可能表明BTC被高估了。

On the other hand, the indicator being under the zero mark can imply the cryptocurrency may be due for a rebound to the upside as its volume is high relative to its market cap.

另一方面,指標在零標記之下可能意味著加密貨幣可能會帶來上漲空間,因為其體積相對於其市值很高。

In the context of the current discussion, the NVT Ratio itself isn’ゆう interest, but rather a modified form of it known as the NVT Golden Cross. This indicator basically compares the short-term trend of the NVT Ratio against its long-term one to find whether it’s close to a top or bottom.

在當前討論的背景下,NVT比率本身不是興趣,而是一種被稱為NVT Golden Cross的修改形式。該指標基本上比較了NVT比與長期的短期趨勢,以發現其接近頂部還是底部。

For tracking these trends, the metric uses the 10-day and 30-day moving averages (MAs) of the NVT Ratio, respectively. Now, here is the chart shared by the quant that shows the trend in the Bitcoin NVT Golden Cross over the last couple of years:

為了跟踪這些趨勢,該指標分別使用NVT比的10天和30天的移動平均值(MAS)。現在,這是量化的圖表,該圖表顯示了過去幾年比特幣NVT金十字的趨勢:

Historically, there have been two zones that have held importance for the Bitcoin NVT Golden Cross. The first of these is situated above 2.2 (highlighted in red) and is where the tops in the metric have generally occurred. These peaks tend to be signals of overvaluation for the cryptocurrency, so bearish action can probably follow them.

從歷史上看,有兩個區域對比特幣NVT金十字架非常重要。其中的第一個位於2.2上方(以紅色突出顯示),是公制中的頂部通常發生的地方。這些峰往往是加密貨幣高估的信號,因此看跌可能會遵循它們。

Similarly, the second zone, which takes place below -1.6 (green), is where bottoms occur in the NVT Golden Cross. The indicator dipping into this zone has often proven to be a bullish sign for the asset.

同樣,第二個區域發生在-1.6(綠色)以下,是NVT Golden Cross中底部出現的地方。浸入該區域的指標通常被證明是資產的看漲信號。

From the chart, it’s visible that the Bitcoin NVT Golden Cross has recently seen a sharp decline as a result of the crash that BTC’s price has witnessed. The metric is now inside the bottoming zone, which means the coin may be starting to become oversold.

從圖表來看,比特幣NVT Golden Cross最近看到BTC的價格急劇下降了。該指標現在位於底部區域內,這意味著硬幣可能開始變得超越。

So far, the indicator’s value has dropped to -2.4, which is still higher than the other negative spikes that the analyst has marked in the graph. Thus, while BTC may be nearing a bottom, it could still take a further drop before it’s actually in.

到目前為止,指標的值已降至-2.4,它仍然高於分析師在圖中標記的其他負峰值。因此,儘管BTC可能接近底部,但它仍然可能會進一步下降。

In terms of on-chain support, the market intelligence platform IntoTheBlock has explained that the next relevant one is present under $72,000. As such, if BTC’s decline continues, it’s possible that the asset may find at least temporary relief around this mark.

在鏈上支持方面,市場情報平台Intotheblock解釋說,下一個相關的平台在72,000美元以下。因此,如果BTC的衰落持續下去,那麼資產可能至少在此商標周圍暫時緩解。

BTC Price

BTC價格

Following the latest leg of the decline during the past day, Bitcoin has seen its price drop to the $81,600 mark.

在過去一天下降的最新下降之後,比特幣的價格下跌至81,600美元。

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