比特幣 (BTC) 市場更新

比特幣在 73,000 美元左右見頂後，已處於下跌趨勢約 188 天。在那段時間裡，我們看到了連續的低點，眾所周知，許多人開始對比特幣失去興趣，這主要是由於持續的拋售壓力。然而，有跡象表明比特幣可能處於新趨勢的邊緣。

Bitcoin (BTC) has been on a downtrend for roughly 188 days. During that time, we have seen consecutive lower lows, and it is no secret that many people have started losing interest in Bitcoin, mainly due to the constant selling pressure. However, there are signs that Bitcoin could be on the verge of a new trend.

比特幣 (BTC) 已處於下跌趨勢約 188 天。在那段時間裡，我們看到了連續的低點，眾所周知，許多人開始對比特幣失去興趣，這主要是由於持續的拋售壓力。然而，有跡象表明比特幣可能處於新趨勢的邊緣。

We’ve been tracking the charts closely, and something exciting is starting to show up on the daily timeframe—a bullish divergence. Now, if you are not familiar with what that means, do not worry. Basically, while Bitcoin’s price has continued to move downward, the Relative Strength Index, or RSI, is quietly moving upwards. This is significant because when price and RSI move in opposite directions like this, it is often an early sign that a trend reversal could be just around the corner.

我們一直在密切追蹤圖表，每日時間框架上開始出現一些令人興奮的事情——看漲背離。現在，如果您不熟悉這意味著什麼，請不要擔心。基本上，雖然比特幣的價格持續下跌，但相對強弱指數（RSI）正在悄悄上漲。這很重要，因為當價格和 RSI 像這樣朝相反方向移動時，通常是趨勢逆轉即將到來的早期跡象。

So, let’s plot the trend lines on the chart. You will notice that Bitcoin is still drifting lower, but the RSI is climbing higher. This is an important signal because it suggests that even though the price is dropping, the underlying momentum is starting to shift. But, and this is a big ‘but,’ this is not likely to happen overnight. It could take days or weeks to see any major move upward, so patience is key here.

那麼，讓我們在圖表上繪製趨勢線。您會注意到，比特幣仍在走低，但 RSI 正在攀升。這是一個重要的信號，因為它表明儘管價格正在下跌，但潛在的動力正在開始轉變。但是，這是一個很大的“但是”，這不太可能在一夜之間發生。可能需要幾天或幾週的時間才能看到任何重大的上漲，所以耐心是關鍵。

So, if you are a risk-taker, the $58,200 to $58,400 range could be a good area to position yourself, as it is already touching key Fibonacci levels. You can then place a stop-loss around the $56,400 level.

因此，如果您是冒險家，58,200 美元至 58,400 美元的區間可能是一個很好的定位區域，因為它已經觸及關鍵的斐波那契水平。然後，您可以在 56,400 美元附近設定停損。

Now, let’s talk about something else that’s crucial—timing. While the chart shows some bullish signs, we also have a few important dates on the market calendar: September 17th-18th, 19th, and 20th. These dates will be critical for all traders, not just those in crypto, because the traditional markets could experience volatility due to economic reports or announcements.

現在，我們來談談其他重要的事情──時機。雖然圖表顯示了一些看漲跡象，但市場日曆上還有一些重要日期：9 月 17 日至 18 日、19 日和 20 日。這些日期對所有交易者都至關重要，而不僅僅是加密貨幣領域的交易者，因為傳統市場可能會因經濟報告或公告而經歷波動。

Even though the crypto market is not directly influenced by these events, remember that people are still driving the market. When there is fear or uncertainty in the broader financial world, it tends to spill over into crypto. So, the general sentiment could shift, and we might see some sharp price movements in Bitcoin and other assets. Be careful—this week could be highly volatile, and it might even invalidate some of our bullish bias if things do not play out as expected.

儘管加密貨幣市場沒有直接受到這些事件的影響，但請記住，人們仍在推動市場。當更廣泛的金融世界出現恐懼或不確定性時，它往往會蔓延到加密貨幣領域。因此，整體情緒可能會發生變化，我們可能會看到比特幣和其他資產的價格大幅波動。請小心，本周可能會非常波動，如果事情沒有按預期發展，甚至可能使我們的一些看漲偏見失效。

Lastly, let’s not forget the election. That’s still a few months away, but it’s probably the biggest market mover we’ll see in the near future. Leading up to it, we’re likely to experience lots of volatility, but I’m optimistic that by the time we hit October, the trading environment will improve, and we might start seeing clearer signals for those of you looking to make a move.

最後，我們不要忘記選舉。這還需要幾個月的時間，但這可能是我們在不久的將來看到的最大的市場推動者。在此之前，我們可能會經歷很大的波動，但我樂觀地認為，到十月時，交易環境將會改善，對於那些想要採取行動的人來說，我們可能會開始看到更清晰的訊號.

In summary, if you plan to invest, now is the time to prepare your cash. And if you are already in a position, make sure your stop-loss levels are set and tight to protect your capital.

總而言之，如果您打算投資，現在是準備現金的時候了。如果您已經有頭寸，請確保設定嚴格的停損水準以保護您的資本。

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如需像這樣更深入的技術分析，請務必訂閱 UseTheBitcoin 的 YouTube 頻道並點擊通知鈴聲。我們每天發布涵蓋加密貨幣市場的視頻，所以不要錯過！