比特币 (BTC) 市场更新

比特币在 73,000 美元左右见顶后，已处于下跌趋势约 188 天。在那段时间里，我们看到了连续不断的低点，众所周知，许多人开始对比特币失去兴趣，这主要是由于持续的抛售压力。然而，有迹象表明比特币可能正处于新趋势的边缘。

Bitcoin (BTC) has been on a downtrend for roughly 188 days. During that time, we have seen consecutive lower lows, and it is no secret that many people have started losing interest in Bitcoin, mainly due to the constant selling pressure. However, there are signs that Bitcoin could be on the verge of a new trend.

比特币 (BTC) 已处于下跌趋势约 188 天。在那段时间里，我们看到了连续不断的低点，众所周知，许多人开始对比特币失去兴趣，这主要是由于持续的抛售压力。然而，有迹象表明比特币可能正处于新趋势的边缘。

We’ve been tracking the charts closely, and something exciting is starting to show up on the daily timeframe—a bullish divergence. Now, if you are not familiar with what that means, do not worry. Basically, while Bitcoin’s price has continued to move downward, the Relative Strength Index, or RSI, is quietly moving upwards. This is significant because when price and RSI move in opposite directions like this, it is often an early sign that a trend reversal could be just around the corner.

我们一直在密切跟踪图表，每日时间框架上开始出现一些令人兴奋的事情——看涨背离。现在，如果您不熟悉这意味着什么，请不要担心。基本上，虽然比特币的价格持续下跌，但相对强弱指数（RSI）正在悄然上涨。这很重要，因为当价格和 RSI 像这样朝相反方向移动时，通常是趋势逆转即将到来的早期迹象。

So, let’s plot the trend lines on the chart. You will notice that Bitcoin is still drifting lower, but the RSI is climbing higher. This is an important signal because it suggests that even though the price is dropping, the underlying momentum is starting to shift. But, and this is a big ‘but,’ this is not likely to happen overnight. It could take days or weeks to see any major move upward, so patience is key here.

那么，让我们在图表上绘制趋势线。您会注意到，比特币仍在走低，但 RSI 正在攀升。这是一个重要的信号，因为它表明尽管价格正在下跌，但潜在的动力正在开始转变。但是，这是一个很大的“但是”，这不太可能在一夜之间发生。可能需要几天或几周的时间才能看到任何重大的上涨，所以耐心是关键。

So, if you are a risk-taker, the $58,200 to $58,400 range could be a good area to position yourself, as it is already touching key Fibonacci levels. You can then place a stop-loss around the $56,400 level.

因此，如果您是一个冒险家，58,200 美元至 58,400 美元的区间可能是一个很好的定位区域，因为它已经触及关键的斐波那契水平。然后，您可以在 56,400 美元附近设置止损。

Now, let’s talk about something else that’s crucial—timing. While the chart shows some bullish signs, we also have a few important dates on the market calendar: September 17th-18th, 19th, and 20th. These dates will be critical for all traders, not just those in crypto, because the traditional markets could experience volatility due to economic reports or announcements.

现在，我们来谈谈其他重要的事情——时机。虽然图表显示了一些看涨迹象，但市场日历上还有一些重要日期：9 月 17 日至 18 日、19 日和 20 日。这些日期对所有交易者都至关重要，而不仅仅是加密货币领域的交易者，因为传统市场可能会因经济报告或公告而经历波动。

Even though the crypto market is not directly influenced by these events, remember that people are still driving the market. When there is fear or uncertainty in the broader financial world, it tends to spill over into crypto. So, the general sentiment could shift, and we might see some sharp price movements in Bitcoin and other assets. Be careful—this week could be highly volatile, and it might even invalidate some of our bullish bias if things do not play out as expected.

尽管加密货币市场没有直接受到这些事件的影响，但请记住，人们仍在推动市场。当更广泛的金融世界出现恐惧或不确定性时，它往往会蔓延到加密货币领域。因此，总体情绪可能会发生变化，我们可能会看到比特币和其他资产的价格出现大幅波动。请小心，本周可能会非常波动，如果事情没有按预期发展，甚至可能使我们的一些看涨偏见失效。

Lastly, let’s not forget the election. That’s still a few months away, but it’s probably the biggest market mover we’ll see in the near future. Leading up to it, we’re likely to experience lots of volatility, but I’m optimistic that by the time we hit October, the trading environment will improve, and we might start seeing clearer signals for those of you looking to make a move.

最后，我们不要忘记选举。这还需要几个月的时间，但这可能是我们在不久的将来看到的最大的市场推动者。在此之前，我们可能会经历很大的波动，但我乐观地认为，到十月时，交易环境将会改善，对于那些想要采取行动的人来说，我们可能会开始看到更清晰的信号。

In summary, if you plan to invest, now is the time to prepare your cash. And if you are already in a position, make sure your stop-loss levels are set and tight to protect your capital.

总而言之，如果您打算投资，现在是准备现金的时候了。如果您已经有头寸，请确保设置严格的止损水平以保护您的资本。

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