比特幣（BTC）繼本週稍早大幅下跌後，維持低迷的交易模式

這種低迷給投資者帶來了一種不確定感，他們發現自己正處於該資產未來軌蹟的十字路口。

Bitcoin (BTC) price remained largely unchanged on Thursday and Friday, following a significant drop earlier in the week that was mainly attributed to rising geopolitical tensions, particularly the escalating conflict between Israel and Lebanon.

比特幣（BTC）價格在本週稍早大幅下跌後，週四和週五基本上保持不變，這主要歸因於地緣政治緊張局勢加劇，特別是以色列和黎巴嫩之間不斷升級的衝突。

This downturn created a sense of uncertainty among investors, who were left wondering about the asset’s future trajectory. However, some analysts remained optimistic that Bitcoin was still on track for substantial growth.

這種低迷給投資者帶來了一種不確定感，他們對資產的未來軌跡感到好奇。然而，一些分析師仍然樂觀地認為比特幣仍有望大幅成長。

On Friday, pseudonymous crypto analyst Plan C noted that mentions of “Uptober” this year were down considerably compared to previous years, indicating increased bearish sentiment among traders.

週五，匿名加密貨幣分析師 Plan C 指出，今年「Uptober」的提及量與往年相比大幅下降，顯示交易者的看跌情緒增加。

“Unlike previous years, mentions of ‘Uptober’ have dropped massively this year, painting a picture of increasing bearishness among traders,” the analysts stated.

分析師表示：“與往年不同，今年‘Uptober’的提及量大幅下降，描繪了交易者日益看跌的景象。”

“Interestingly, the lack of optimism opens the door for (at least) a short-term bounce.”

“有趣的是，缺乏樂觀情緒為（至少）短期反彈打開了大門。”

According to Plan C, reaching $1 million per Bitcoin is a realistic possibility based on advanced statistical models.

根據 Plan C，基於先進的統計模型，每個比特幣達到 100 萬美元是一個現實的可能性。

“$1,000,000 Bitcoin is NOT a fantasy… according to the most advanced current statistical models; it is a highly probable outcome.” He tweeted.

「根據目前最先進的統計模型，1,000,000 美元的比特幣並不是天方夜譚；這是一個極有可能出現的結果。他發推文。

His analysis involves a robust fair value model that examines 747,614 data points at 10-minute intervals, projecting Bitcoin’s fair value to hit approximately $1,004,538 by January 1, 2034. Meanwhile, its current fair value is estimated at around $67,748.

他的分析涉及一個強大的公允價值模型，以10 分鐘為間隔檢查747,614 個數據點，預計到2034 年1 月1 日，比特幣的公允價值將達到約1,004,538 美元。價值估計約為67,748 美元。

Utilizing 50% quantile regression, the predicted value is positioned at the median, allowing for potential fluctuations above and below this figure.

利用 50% 分位數迴歸，預測值位於中位數，考慮到該數字上方和下方的潛在波動。

“The real fun hasn’t even started yet,” he added, suggesting that Bitcoin is precisely on track compared to previous cycles.

「真正的樂趣還沒有開始，」他補充道，這表明與之前的周期相比，比特幣完全走上了正軌。

Other experts have also expressed optimism about Bitcoin’s future price potential. In an interview last month, investment strategist and author of Broken Money Lyn Alden suggested that BTC could reach $1 million within the next eleven years, driven by growing adoption of the cryptocurrency.

其他專家也對比特幣未來的價格潛力表示樂觀。在上個月的一次採訪中，投資策略師兼《Broken Money》一書的作者林恩·奧爾登(Lyn Alden) 表示，在加密貨幣日益普及的推動下，比特幣在未來11 年內可能達到100 萬美元。

Alden also posited that the asset might eventually surpass gold’s $17 trillion market cap, becoming a leading asset. Her outlook aligns with that of Ark Invest CEO Cathie Wood, who has previously forecasted Bitcoin reaching this milestone, albeit by 2035.

奧爾登也認為，該資產最終可能會超過黃金 17 兆美元的市值，成為領先資產。她的觀點與 Ark Invest 執行長 Cathie Wood 的觀點一致，後者先前預測比特幣將在 2035 年達到這一里程碑。

Samson Mow, a prominent Bitcoin advocate and CEO JAN3 has also expressed his expectation that Bitcoin will soar to $1 million. In January, he identified two key factors that could drive this surge including the Bitcoin halving and the approval of spot BTC ETFs by the SEC.

著名比特幣倡導者兼執行長 JAN3 的 Samson Mow 也表示，他預計比特幣將飆升至 100 萬美元。一月份，他確定了可能推動這一飆升的兩個關鍵因素，包括比特幣減半和 SEC 批准現貨 BTC ETF。

Last month, he reaffirmed his position, responding to critics of his $1 million forecast and maintaining his confidence in Bitcoin’s potential for significant growth.

上個月，他重申了自己的立場，回應了對其 100 萬美元預測的批評，並保持了對比特幣大幅成長潛力的信心。

“What’s with people commenting that my $1.0M Bitcoin call is dangerous? LOL! What’s the danger?” he tweeted. Mow argued that concerns about the potential risks of investing in Bitcoin reflect a misunderstanding of its value proposition, highlighting a growing optimism in the asset’s future.

「為什麼有人評論我的 100 萬美元比特幣看漲期權很危險？哈哈！有什麼危險嗎？他發推文說。繆先生認為，對投資比特幣潛在風險的擔憂反映了對其價值主張的誤解，凸顯了對該資產未來日益樂觀的態度。

At press time, BTC traded at $62,192, up 0.55% over the past 24 hours.

截至發稿，BTC 交易價格為 62,192 美元，過去 24 小時上漲 0.55%。