比特币（BTC）继本周早些时候大幅下跌后，维持低迷的交易模式

这种低迷给投资者带来了一种不确定感，他们发现自己正处于该资产未来轨迹的十字路口。

Bitcoin (BTC) price remained largely unchanged on Thursday and Friday, following a significant drop earlier in the week that was mainly attributed to rising geopolitical tensions, particularly the escalating conflict between Israel and Lebanon.

比特币（BTC）价格在本周早些时候大幅下跌后，周四和周五基本保持不变，这主要归因于地缘政治紧张局势加剧，特别是以色列和黎巴嫩之间不断升级的冲突。

This downturn created a sense of uncertainty among investors, who were left wondering about the asset’s future trajectory. However, some analysts remained optimistic that Bitcoin was still on track for substantial growth.

这种低迷给投资者带来了一种不确定感，他们对资产的未来轨迹感到好奇。然而，一些分析师仍然乐观地认为比特币仍有望大幅增长。

On Friday, pseudonymous crypto analyst Plan C noted that mentions of “Uptober” this year were down considerably compared to previous years, indicating increased bearish sentiment among traders.

周五，匿名加密货币分析师 Plan C 指出，今年“Uptober”的提及量与往年相比大幅下降，表明交易者的看跌情绪有所增加。

“Unlike previous years, mentions of ‘Uptober’ have dropped massively this year, painting a picture of increasing bearishness among traders,” the analysts stated.

分析师表示：“与往年不同，今年‘Uptober’的提及量大幅下降，描绘了交易者日益看跌的景象。”

“Interestingly, the lack of optimism opens the door for (at least) a short-term bounce.”

“有趣的是，缺乏乐观情绪为（至少）短期反弹打开了大门。”

According to Plan C, reaching $1 million per Bitcoin is a realistic possibility based on advanced statistical models.

根据 Plan C，基于先进的统计模型，每个比特币达到 100 万美元是一个现实的可能性。

“$1,000,000 Bitcoin is NOT a fantasy… according to the most advanced current statistical models; it is a highly probable outcome.” He tweeted.

“根据当前最先进的统计模型，1,000,000 美元的比特币并不是天方夜谭；这是一个极有可能出现的结果。”他发推文。

His analysis involves a robust fair value model that examines 747,614 data points at 10-minute intervals, projecting Bitcoin’s fair value to hit approximately $1,004,538 by January 1, 2034. Meanwhile, its current fair value is estimated at around $67,748.

他的分析涉及一个强大的公允价值模型，该模型以 10 分钟为间隔检查 747,614 个数据点，预计到 2034 年 1 月 1 日，比特币的公允价值将达到约 1,004,538 美元。同时，其当前的公允价值估计约为 67,748 美元。

Utilizing 50% quantile regression, the predicted value is positioned at the median, allowing for potential fluctuations above and below this figure.

利用 50% 分位数回归，预测值位于中位数，考虑到该数字上方和下方的潜在波动。

“The real fun hasn’t even started yet,” he added, suggesting that Bitcoin is precisely on track compared to previous cycles.

“真正的乐趣还没有开始，”他补充道，这表明与之前的周期相比，比特币完全走上了正轨。

Other experts have also expressed optimism about Bitcoin’s future price potential. In an interview last month, investment strategist and author of Broken Money Lyn Alden suggested that BTC could reach $1 million within the next eleven years, driven by growing adoption of the cryptocurrency.

其他专家也对比特币未来的价格潜力表示乐观。在上个月的一次采访中，投资策略师兼《Broken Money》一书的作者林恩·奥尔登 (Lyn Alden) 表示，在加密货币日益普及的推动下，比特币在未来 11 年内可能达到 100 万美元。

Alden also posited that the asset might eventually surpass gold’s $17 trillion market cap, becoming a leading asset. Her outlook aligns with that of Ark Invest CEO Cathie Wood, who has previously forecasted Bitcoin reaching this milestone, albeit by 2035.

奥尔登还认为，该资产最终可能会超过黄金 17 万亿美元的市值，成为领先资产。她的观点与 Ark Invest 首席执行官 Cathie Wood 的观点一致，后者此前预测比特币将在 2035 年达到这一里程碑。

Samson Mow, a prominent Bitcoin advocate and CEO JAN3 has also expressed his expectation that Bitcoin will soar to $1 million. In January, he identified two key factors that could drive this surge including the Bitcoin halving and the approval of spot BTC ETFs by the SEC.

著名比特币倡导者兼首席执行官 JAN3 的 Samson Mow 也表示，他预计比特币将飙升至 100 万美元。一月份，他确定了可能推动这一飙升的两个关键因素，包括比特币减半和 SEC 批准现货 BTC ETF。

Last month, he reaffirmed his position, responding to critics of his $1 million forecast and maintaining his confidence in Bitcoin’s potential for significant growth.

上个月，他重申了自己的立场，回应了对其 100 万美元预测的批评，并保持了对比特币大幅增长潜力的信心。

“What’s with people commenting that my $1.0M Bitcoin call is dangerous? LOL! What’s the danger?” he tweeted. Mow argued that concerns about the potential risks of investing in Bitcoin reflect a misunderstanding of its value proposition, highlighting a growing optimism in the asset’s future.

“为什么有人评论我的 100 万美元比特币看涨期权很危险？哈哈！有什么危险吗？”他发推文说。缪先生认为，对投资比特币潜在风险的担忧反映了对其价值主张的误解，凸显了对该资产未来日益乐观的态度。

At press time, BTC traded at $62,192, up 0.55% over the past 24 hours.

截至发稿，BTC 交易价格为 62,192 美元，过去 24 小时上涨 0.55%。