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分析師兼交易員凱文·斯文森 (Kevin Svenson) 表示,一個可靠預示比特幣 (BTC) 上漲趨勢的指標剛剛為這位加密之王閃爍。

Analyst and trader Kevin Svenson says an indicator that has reliably foreshadowed Bitcoin (BTC) uptrends has just signaled another potential rally for the crypto king.
分析師兼交易員凱文·斯文森(Kevin Svenson)表示,一項可靠預示比特幣(BTC)上漲趨勢的指標剛剛預示著加密貨幣之王的另一次潛在反彈。
In a new video, Svenson tells his 78,900 YouTube subscribers that the Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator is exhibiting a pattern on the daily chart that has previously led to a major upward move for Bitcoin.
在一段新影片中,斯文森告訴他的 78,900 名 YouTube 訂閱者,相對強弱指數 (RSI) 指標在日線圖上呈現出一種模式,這種模式此前曾導致比特幣大幅上漲。
The RSI indicator is a momentum oscillator that’s used to determine whether an asset is oversold or overbought.
RSI 指標是動量振盪器,用於確定資產是否超賣或超買。
“Most of the time when we break out of this daily RSI downtrend, the RSI comes back, hits it as new support and what happens after that? A major move up…
「大多數時候,當我們突破每日 RSI 下降趨勢時,RSI 就會回來,觸及新的支撐位,之後會發生什麼?重大舉措...
…at the very least, it signals that there is some kind of move-up coming
……至少,這顯示即將出現某種提升
And right now, we are at the retest zone of this RSI downtrend so if we bounce off this RSI previous resistance as new support… That signals another major move up. Or at least some kind of move up, at least towards the resistance. Or a breakout into new all-time highs.”
現在,我們正處於 RSI 下降趨勢的重新測試區域,因此,如果我們從 RSI 之前的阻力位反彈作為新的支撐…這標誌著另一次重大上漲。或至少是某種形式的上漲,至少是朝著阻力位移動。或突破歷史新高。
According to Svenson, Bitcoin’s current price action is a continuation of a pattern that was established in early 2023 when BTC trended sideways for months multiple times before witnessing an explosion.
Svenson 表示,比特幣目前的價格走勢是 2023 年初建立的模式的延續,當時比特幣在經歷爆炸之前曾多次橫盤整理數月。
“These long sideways ranges… Bitcoin’s at a higher market cap now, it may just take a little bit more time for the price to move. But I am still bullish, I’m remaining bullish.”
「這些長期橫盤整理……比特幣現在的市值較高,價格變動可能需要多一點時間。但我仍然看漲,我仍然看漲。
On when Bitcoin could hit a bull market top, Svenson says,
關於比特幣何時能達到牛市頂峰,斯文森表示:
“On average after the halving, anywhere from 40 to 80 weeks [is when Bitcoin reaches its new top]…
「平均而言,減半後,[比特幣達到新高]需要 40 到 80 週…
We’re only 13 or 14 weeks post-halving. So in theory we have at least another 25 weeks to go, which is January, before we could reach the 40th week… The 80th week has the highest hit rate of being the top.
距減半僅 13 或 14 週。所以理論上我們至少還有 25 週,也就是 1 月份,才能達到第 40 週…第 80 週是最高命中率最高的。
So however that plays out, you never know exactly what’s going to happen. But 40 to 80 weeks… you have another half year to hit the 40th week zone.”
所以無論結果如何,你永遠不知道會發生什麼。但是 40 到 80 週……你還有半年的時間來達到第 40 週區域。
Bitcoin is trading at $61,283 at time of writing.
截至撰寫本文時,比特幣交易價格為 61,283 美元。
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