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分析师兼交易员凯文·斯文森 (Kevin Svenson) 表示,一个可靠预示比特币 (BTC) 上涨趋势的指标刚刚为这位加密之王闪现。

Analyst and trader Kevin Svenson says an indicator that has reliably foreshadowed Bitcoin (BTC) uptrends has just signaled another potential rally for the crypto king.
分析师兼交易员凯文·斯文森(Kevin Svenson)表示,一项可靠预示比特币(BTC)上涨趋势的指标刚刚预示着加密货币之王的另一次潜在反弹。
In a new video, Svenson tells his 78,900 YouTube subscribers that the Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator is exhibiting a pattern on the daily chart that has previously led to a major upward move for Bitcoin.
在一段新视频中,斯文森告诉他的 78,900 名 YouTube 订阅者,相对强弱指数 (RSI) 指标在日线图上呈现出一种模式,这种模式此前曾导致比特币大幅上涨。
The RSI indicator is a momentum oscillator that’s used to determine whether an asset is oversold or overbought.
RSI 指标是动量振荡器,用于确定资产是否超卖或超买。
“Most of the time when we break out of this daily RSI downtrend, the RSI comes back, hits it as new support and what happens after that? A major move up…
“大多数时候,当我们突破每日 RSI 下降趋势时,RSI 就会回来,触及新的支撑位,之后会发生什么?重大举措...
…at the very least, it signals that there is some kind of move-up coming
……至少,这表明即将出现某种提升
And right now, we are at the retest zone of this RSI downtrend so if we bounce off this RSI previous resistance as new support… That signals another major move up. Or at least some kind of move up, at least towards the resistance. Or a breakout into new all-time highs.”
现在,我们正处于 RSI 下降趋势的重新测试区域,因此,如果我们从 RSI 之前的阻力位反弹作为新的支撑……这标志着另一次重大上涨。或者至少是某种形式的上涨,至少是朝着阻力位移动。或者突破历史新高。”
According to Svenson, Bitcoin’s current price action is a continuation of a pattern that was established in early 2023 when BTC trended sideways for months multiple times before witnessing an explosion.
Svenson 表示,比特币当前的价格走势是 2023 年初建立的模式的延续,当时 BTC 在见证爆炸之前曾数月呈横盘趋势。
“These long sideways ranges… Bitcoin’s at a higher market cap now, it may just take a little bit more time for the price to move. But I am still bullish, I’m remaining bullish.”
“这些长期横盘整理……比特币现在的市值较高,价格变动可能需要多一点时间。但我仍然看涨,我仍然看涨。”
On when Bitcoin could hit a bull market top, Svenson says,
关于比特币何时能达到牛市顶峰,斯文森表示:
“On average after the halving, anywhere from 40 to 80 weeks [is when Bitcoin reaches its new top]…
“平均而言,减半后,[比特币达到新高]需要 40 到 80 周……
We’re only 13 or 14 weeks post-halving. So in theory we have at least another 25 weeks to go, which is January, before we could reach the 40th week… The 80th week has the highest hit rate of being the top.
距减半仅 13 或 14 周。所以理论上我们至少还有 25 周,也就是 1 月份,才能达到第 40 周……第 80 周是顶峰命中率最高的。
So however that plays out, you never know exactly what’s going to happen. But 40 to 80 weeks… you have another half year to hit the 40th week zone.”
所以无论结果如何,你永远不知道会发生什么。但是 40 到 80 周……你还有半年的时间来达到第 40 周区域。”
Bitcoin is trading at $61,283 at time of writing.
截至撰写本文时,比特币交易价格为 61,283 美元。
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