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加密貨幣新聞文章

比特幣(BTC)黃金交叉信號看漲趨勢逆轉

2025/05/03 08:01

由於現在的50天EMA超過200天EMA,比特幣在每日圖表上正式印刷了一個金十字架。

比特幣(BTC)黃金交叉信號看漲趨勢逆轉

The 50-day EMA crossed above the 200-day EMA, forming a golden cross on the daily chart for Bitcoin. This classic bullish technical signal is often a sign of the start of a longer-term trend shift.

50天的EMA越過200天EMA,在比特幣的每日圖表上形成了金十字架。這個經典的看漲技術信號通常是長期趨勢轉變的開始的標誌。

At $96,516, Bitcoin is still trading above all major fib levels and key moving averages, having recovered a better portion of the price action seen during the February-March breakdown. While it does point to underlying strength and a shift in trend, the golden cross isn't necessarily an immediate signal for a sudden, sharp move in either direction.

比特幣售價為96,516美元,仍在超過所有主要FIB水平和關鍵移動平均水平的交易,並且在2月3月分解中發現了更好的價格行動的更好部分。雖然它確實指向了基本強度和趨勢的轉變,但金十字不一定會立即發出任何方向突然急劇移動的信號。

The current price range, which is nearing the point of the early 2025 breakdown, could act as structural and psychological resistance. After a strong rally - and with RSI approaching overbought territory at 69 - a short-term pullback is becoming increasingly likely as the asset consolidates. But the narrative isn't just focused on technical matters.

目前的價格範圍即將接近2025年初破裂的點,可以充當結構性和心理抵抗。在強烈的集會之後 - 隨著RSI在69次接近超買的領土之後,隨著資產鞏固,短期回調越來越有可能。但是敘述不僅關注技術問題。

On May 1, net inflows of $422 million were made into Bitcoin spot ETFs, with BlackRock's IBIT leading the way at $351 million. This showcases the strong institutional appetite present in the market. These types of inflows help to provide a strong foundation for Bitcoin and could help to prevent it from moving lower.

5月1日,比特幣現場ETF賺了4.22億美元的淨流入,貝萊德的IBIT領先於3.51億美元。這展示了市場上有強烈的機構食慾。這些類型的流入有助於為比特幣提供堅實的基礎,並有助於防止其降低。

In contrast, Ethereum ETF activity was much lower, reporting a net inflow of $6.49 million and outflows only seen from Grayscale's ETHE. Even with the momentum seen, it would be beneficial to take a step back here. The precise range where Bitcoin's last breakdown began has been reached again, and markets often stall when they return to these areas.

相比之下,以太坊ETF的活動要低得多,報告的淨流入量為649萬美元,並且僅從Grayscale的Ethe中出現了流出。即使有了勢頭,回到這裡也是有益的。比特幣的最後一次崩潰開始的確切範圍再次到達,市場返回這些地區時通常會停滯不前。

Consolidation between $94,000 and $97,000 would reset the RSI, shake out weak hands and set the stage for a potential breakout toward $100,000. In conclusion, the golden cross does indicate that the macro trend for Bitcoin is turning bullish, but short-term prudence is still needed.

合併在$ 94,000到$ 97,000之間將重置RSI,握手弱的雙手,並為可能的突破奠定了基礎,以達到100,000美元。總之,黃金十字架確實表明比特幣的宏觀趨勢是看漲的,但是仍然需要短期審慎。

XRP

The asset has now arrived at the very top of a converging wedge, which is formed by a recently constructed ascending support trendline and a long-standing descending resistance line after spending months glued in a descending triangle pattern.

該資產現已到達融合楔形的最頂端,該楔形是由最近構建的升級支持趨勢線和長期降臨的阻力線形成的,該趨勢是在花費了幾個月的時間以下降的三角形模式而形成的。

Currently trading at about $2.19, XRP is wedged between a rising trendline that has been protecting bulls since early April and a downtrend that has dominated price action since January.

XRP目前的交易價格約為2.19美元,自4月初以來一直在保護公牛的上升趨勢線和自1月以來一直主導著價格行動的下降趨勢之間。

This configuration creates a textbook volatility pinch, which usually precedes a strong breakout - or a steep breakdown. Volume has also been decreasing, which is common for assets that are approaching the apex of this type of structure.

這種配置會產生一個教科書的波動性捏,通常在強烈的突破之前或陡峭的崩潰。體積也一直在減少,這對於接近這種類型結構頂點的資產很常見。

With RSI at around 52, the reading is neutral, showing that neither buyers nor sellers are in complete control. The EMAs are closely clustered at 50, 100 and 200, further highlighting the indecisiveness and coil of price pressure. If XRP breaks out of the descending resistance, which is currently at about $2.23 on strong volume, it would confirm a pattern breakout with a possible measured move aiming for the $2.70-$3.00 zone.

RSI約為52,讀數是中性的,表明買主和賣家都沒有完全控制。 EMA緊密聚集在50、100和200,進一步強調了價格壓力的優柔寡斷和線圈。如果XRP突破了降級阻力,該電阻目前的強度約為2.23美元,它將確認模式突破,並可能進行測量的移動,以瞄準$ 2.70- $ 3.00的區域。

This strong continuation signal could lead to an aggressive short-term gain. However, a rejection at the current levels or the failure to hold the ascending support near $2.17 could result in a pullback toward $1.98, testing the 200 EMA and perhaps shaking out weak hands before any sustained upward move.

這種強烈的延續信號可能會導致積極的短期增益。但是,對當前水平的拒絕或未能在2.17美元接近$ 2.17的上升支架上的拒絕可能會導致回調1.98美元,測試200 EMA,並可能在任何持續的向上移動之前握手。

Solana

索拉納

When Solana's price action begins to resemble a classic double-top formation, a bearish pattern that typically signals reversals, traders may be given an early warning sign.

當Solana的價格動作開始類似於經典的雙頂組,這是一種看跌的模式,通常表示逆轉時,交易者可能會獲得預警信號。

Currently trading at $148, SOL is struggling to break above the resistance level between $150-$152, which corresponds to its previous local high. This stifles any further advance and sets the stage for a possible trend reversal if the zone isn't breached on the second attempt.

目前,索爾(Sol)目前以148美元的價格交易,正努力從150-152美元之間的電阻水平超過抵抗力,這與其以前的本地高中相對應。這扼殺了進一步的進步,並為可能的趨勢逆轉設定了舞台,如果該區域在第二次嘗試中沒有破壞。

The convergence of overhead resistance such as the 100-day EMA and the still-distant 200-day EMA favors this bearish scenario. The price has shown exhaustion following a strong rally from April lows near $115, and it is currently stalling just below those zones.

諸如100天EMA和仍然持續的200天EMA之類的架空阻力的融合偏愛這種看跌的情況。在4月低點接近115美元的強烈集會之後,價格顯示出疲憊,目前正處於這些區域的下方。

Bulls who rely solely on momentum to push higher may be wary of the RSI, which is slightly below 60, indicating cooling momentum without being oversold. Volume is also beginning to taper off as the price approaches resistance, providing another indication that buyers are losing interest.

僅依靠動量推高更高的公牛可能對RSI保持警惕,RSI略低於60,表明冷卻動量而不會超出。隨著價格接近抵抗,數量也開始逐漸減少,這表明買家正在失去利息。

If SOL fails to maintain itself above the $140 support, which is the neckline of this possible double-top, it is more likely to fall quickly toward the 50-day EMA near $132. A confirmed collapse below that would open the door for more significant retracements, perhaps as much as $110 or even $120.

如果SOL無法維持自己超過140美元的支持,這是這可能的雙頂領口的領口,那麼它更有可能迅​​速降落在50天的EMA近132美元附近。在下面的確認崩潰將打開更多重大回波的大門,也許多達$ 110甚至$ 120。

This setup should

此設置應該

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