比特幣（BTC）可能很快遵循Gold的價格軌跡，將年底付出至45萬美元：分析師

儘管黃金繼續設定新的歷史高峰，但交易價格為每盎司3,420美元，比特幣（BTC）可能很快遵循貴金屬的價格軌跡

Crypto analyst Master of Crypto believes that Bitcoin (BTC) may soon follow gold’s price trajectory as the precious metal continues to set new all-time highs, currently trading at $3,420 per ounce.

加密分析師Crypto的分析師認為，隨著貴金屬繼續創造新的歷史高點，比特幣（BTC）可能很快遵循Gold的價格軌跡，目前以每盎司3,420美元的價格交易。

In an X post today, Master of Crypto highlighted how BTC has historically mirrored gold’s price momentum. However, this year presents a unique scenario – it’s the first time gold is hitting new ATHs during a Bitcoin bull cycle.

在今天的X帖子中，加密大師強調了BTC歷史上如何反映了Gold的價格動力。但是，今年呈現出獨特的情況 - 這是黃金在比特幣牛週期中首次擊中新的ATHS。

The analyst noted that if gold holds its current price levels and Bitcoin catches up, a $450,000 BTC by year-end is “still on the table.” To reach this target, BTC would need to rally by approximately 430%.

分析師指出，如果Gold持有目前的價格水平並趕上比特幣，那麼年終的450,000美元BTC“仍在餐桌上”。為了達到這一目標，BTC將需要大約430％的競選。

If we zoom out further, we can see that Bitcoin has been tracking the 'power curve' of gold since 2011. But this year is the 1st time we're seeing gold hit new all-time highs during a Bitcoin bull cycle.

如果我們進一步縮小，我們可以看到比特幣自2011年以來一直在跟踪黃金的“功率曲線”。但是今年是我們第一次看到黃金在比特幣牛週期中達到了新的歷史最高點。

If gold manages to hold from here and Bitcoin has more catching up to do, then a $450k Bitcoin by year-end is still on the table. For that to happen, we'd need to see Bitcoin rally by around 430% from here.

如果黃金設法從這裡握住，而比特幣有更多的追趕，那麼按年底劃分的45萬美元的比特幣仍在餐桌上。為此，我們需要從這裡看到比特幣集會大約430％。

Another crypto analyst, Daan Crypto Trades, shared in a separate X post that the BTC-to-gold ratio is currently at a level which has seen decent reactions in the past.

另一位加密分析師Daan Crypto交易在單獨的X帖子中分享，即BTC-GOLD比率目前處於過去的反應水平。

This has been a level which has seen decent reactions in the past as it trades around between roughly 16-37 for most of the past 4 years. Gold is taking the spotlight here but we've historically seen that whenever gold goes, BTC is usually soon to follow.

這是一個過去的水平，過去四年中大部分時間在大約16-37之間進行了交易。黃金在這裡引起了人們的關注，但是我們歷史上已經看到，每當黃金出現時，BTC通常很快就會隨之而來。

If gold prices remain stable and the BTC-to-gold ratio climbs toward the upper end of its historical range - around 37 - Bitcoin could see substantial price appreciation relative to gold.

如果黃金價格保持穩定，並且BTC -GOLD比率升至其歷史範圍的上端（約37個），則比特幣相對於黃金而言可能會看到大量的價格升值。

Favorable macroeconomic trends may further accelerate BTC's rise. For example, the global M2 money supply recently reached a new ATH, while BTC remains about 22% below its own ATH of $108,786, recorded in January 2025. Historically, BTC tends to lag behind changes in M2 supply by 70 to 107 days, which suggests a potential new ATH by June or July 2025.

有利的宏觀經濟趨勢可能會進一步加速BTC的上升。例如，全球M2貨幣供應最近達到了一個新的ATH，而BTC仍低於其108,786美元的ATH約22％，該ATH於2025年1月記錄。從歷史上看，BTC傾向於落後於70至107天的M2供應變化，這表明在2025年6月或7月7月或2025年7月的新ATH中，BTC傾向於落後於70至107天。

Meanwhile, momentum indicators are signaling renewed strength in BTC. In a recent X post, crypto analyst Titan of Crypto confirmed that BTC has completed a weekly RSI breakout, a development typically viewed as bullish.

同時，動量指標是在BTC中發出了更新強度的信號。在最近的X帖子中，Crypto的加密分析師Titan確認BTC已完成每週的RSI突破，這一發展通常被視為看漲。

On the other hand, crypto analyst Ali Martinez pointed out that nearly 60% of traders with open positions on Binance are currently betting on further downside for Bitcoin, and the long/short ratio now sits at 0.67.

另一方面，加密分析師阿里·馬丁內斯（Ali Martinez）指出，近60％的具有binance頭寸的交易者目前正在押注比特幣的進一步下降，而長/短比現在為0.67。

Despite the bearish sentiment, Bitcoin's TD Sequential indicator recently flashed a buy signal on the weekly chart, suggesting a possible move toward $95,000 in the near term.

儘管有看跌的情緒，但比特幣的TD順序指標最近在每週圖表上閃爍了一個買信號，這表明在短期內可能會朝95,000美元轉移。

At the time of writing, BTC is currently trading at $88,173, showing a 4.3% increase over the past 24 hours.

在撰寫本文時，BTC目前的交易價格為88,173美元，在過去24小時內增長了4.3％。