儘管五月早些時候強勁動力，但比特幣（BTC）本週未能持有超過$ 105,000

儘管五月初，但比特幣（BTC）本週未能持有本週的105,000美元以上。在5月13日敲擊105706美元之後

Bitcoin (BTC) failed to hold above $105,000 despite strong momentum earlier in May, data from several sources showed, as the cryptocurrency retraced sharply from the key resistance.

來自多個來源的數據表明，儘管五月早些時候強勁動力，但比特幣（BTC）仍未持有超過105,000美元的股份，因為加密貨幣從關鍵阻力中急劇返回。

After tapping $105,706 on May 13, BTC slid to trade around $103,200 on May 16, marking a rejection from the critical psychological level. The rejection came after the coin posted two strong weeks of gains, largely driven by short squeezes and improved risk sentiment. However, the rally appears to be losing steam just below another critical level.

在5月13日敲擊105,706美元之後，BTC在5月16日下滑了約103,200美元的交易，標誌著關鍵心理層面的拒絕。拒絕是在硬幣發布了兩週的積極收益之後，主要是由短暫的擠壓和改善的風險情緒驅動。但是，集會似乎在另一個臨界水平以下失去蒸汽。

Broader crypto market trends indicated this pause in bullish momentum. Notably, Ethereum (ETH) traded around $2,552, while Solana (SOL) hovered near $169. BNB slipped to $652, and XRP fell to $2.47. Most large-cap assets showed mild declines, suggesting a broader shift away from bullish trends.

更廣泛的加密市場趨勢表明，在看漲的勢頭中，這種停頓。值得注意的是，以太坊（ETH）的交易約為2,552美元，而Solana（Sol）徘徊在169美元左右。 BNB跌至652美元，XRP跌至2.47美元。大多數大型資產都顯示出溫和的下降，這表明從看漲趨勢偏離了更廣泛的轉變。

This downturn came amid macroeconomic pressure. Traders were now awaiting U.S. inflation data, which is due later this week and could reset expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts. While a temporary easing of U.S.–China tariffs last week supported risk assets, the relief proved short-lived as equities and crypto failed to sustain upward momentum.

在宏觀經濟壓力的情況下，這種衰退的情況下來。交易者現在正在等待美國的通貨膨脹數據，該數據將於本週晚些時候到期，並可能重置對降低美聯儲的期望。儘管上週對美國 - 中國關稅的暫時放鬆支持了風險資產，但由於股票和加密貨幣未能維持上升勢頭，因此救濟被證明是短暫的。

BTC’s inability to hold $105,000, coupled with fading macro tailwinds, painted a cautious picture in the short term. Momentum traders now faced a key question—whether BTC could reclaim its highs or if the top had already been made.

BTC無法持有105,000美元，再加上褪色的宏觀尾風，在短期內畫了謹慎的圖片。動力交易者現在面臨著一個關鍵問題 - BTC是否可以收回其高點，或者是否已經達到了頂部。

Bitcoin price could face trouble ahead as analysts highlighted rising downside risk despite its breakout above $100,000. The predictions were based on both on-chain and technical observations.

儘管分析師突出了下降風險，但比特幣價格可能會面臨前進的麻煩，儘管其突破超過100,000美元。這些預測基於鍊和技術觀察。

One trader, who posts on Tradingview, created a chart that showed a clear Elliott Wave structure, pointed to a final push toward $122,000 before a sharp correction to $60,000 in 2026. The move would come inside a rising wedge, with Bitcoin currently in Wave 3 of the final leg.

一位在TradingView上發布的交易員創建了一張圖表，顯示了清晰的Elliott波浪結構，他指出了最終朝著122,000美元的推動，然後在2026年急劇糾正至60,000美元。此舉將進入上升的楔形，而比特幣目前在最終腿的第三波中。

Another analyst, Amr Taha from CryptoQuant, shared an observation regarding Binance liquidation data. Bitcoin registered two liquidation spikes above $300 million within seven days. Both were short liquidations, with the latest one occurring near $105,000.

另一位來自CryptoFant的分析師Amr Taha分享了有關二人清算數據的觀察結果。比特幣在七天內註冊了兩個超過3億美元的清算峰值。兩者都是簡短的清算，最新的清算物發生在$ 105,000。

“These rallies were not organic. They were forced buy-ins triggered by margin calls on short positions. When crypto exchanges auto-close shorts, they generate aggressive upside moves, but the fuel is finite. Price briefly touched $105K before retracing, confirming that reactive buying, not spot demand, drove the move.”

“這些集會不是有機的。它們是由短職位上的保證金觸發的強迫購買的。當加密貨幣交換自動粘液短褲時，它們會產生侵略性的上升移動，但燃料是有限的。價格短暫地觸及了105k，然後重新撤回，確認了該反應性購買，不再是斑點的需求，drove over the Mover the Mover the Mover the Mover the Mover the Mover the Mover the Mover the Mover the Mover。”。 ”

The second signal came from on-chain activity, specifically from wallets holding 100 to 1,000 BTC. On May 13, this cohort transitioned from accumulation to distribution, selling more than 40,000 BTC. The dump marked their first net negative trend since April 2024. This group tends to act early, often distributing into strength before broader sentiment shifts.

第二個信號來自鏈活動，特別是來自裝有100至1,000 BTC的錢包。 5月13日，該隊列從積累過渡到分銷，銷售了40,000多個BTC。該垃圾場標誌著自2024年4月以來的第一個淨負面趨勢。該群體傾向於儘早起作用，通常在更廣泛的情緒轉變之前分配到力量。

“Their decision to exit as the Bitcoin price rallied suggests tactical selling into retail-driven euphoria. This cohort is famously known for accurately timing cycle mid-tops and late-stage rallies.”

“他們決定退出隨著比特幣價格集會而退出的決定，表明戰術銷售為零售驅動的欣快。該隊列以準確的時機週期中間和後期集會而聞名。”

The third signal was technical. A weekly fair value gap between $73,624 and $74,420 remained unfilled. This inefficiency formed during a vertical move in early April and had not been retested. Such gaps usually attracted price later in the cycle, especially if the trend exhausted. With BTC over 28% above the zone, a return would imply a deep correction, but it remained a relevant magnet.

第三個信號是技術性的。每週的公允價值差距在$ 73,624至74,420美元之間。這種效率低下是在4月初的垂直移動中形成的，尚未重新測試。這種差距通常會在周期後期吸引價格，尤其是在趨勢耗盡的情況下。由於BTC高於該區域的28％以上，回報將暗示深度校正，但仍然是相關的磁鐵。

Together, these signals indicated distribution, not strength. Without fresh inflows or a decisive breakout above $105K, the next major move could favor downside reversion.

這些信號共同表示分佈，而不是強度。如果沒有新的流入或超過$ 105K的決定性突破，下一個重大舉措可能會有利於下行回歸。

The BTC/USD pair had formed an interesting technical setup called the ascending triangle. A horizontal resistance line at $90,000 and rising trendline support helped characterize the pattern. This structure suggested that buyers were gradually gaining control, compressing the price against a defined ceiling.

BTC/USD對形成了一個有趣的技術設置，稱為“上升三角”。水平阻力線為90,000美元，趨勢線支持有助於表徵該模式。這種結構表明，買家正在逐漸獲得控制權，將價格壓縮到定義的天花板上。

To determine the price target for this pattern, traders usually measured the vertical height between the base of the triangle (around $48,000) and the horizontal resistance. Then, they would project the distance upward from the breakout point.

為了確定這種模式的目標目標，交易者通常測量了三角形（約合48,000美元）和水平阻力之間的垂直高度。然後，他們將距離突破點向上投射距離。

According to this method of calculation, the pattern’s theoretical price target could be reached after a rally of nearly 39%. In other words, Bitcoin price could continue to rise to hit the pattern’s price target of around $142,450.

根據這種計算方法，該模式的理論價格目標可以在近39％的集會後達到。換句話說，比特幣價格可能會繼續上漲，以達到該模式的價格目標約為142,450美元。

However, confirmation of the pattern remained absent. BTC would need to post a clean breakout above the horizontal resistance to validate this setup. Until then, the risk of rejection persisted. A failed breakout attempt could push BTC back toward the ascending trendline support

但是，對模式的確認仍然不存在。 BTC需要在水平阻力上方發布干淨的突破以驗證該設置。在此之前，拒絕的風險仍然存在。失敗的突破嘗試可能會將BTC推向上升趨勢線支持