尽管五月早些时候强劲动力，但比特币（BTC）本周未能持有超过$ 105,000

尽管五月初，但比特币（BTC）本周未能持有本周的105,000美元以上。在5月13日敲击105706美元之后

Bitcoin (BTC) failed to hold above $105,000 despite strong momentum earlier in May, data from several sources showed, as the cryptocurrency retraced sharply from the key resistance.

来自多个来源的数据表明，尽管五月早些时候强劲动力，但比特币（BTC）仍未持有超过105,000美元的股份，因为加密货币从关键阻力中急剧返回。

After tapping $105,706 on May 13, BTC slid to trade around $103,200 on May 16, marking a rejection from the critical psychological level. The rejection came after the coin posted two strong weeks of gains, largely driven by short squeezes and improved risk sentiment. However, the rally appears to be losing steam just below another critical level.

在5月13日敲击105,706美元之后，BTC在5月16日下滑了约103,200美元的交易，标志着关键心理层面的拒绝。拒绝是在硬币发布了两周的积极收益之后，主要是由短暂的挤压和改善的风险情绪驱动。但是，集会似乎在另一个临界水平以下失去蒸汽。

Broader crypto market trends indicated this pause in bullish momentum. Notably, Ethereum (ETH) traded around $2,552, while Solana (SOL) hovered near $169. BNB slipped to $652, and XRP fell to $2.47. Most large-cap assets showed mild declines, suggesting a broader shift away from bullish trends.

更广泛的加密市场趋势表明，在看涨的势头中，这种停顿。值得注意的是，以太坊（ETH）的交易约为2,552美元，而Solana（Sol）徘徊在169美元左右。 BNB跌至652美元，XRP跌至2.47美元。大多数大型资产都显示出温和的下降，这表明从看涨趋势偏离了更广泛的转变。

This downturn came amid macroeconomic pressure. Traders were now awaiting U.S. inflation data, which is due later this week and could reset expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts. While a temporary easing of U.S.–China tariffs last week supported risk assets, the relief proved short-lived as equities and crypto failed to sustain upward momentum.

在宏观经济压力的情况下，这种衰退的情况下来。交易者现在正在等待美国的通货膨胀数据，该数据将于本周晚些时候到期，并可能重置对降低美联储的期望。尽管上周对美国 - 中国关税的暂时放松支持了风险资产，但由于股票和加密货币未能维持上升势头，因此救济被证明是短暂的。

BTC’s inability to hold $105,000, coupled with fading macro tailwinds, painted a cautious picture in the short term. Momentum traders now faced a key question—whether BTC could reclaim its highs or if the top had already been made.

BTC无法持有105,000美元，再加上褪色的宏观尾风，在短期内画了谨慎的图片。动力交易者现在面临着一个关键问题 - BTC是否可以收回其高点，或者是否已经达到了顶部。

Bitcoin price could face trouble ahead as analysts highlighted rising downside risk despite its breakout above $100,000. The predictions were based on both on-chain and technical observations.

尽管分析师突出了下降风险，但比特币价格可能会面临前进的麻烦，尽管其突破超过100,000美元。这些预测基于链和技术观察。

One trader, who posts on Tradingview, created a chart that showed a clear Elliott Wave structure, pointed to a final push toward $122,000 before a sharp correction to $60,000 in 2026. The move would come inside a rising wedge, with Bitcoin currently in Wave 3 of the final leg.

一位在TradingView上发布的交易员创建了一张图表，显示了清晰的Elliott波浪结构，他指出了最终朝着122,000美元的推动，然后在2026年急剧纠正至60,000美元。此举将进入上升的楔形，而比特币目前在最终腿的第三波中。

Another analyst, Amr Taha from CryptoQuant, shared an observation regarding Binance liquidation data. Bitcoin registered two liquidation spikes above $300 million within seven days. Both were short liquidations, with the latest one occurring near $105,000.

另一位来自CryptoFant的分析师Amr Taha分享了有关二人清算数据的观察结果。比特币在七天内注册了两个超过3亿美元的清算峰值。两者都是简短的清算，最新的清算物发生在$ 105,000。

“These rallies were not organic. They were forced buy-ins triggered by margin calls on short positions. When crypto exchanges auto-close shorts, they generate aggressive upside moves, but the fuel is finite. Price briefly touched $105K before retracing, confirming that reactive buying, not spot demand, drove the move.”

“这些集会不是有机的。它们是由短职位上的保证金触发的强迫购买的。当加密货币交换自动粘液短裤时，它们会产生侵略性的上升移动，但燃料是有限的。价格短暂地触及了105k，然后重新撤回，确认了该反应性购买，不再是斑点的需求，drove over the Mover the Mover the Mover the Mover the Mover the Mover the Mover the Mover the Mover the Mover。”。”

The second signal came from on-chain activity, specifically from wallets holding 100 to 1,000 BTC. On May 13, this cohort transitioned from accumulation to distribution, selling more than 40,000 BTC. The dump marked their first net negative trend since April 2024. This group tends to act early, often distributing into strength before broader sentiment shifts.

第二个信号来自链活动，特别是来自装有100至1,000 BTC的钱包。 5月13日，该队列从积累过渡到分销，销售了40,000多个BTC。该垃圾场标志着自2024年4月以来的第一个净负面趋势。该群体倾向于尽早起作用，通常在更广泛的情绪转变之前分配到力量。

“Their decision to exit as the Bitcoin price rallied suggests tactical selling into retail-driven euphoria. This cohort is famously known for accurately timing cycle mid-tops and late-stage rallies.”

“他们决定退出随着比特币价格集会而退出的决定，表明战术销售为零售驱动的欣快。该队列以准确的时机周期中间和后期集会而闻名。”

The third signal was technical. A weekly fair value gap between $73,624 and $74,420 remained unfilled. This inefficiency formed during a vertical move in early April and had not been retested. Such gaps usually attracted price later in the cycle, especially if the trend exhausted. With BTC over 28% above the zone, a return would imply a deep correction, but it remained a relevant magnet.

第三个信号是技术性的。每周的公允价值差距在$ 73,624至74,420美元之间。这种效率低下是在4月初的垂直移动中形成的，尚未重新测试。这种差距通常会在周期后期吸引价格，尤其是在趋势耗尽的情况下。由于BTC高于该区域的28％以上，回报将暗示深度校正，但仍然是相关的磁铁。

Together, these signals indicated distribution, not strength. Without fresh inflows or a decisive breakout above $105K, the next major move could favor downside reversion.

这些信号共同表示分布，而不是强度。如果没有新的流入或超过$ 105K的决定性突破，下一个重大举措可能会有利于下行回归。

The BTC/USD pair had formed an interesting technical setup called the ascending triangle. A horizontal resistance line at $90,000 and rising trendline support helped characterize the pattern. This structure suggested that buyers were gradually gaining control, compressing the price against a defined ceiling.

BTC/USD对形成了一个有趣的技术设置，称为“上升三角”。水平阻力线为90,000美元，趋势线支持有助于表征该模式。这种结构表明，买家正在逐渐获得控制权，将价格压缩到定义的天花板上。

To determine the price target for this pattern, traders usually measured the vertical height between the base of the triangle (around $48,000) and the horizontal resistance. Then, they would project the distance upward from the breakout point.

为了确定这种模式的目标目标，交易者通常测量了三角形（约合48,000美元）和水平阻力之间的垂直高度。然后，他们将距离突破点向上投射距离。

According to this method of calculation, the pattern’s theoretical price target could be reached after a rally of nearly 39%. In other words, Bitcoin price could continue to rise to hit the pattern’s price target of around $142,450.

根据这种计算方法，该模式的理论价格目标可以在近39％的集会后达到。换句话说，比特币价格可能会继续上涨，以达到该模式的价格目标约为142,450美元。

However, confirmation of the pattern remained absent. BTC would need to post a clean breakout above the horizontal resistance to validate this setup. Until then, the risk of rejection persisted. A failed breakout attempt could push BTC back toward the ascending trendline support

但是，对模式的确认仍然不存在。 BTC需要在水平阻力上方发布干净的突破以验证该设置。在此之前，拒绝的风险仍然存在。失败的突破尝试可能会将BTC推向上升趋势线支持