比特幣（BTC）在5月19日下降了4.5％以上，證實了看跌的分歧，並威脅到低於100,000美元的休息時間。

比特幣在5月19日下降了4.5％以上，證實了看跌的分歧，並威脅到低於100,000美元的休息時間。

Key takeaways:

關鍵要點：

Bitcoin dropped over 4.5% on May 19, confirming a bearish divergence and threatening a break below $100,000.

比特幣在5月19日下降了4.5％以上，證實了看跌的分歧，並威脅到低於100,000美元的休息時間。

Analysts highlight $97,000–$98,500 as key support that the bulls must hold.

分析師重點介紹了$ 97,000- $ 98,500，作為公牛必須持有的關鍵支持。

A potential inverse head-and-shoulders pattern points to a retest of $91,000 before any bullish continuation.

在任何看漲延續之前，潛在的逆頭和肩膀模式指出了91,000美元的重新測試。

Bitcoin (BTC) is down over 4.5% from its intraday high on May 19, falling to around $102,000 in its worst daily drop in over a month.

比特幣（BTC）比5月19日的盤中高點下降了4.5％以上，一個月內每天最糟糕的情況下降到約102,000美元。

BTC’s drop accompanied downside moves elsewhere in the risk market, prompted by Moody’s latest downgrade of the US government due to a rising budget deficit and the lack of a credible fiscal consolidation plan.

BTC的下降伴隨著風險市場其他地方的下行行動，這是由於穆迪的最新降級，由於預算赤字的上升和缺乏可靠的財政合併計劃，美國政府的最新降級。

The decline confirms a bearish divergence and, combined with other technical factors, raises the risk of a BTC price breakdown below $100,000, a key support level.

該下降證實了看跌的分歧，並與其他技術因素相結合，將BTC價格分解的風險提高到100,000美元以下，這是一個關鍵支持水平。

Bitcoin’s bearish divergence hints at sub-$100K

比特幣的看跌差異提示低於$ 100k

Bitcoin’s price action showed technical weakness ahead of its May 19 sell-off.

比特幣的價格行動顯示出在5月19日拋售之前的技術弱點。

On May 19, BTC pushed to a new local high above $107,000, but its relative strength index (RSI) printed a lower high, confirming a classic bearish divergence.

5月19日，BTC推到了107,000美元以上的新當地高處，但其相對強度指數（RSI）印刷了較低的高度，證實了經典的看跌差異。

This discrepancy between price and momentum is often a precursor to a trend reversal, and in this case, it played out with a swift 4.5% intraday decline. Analyst Bluntz warned traders to “be careful with [placing] longs.”

價格和動量之間的這種差異通常是趨勢逆轉的先驅，在這種情況下，它的播放時間迅速下降了4.5％。分析師Bluntz警告交易者“要謹慎地（放置）。”

Swissblock analysts observed that Bitcoin “grabbed liquidity” above the $104,000–$106,000 resistance range but failed to sustain a breakout.

Swissblock分析師觀察到，比特幣“抓住了流動性”以上是104,000至106,000美元的電阻範圍，但未能維持突破。

The rejection pushed the price back into a prior volume-heavy zone, with immediate support between $101,500 and $102,500 now under pressure.

拒絕將價格推向了先前的體積重型區域，現在在壓力下立即支撐在101,500至102,500美元之間。

Swissblock identifies the $97,000–$98,500 range as a key downside target based on historical onchain volume and trading activity if the $101,500-102,500 area fails to hold.

SwissBlock將$ 97,000- $ 98,500的範圍確定為基於歷史上的OnChain量和交易活動的關鍵下跌目標，如果$ 101,500-102,500 Area不得舉行。

Bitcoin’s H&S pattern targets $91,000

比特幣的H＆S模式目標$ 91,000

On the three-day chart, Bitcoin is forming the right shoulder of a potential inverse-head-and-shoulders pattern.

在為期三天的圖表上，比特幣形成了潛在的反向和肩膀模式的右肩。

While typically bullish in the long term, this setup implies a short-term retest of the 50-period exponential moving average (50-period EMA; the red wave) near $91,000.

儘管從長遠來看通常是看好的，但這種設置意味著短期重新測試了50個週期指數的移動平均線（50 period EMA；紅波）接近91,000美元。

The chances of such a drop have increased since BTC failed to close above the critical $107,000 neckline level, the same zone that triggered bearish reversals in December 2024 and January 2025.

自BTC未能關閉至關鍵的107,000美元領口水平以來，這種下降的機會增加了，這是2024年12月和2025年1月引發看跌逆轉的同一區域。

Related: Metaplanet scoops 1,004 Bitcoin in 2nd-biggest buy ever

相關：有史以來第二次購買的Metaplanet勺1,004個比特幣

A rebound from the $91,000 zone toward the neckline at around $107,000 could increase Bitcoin’s odds of rising toward $150,000.

從$ 91,000的區域返回領口，左右為107,000美元，可能會增加比特幣上升到150,000美元的機率。

This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.

本文不包含投資建議或建議。每個投資和交易舉動都涉及風險，讀者在做出決定時應進行自己的研究。