比特币（BTC）在5月19日下降了4.5％以上，证实了看跌的分歧，并威胁到低于100,000美元的休息时间。

比特币在5月19日下降了4.5％以上，证实了看跌的分歧，并威胁到低于100,000美元的休息时间。

Key takeaways:

关键要点：

Bitcoin dropped over 4.5% on May 19, confirming a bearish divergence and threatening a break below $100,000.

比特币在5月19日下降了4.5％以上，证实了看跌的分歧，并威胁到低于100,000美元的休息时间。

Analysts highlight $97,000–$98,500 as key support that the bulls must hold.

分析师重点介绍了$ 97,000- $ 98,500，作为公牛必须持有的关键支持。

A potential inverse head-and-shoulders pattern points to a retest of $91,000 before any bullish continuation.

在任何看涨延续之前，潜在的逆头和肩膀模式指出了91,000美元的重新测试。

Bitcoin (BTC) is down over 4.5% from its intraday high on May 19, falling to around $102,000 in its worst daily drop in over a month.

比特币（BTC）比5月19日的盘中高点下降了4.5％以上，一个月内每天最糟糕的情况下降到约102,000美元。

BTC’s drop accompanied downside moves elsewhere in the risk market, prompted by Moody’s latest downgrade of the US government due to a rising budget deficit and the lack of a credible fiscal consolidation plan.

BTC的下降伴随着风险市场其他地方的下行行动，这是由于穆迪的最新降级，由于预算赤字的上升和缺乏可靠的财政合并计划，美国政府的最新降级。

The decline confirms a bearish divergence and, combined with other technical factors, raises the risk of a BTC price breakdown below $100,000, a key support level.

该下降证实了看跌的分歧，并与其他技术因素相结合，将BTC价格分解的风险提高到100,000美元以下，这是一个关键支持水平。

Bitcoin’s bearish divergence hints at sub-$100K

比特币的看跌差异提示低于$ 100k

Bitcoin’s price action showed technical weakness ahead of its May 19 sell-off.

比特币的价格行动显示出在5月19日抛售之前的技术弱点。

On May 19, BTC pushed to a new local high above $107,000, but its relative strength index (RSI) printed a lower high, confirming a classic bearish divergence.

5月19日，BTC推到了107,000美元以上的新当地高处，但其相对强度指数（RSI）印刷了较低的高度，证实了经典的看跌差异。

This discrepancy between price and momentum is often a precursor to a trend reversal, and in this case, it played out with a swift 4.5% intraday decline. Analyst Bluntz warned traders to “be careful with [placing] longs.”

价格和动量之间的这种差异通常是趋势逆转的先驱，在这种情况下，它的播放时间迅速下降了4.5％。分析师Bluntz警告交易者“要谨慎地（放置）。”

Swissblock analysts observed that Bitcoin “grabbed liquidity” above the $104,000–$106,000 resistance range but failed to sustain a breakout.

Swissblock分析师观察到，比特币“抓住了流动性”以上是104,000至106,000美元的电阻范围，但未能维持突破。

The rejection pushed the price back into a prior volume-heavy zone, with immediate support between $101,500 and $102,500 now under pressure.

拒绝将价格推向了先前的体积重型区域，现在在压力下立即支撑在101,500至102,500美元之间。

Swissblock identifies the $97,000–$98,500 range as a key downside target based on historical onchain volume and trading activity if the $101,500-102,500 area fails to hold.

SwissBlock将$ 97,000- $ 98,500的范围确定为基于历史上的OnChain量和交易活动的关键下跌目标，如果$ 101,500-102,500 Area不得举行。

Bitcoin’s H&S pattern targets $91,000

比特币的H＆S模式目标$ 91,000

On the three-day chart, Bitcoin is forming the right shoulder of a potential inverse-head-and-shoulders pattern.

在为期三天的图表上，比特币形成了潜在的反向和肩膀模式的右肩。

While typically bullish in the long term, this setup implies a short-term retest of the 50-period exponential moving average (50-period EMA; the red wave) near $91,000.

尽管从长远来看通常是看好的，但这种设置意味着短期重新测试了50个周期指数的移动平均线（50 period EMA；红波）接近91,000美元。

The chances of such a drop have increased since BTC failed to close above the critical $107,000 neckline level, the same zone that triggered bearish reversals in December 2024 and January 2025.

自BTC未能关闭至关键的107,000美元领口水平以来，这种下降的机会增加了，这是2024年12月和2025年1月引发看跌逆转的同一区域。

Related: Metaplanet scoops 1,004 Bitcoin in 2nd-biggest buy ever

相关：有史以来第二次购买的Metaplanet勺1,004个比特币

A rebound from the $91,000 zone toward the neckline at around $107,000 could increase Bitcoin’s odds of rising toward $150,000.

从$ 91,000的区域返回领口，左右为107,000美元，可能会增加比特币上升到150,000美元的几率。

This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.

本文不包含投资建议或建议。每个投资和交易举动都涉及风险，读者在做出决定时应进行自己的研究。