分析師表示，比特幣 (BTC) 的調整可能與其 2019 年以來的價格走勢類似

一位廣受關注的加密貨幣分析師表示，比特幣（BTC）當前的調整讓人想起大約五年前的價格走勢。

A crypto analyst says that Bitcoin’s (BTC) current correction is reminiscent of its price action about five years ago.

一位加密貨幣分析師表示，比特幣目前的調整讓人想起大約五年前的價格走勢。

In a new interview with financial and tech YouTuber David Lin, crypto strategist Benjamin Cowen says that the social risk metric indicates that the crypto king is following in the footsteps of its price action from 2019.

加密貨幣策略師 Benjamin Cowen 在接受金融和科技 YouTuber David Lin 的新採訪時表示，社會風險指標表明，加密貨幣之王正在追隨 2019 年以來價格走勢的腳步。

According to Cowen, the number of people watching crypto YouTube channels has dipped significantly, signaling that it could reverse course and rally as it did in 2021.

Cowen 表示，觀看加密貨幣 YouTube 頻道的人數大幅下降，這表明它可能會逆轉趨勢並像 2021 年那樣反彈。

“I think it’s more similar to 2019 and there’s a couple of reasons for that – one reason [is] if you go look at one of the one of the metrics I follow, the social interest in the crypto space, [which is] essentially made up of like people that watch crypto YouTube channels…

「我認為這與 2019 年更相似，有幾個原因——其中一個原因是，如果你看看我遵循的指標之一，即對加密貨幣領域的社會興趣，本質上是由觀看加密YouTube 頻道的類似人組成…

You’ll see that back in 2021, when we had these this mania phase, you can see that a ton of people were piling in to watch crypto YouTube, [some] channels were averaging at the time about four million views per day – now those same channels are only averaging around 850,000 views per day…

你會看到，早在 2021 年，當我們處於這個狂熱階段時，你可以看到大量的人湧入觀看加密貨幣 YouTube，[某些] 頻道當時平均每天有大約 400 萬次觀看——現在這些相同的頻道平均每天只有大約85 萬次觀看…

You go back and you look at the social risk… you can see that social risk came down to a low and then it bounced, it looks very, very similar to me like 2019.”

你回去看看社會風險…你可以看到社會風險降到了低點，然後反彈，看起來和 2019 年非常非常相似。

However, Cowen goes on to note that the crypto markets have yet to see the same mania displayed in 2021 as retail investors have yet to return to the industry.

然而，Cowen 繼續指出，加密貨幣市場尚未出現 2021 年同樣的狂熱，因為散戶尚未重返該行業。

“I don’t really think that what we just experienced was a 2021 style mania phase because retail never really returned, which has been one of the interesting things, it’s been one of the really confusing things about the market I think for a lot of people because Bitcoin went to all-time highs but we never really saw that the return of retail.

「我真的不認為我們剛剛經歷的是2021 年風格狂熱階段，因為零售業從未真正回歸，這是有趣的事情之一，我認為對於很多人來說，這是市場上真正令人困惑的事情之一。

And again, one more piece of evidence to suggest that 2019 is not the worst comparison, it’s actually a very similar move in terms of [percentage]…

另一個證據表明 2019 年並不是最糟糕的比較，實際上在 [百分比] 方面非常相似...

If you were to take a price range from the low in 2018 till that 2019 top, about a 350% rally. Same thing we just saw from the rally in 2022 until early 2024.”

如果你把價格範圍從 2018 年的低點到 2019 年的最高點，大約會上漲 350%。我們從 2022 年到 2024 年初的反彈中也看到了同樣的情況。

Bitcoin is trading for $58,732 at time of writing, a 1.84% decrease during the last 24 hours.

截至撰寫本文時，比特幣交易價格為 58,732 美元，過去 24 小時內下跌 1.84%。